EP024
Prediction in Geomorphology, 20 Years Later I

Wednesday, 9 December 2020: 17:30-18:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Katherine R Barnhart, USGS Geologic Hazards Science Center, Landslide Hazards Program, Golden, CO, United States
Conveners:  Evan B Goldstein, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Geography, Environment, and Sustainability, Greensboro, NC, United States, Allison M Pfeiffer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Tyler Doane, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
Primary Liaison:  Katherine R Barnhart, USGS Geologic Hazards Science Center, Landslide Hazards Program, Golden, CO, United States
Chairs:  Katherine R Barnhart, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Evan B Goldstein, University of North Carolina at Greensboro, Geography, Environment, and Sustainability, Greensboro, NC, United States, Allison M Pfeiffer, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, United States and Tyler Doane, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Katherine R Barnhart, University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
17:30
Earthcasting: Geomorphic prediction for society (Invited) (664761)
Behrooz Ferdowsi, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, John Gartner, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Geosciences, Amherst, MA, United States, Kerri N Johnson, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Alan Kasprak, Fort Lewis College, Department of Geosciences, Durango, United States, Kimberly Litwin Miller, California Institute of Technology, Division of Geological and Planetary Sciences, Pasadena, CA, United States, William Nardin, University of California Berkeley, Geography, Berkeley, CA, United States; University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Horn Point Laboratory, Cambridge, MD, United States, Alejandra C Ortiz, Colby College, Geology, Waterville, ME, United States; Indiana University, Department of Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Bloomington, NC, United States, Mariela C Perignon, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States and Alejandro Tejedor, Sorbonne University Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates; University of California Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
17:34
Lessons learned from a blind shoreline modelling competition. (Invited) (717437)
Jennifer Katherine Montaño Muñoz, Universidad Nacional, Antioquia, Medellin, Colombia; University of Auckland, School of Environment, Auckland, New Zealand and Giovanni Coco, University of Cantabria, Santander, Spain
17:38
Ensemble Forecasting of Long-Term Erosion at a Hazardous Waste Site (672606)
Gregory E Tucker, University of Colorado Boulder, CIRES and Department of Geological Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Katherine R Barnhart, USGS Geological Survey, Landslide Hazards Program, Menlo Park, CA, United States; University of Colorado at Boulder, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Sandra G Doty, Consultant, Denver, CO, United States, Rachel Glade, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States; Los Alamos National Laboratory, Geological Sciences, Los Alamos, NM, United States, Charles M. Shobe, Helmholtz Centre Potsdam GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany; West Virginia University, Department of Geology and Geography, Morgantown, United States, Matthew W Rossi, University of Colorado at Boulder, Earth Lab (CIRES), Boulder, CO, United States and Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States
17:42
Prediction and Hypothesis Testing in Raised Peatland Morphology (718614)
Alex Cobb1, René Dommain2,3, Kimberly Yeap4, Hannan Cao4, Bodo Bookhagen3, Paul H Glaser5 and Charles Franklin Harvey6, (1)Singapore-MIT Alliance for Research and Technology (SMART), Singapore, Singapore, (2)Smithsonian Institution, National Museum of Natural History, Dept. of Anthropology, Washington, United States, (3)University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, (4)Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (5)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Dept. of Earth Sciences, Minneapolis, MN, United States, (6)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cambridge, MA, United States
17:46
Improved Prediction of Debris-Flow Deposit Delivery in Headwaters of the OCR (771912)
Erik Rose, Oregon State University, Corvallis, OR, United States and Stephen Thomas Lancaster, Oregon State University, Geosciences, Corvallis, OR, United States
17:50
Queering Predictive Geomorphology (688971)
BT Werner, University of California - San Diego, Complex Systems Laboratory; Climate, Atmospheric Science and Physical Oceanography Division, La Jolla, CA, United States
17:54
Progress in Prediction Using Geomorphic Transport Laws (770110)
William E Dietrich, University of California Berkeley, Earth and Planetary Science, Berkeley, CA, United States, Dino G. Bellugi, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States, Leonard S Sklar, San Francisco State University, Department of Geosciences, San Francisco, CA, United States, Jonathan D Stock, US Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, United States, Arjun M Heimsath, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States and Josh J Roering, University of Oregon, Eugene, OR, United States
17:58
On Lessons Drawn: Prediction In Geomorphology (765810)
Peter R Wilcock, Utah State University, Watershed Sciences, Logan, UT, United States
18:02
Discussion