GC005
Advancing Research to Understand, Assess, and Predict the Impacts of Global Change on National Security
Session ID#: 80898
Session Description:
Integrated observations, process research, and modeling of Earth systems advance our ability to understand and predict global change and the coupled natural and human processes that drive it. These processes, acting and interacting across scales, pose direct and indirect risks to national security through their impacts on our food, energy, water, transportation, and other human systems, as well as through transformations of the built and natural environments. Our understanding of these interconnected impacts is poised for major advances thanks to technological developments, improvements in measurement and modeling, and new experimental and analytical techniques. This session welcomes abstracts showcasing the emerging knowledge and research capabilities that can elucidate the connections between global change and security--in particular, research in strategic regions where multiple global change processes overlap (such as the Arctic or coastal regions), and in important thematic areas (such as natural hazards, the food-energy-water nexus, community displacement, or human health).
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1640 Remote sensing [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1694 Instruments and techniques [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Primary Convener: Apurva Dave, US Global Change Research Program, Washington DC, DC, United States
Convener: David Blauvelt, National Intelligence University, Bethesda, MD, United States
Primary Liaison: Apurva Dave, US Global Change Research Program, Washington DC, DC, United States
Assessing the Meteorological Risks and Environmental Effects of Policy Stimulated Soybean Cultivation in Northeast China (487635)
Xiao Huang1,2, Chaoqing Yu2,3, Tongbi Tu4, Shaoqiang Ni2, Shengchao Qiao2, Jim W Hall5, Mats Höglind1 and Hanna Silvennoinen1, (1)Norwegian Institute of Bioeconomy Research (NIBIO), Ås, Norway, (2)Tsinghua University, Department of Earth System Science, Beijing, China, (3)Cross-strait Tsinghua Research Institute, AI for Earth Laboratory, Xiaomen, China, (4)University of California Berkeley, Department of Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States, (5)University of Oxford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom
Downscaling of climate, inland and coastal hydrology models for coastalAssessments (490839)
Veerabhadra Rao Kotamarthi1, Jiali Wang2, Eugene Yan3, Thomas Wall2, Antoine Diffloth4 and Carroll Shanon4, (1)Argonne Natl Lab, Argonne, IL, United States, (2)Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, (3)Argonne Natl Lab-Bldg 203, Argonne, IL, United States, (4)AT&T, Dallas, TX, United States
Effects of Climate Variability on Agroecosystems: Potential Threats to National Security (506408)
Carolyn Olson, USGS, Emerita, USDA Retired, Washington, DC, United States, Jean L. Steiner, Kansas State University, Adjunct, Manhattan, KS, United States and Prasanna H Gowda, USDA-ARS, El Reno, OK, United States
Climate variability and fill rate impacts on downstream flows from the Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam (517317)
Kurt Solander1, Avipsa Roy1,2, Min Chen1, Emily Michele Casleton1, Mark Wahl3, Ahmad A Tavakoly3,4, Emma Lathrop1 and Cathy Jean Wilson1, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Arizona State University, School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning, Tempe, AZ, United States, (3)US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, United States, (4)University of Maryland, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, College Park, MS, United States
Dual-Use and Multiple-Use Applications for Earth Systems Observations on the North Slope of Alaska (518013)
Mark Ivey, Sandia National Labs, Albuquerque, NM, United States, Joe Hardesty, Sandia National Laboratories, Org 6913, Albuquerque, NM, United States, Darielle Dexheimer, Sandia National Laboratories, Org 8863, Albuquerque, NM, United States and Fred Helsel, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States
Can We Predict "Climate Migrations"? The 2018 Guatemalan Case (519891)
Diego Pons1, Angel Munoz1, Diana Giraldo-Mendez2,3, Susana B Adamo4, Alexander M de Sherbinin4 and Lisa M Goddard1, (1)International Research Institute for Climate and Society, Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)International Center for Tropical Agriculture (CIAT), Cali, Colombia, (3)School of Agriculture, Policy and Development, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (4)Center for International Earth Science Information Network, Palisades, NY, United States
Strategies to Develop a Year-Round Comprehensive US High Arctic Research Center in Alaska to Serve Broad National Interests (567693)
Jasper O. Hardesty1, Mark Ivey2, Lori Parrott3, Annette L Labelle-Hamer4, Lawson W Brigham5, Diana L Bull3, Hajo Eicken6 and Catherine F. Cahill7, (1)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (2)Sandia National Labs, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (3)Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, United States, (4)Univ of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (5)Polar Institute, Wilson Center, Washington, DC, United States, (6)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (7)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Alaska Center for Unmanned Aircraft Systems Integration (ACUASI), Geophysical Institute, Fairbanks, AK, United States
Partnering for a Resilient and Secure Arctic: National Labs and University of Alaska (603061)
Matt Heavner, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, Jill M Brandenberger, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Operational Readiness and Assurance, Richland, WA, United States, Larry D Hinzman, University of Alaska Fairbanks; IASC President, Fairbanks, AK, United States and Lori Parrott, Sandia National Laboratories, Albuquerque, United States
Rapid Ocean Assessment Methodology Workshops — A Future Earth Coast Program tool to better understand coastal futures contributing to national security and sustainable coastal development through thorough and rapid assessment (609343)
Robert Weiss, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, United States, Valerie Cummins, University College Cork, Cork, Ireland, Heath Kelsey, University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Cambridge, United States, Sebastian Ferse, Leibniz Center for Tropical Marine Ecology, Bremen, Germany, Anja Scheffers, Southern Cross University, Southern Cross Geoscience, Lismore, Australia, Donald L Forbes, Memorial University of Newfoundland, Department of Geography, St. John's, NL, Canada and Bruce Christopher Glavovic, Massey University, School of People, Environment and Planning, Palmeston North, New Zealand
Utilizing Multi-Sectoral Modeling to Anticipate Environmental Security Concerns Relevant to National Security Missions (628587)
Jill M Brandenberger, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Operational Readiness and Assurance, Richland, WA, United States, Leon Clarke, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, United States, James Edmonds, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States and Stephanie Waldhoff, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States
