A138
Tropical Cyclones: Observations, Modeling, and Predictability II

Friday, 11 December 2020: 20:30-21:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States
Conveners:  Scott A Braun, NASA/GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Patrick Harr, Jupiter Intelligence, San Mateo, United States
Primary Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States
Chairs:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States and Patrick Harr, Jupiter Intelligence, San Mateo, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States
20:30
Development of Unified Forecast System (UFS) based Hurricane Analysis and Forecast System (HAFS) for NCEP operations: Strategies for Research to Operations (R2O) (674554)
Vijay Tallapragada, NOAA/NCEP/EMC, College Park, MD, United States and Avichal Mehra, National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States
20:34
Can Existing Theory Explain How the Tropical Cyclone Wind Field Responds to Surface Roughening and Drying? (681730)
Jie Chen, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States and Daniel Robert Chavas, Purdue University, Department of Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, West Lafayette, IN, United States
20:38
A Comparison of Tropical Cyclone Projection in a High-Resolution Global Climate Model and Downscaled by Statistical and Statistical-deterministic Methods (749676)
Ning Lin, Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, Renzhi Jing, Lawrence, KS, United States, Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Cambridge, MA, United States, Gabriel Andres Vecchi, NOAA/GFDL, Princeton, NJ, United States and Thomas R Knutson, NOAA Princeton, Princeton, NJ, United States
20:42
Multiyear Hybrid Prediction of Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Activity and the Predictability Sources (685217)
Chuan-Chieh Chang, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Urbana, United States and Zhuo Wang, University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States
20:46
Impact of Model Resolution on Tropical Cyclone Simulation of Present-day and Future Projection using the HighResMIP Multi-model Ensemble (776247)
Malcolm J Roberts1, Joanne Camp2, Jon Seddon3, Pier Luigi Vidale4, Kevin Hodges5, Benoit Vanniere6, Jennifer Mecking7, Rein Haarsma8, Alessio Bellucci9, Enrico Scoccimarro10, Louis-Philippe Caron11, Fabrice Chauvin12, Laurent Terray13, Marie-Pierre Moine14, Dian Putrasahan15, Christopher Roberts16, Retish Senan17, Colin M. Zarzycki18, Paul Aaron Ullrich19, Yohei Yamada20, Ryo Mizuta21, Chihiro Kodama22, Dan Fu23, Qiuying Zhang24, Gokhan Danabasoglu25, Nan A Rosenbloom26, Hong Wang27 and Lixin Wu27, (1)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)Met Office Hadley center for Climate Change, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology and National Centre for Atmospheric Science (NCAS), Reading, United Kingdom, (5)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, (6)University of Reading, Reading, RG6, United Kingdom, (7)University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom, (8)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, (9)Euro-Mediterranean Center on Climate Change, Climate Simulations and Predictions Division, Bologna, Italy, (10)INGV National Institute of Geophysics and Volcanology, Forli, Italy, (11)Institut Català de Ciències del Clima, Barcelona, Spain, (12)Météo-France, CNRM/GMGEC/AMACS, Toulouse, France, (13)CERFACS, Toulouse, France, (14)CERFACS European Centre for Research and Advanced Training in Scientific Computation, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, (15)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, The Ocean in the Earth System, Hamburg, Germany, (16)ECMWF, Reading, United Kingdom, (17)European Center for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts, Reading, United Kingdom, (18)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (19)University of California Davis, Land, Air & Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States, (20)JAMSTEC, Kanagawa, Japan, (21)Meteorological Research Institute, Tsukuba, Japan, (22)JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan, (23)Texas A&M University, Oceanography, College Station, United States, (24)Texas A&M University, College Station, United States, (25)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (26)NCAR/CGD, Boulder, CO, United States, (27)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
20:50
Evaluation of boundary-layer and urban-canopy parameterizations for simulating wind in Miami during Hurricane Irma (2017) (747161)
Eric A Hendricks, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, Jason C. Knievel, NCAR, Boulder, CO, United States and David S Nolan, University of Miami, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Miami, FL, United States
20:54
Exploring the Relationship between Tropical Cyclogenesis and Kelvin Waves with MPAS-Aquaplanet Simulations (742771)
Rosimar Rios-Berrios1, George H Bryan2, Falko Judt3 and Christopher A Davis1, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Mesoscale & Microscale Meteorology Division, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Mesoscale and Microscale Meteorology, Boulder, CO, United States
20:58
What Controls the Annual Cycle of the North Atlantic Tropical Cyclone Frequency? (747349)
Wenchang Yang, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, Gabriel Andres Vecchi, Princeton University, Department of Geosciences and Princeton Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States and Tsung-Lin Hsieh, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States
21:02
Discussion
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