B107
Ecological Forecasting in the Earth System I

Wednesday, 16 December 2020: 04:00-05:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Conveners:  Ann Raiho, University of Notre Dame, Notre Dame, IN, United States, Andria Dawson, Mount Royal University, Calgary, Canada and Cayelan Carey, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Biological Sciences, Blacksburg, VA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Michael Dietze, Boston University, Boston, MA, United States
Chairs:  Cayelan Carey, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Biological Sciences, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Andria Dawson, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Ann Raiho, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States
04:00
Toward integrated seasonal predictions of land and ocean carbon flux: lessons learned from NASA’s subseasonal-to-seasonal predictions (Invited) (665371)
Lesley Ott1, George C Hurtt2, James Tremper Randerson3, Abhishek Chatterjee4, Eunjee Lee5, Yang Chen3, Cecile S Rousseaux4, Lei Ma6, Benjamin Poulter1, Zhen Zhang7, Louise P Chini8, Laixiang Sun8 and Steven J Davis3, (1)NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (2)University of Maryland, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States, (3)University of California Irvine, Department of Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, (4)Universities Space Research Association Columbia, Columbia, MD, United States, (5)Universities Space Research Association Columbia, Greenbeltt, MD, United States, (6)University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (7)University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, (8)University of Maryland College Park, Department of Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States
04:04
Impact of Southern Hemisphere westerlies on deglacial and recent changes in oceanic carbon and atmospheric CO2 (Invited) (677230)
Laurie Menviel1, Paul Spence1 and Darryn Waugh2, (1)University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)Johns Hopkins Univ, Baltimore, MD, United States
04:08
Seasonal and near real-time forecasts of coral disease outbreak risk to aid management responses (667769)
Jamie Caldwell1, Scott F Heron2, C. Mark Eakin3, Austin Greene4, Erick Francis Geiger3,5, Gang Liu3,6, Jacqueline L De La Cour3,6 and Megan Donahue4, (1)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Honolulu, HI, United States, (2)James Cook University, Townsville, QLD, Australia, (3)NOAA/NESDIS/STAR Coral Reef Watch, College Park, MD, United States, (4)University of Hawai‘i at Manoa, Hawai‘i Institute of Marine Biology, Kane‘ohe, HI, United States, (5)Global Science and Technology Inc, Greenbelt, MD, United States, (6)Global Science and Technology Inc Greenbelt, Greenbelt, MD, United States
04:12
Near-term, iterative forecasts highlight the relative importance of two drivers for dynamic oxygen concentrations in a drinking water reservoir (763510)
Abigail Lewis1, Mary E Lofton1, Ryan McClure1, Whitney M Woelmer1, Paul C Hanson2, Quinn Thomas3 and Cayelan Carey1, (1)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Biological Sciences, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (2)University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States, (3)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Forest Resources and Environmental Conservation, Blacksburg, VA, United States
04:16
A hybrid empirical and parametric approach to forecasting dissolved oxygen in Lake Geneva to address long-term changes in lake biogeochemistry under re-oligotrophication and climate change (706231)
Ethan Deyle, Boston University, Department of Biology, Boston, MA, United States, Damien Bouffard, EAWAG Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology, Department Surface Waters Research & Management, Kastanienbaum, Switzerland and George Sugihara, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
04:20
Forecasting Grass Pollen with Satellite Sensor Time-series, Meteorology data, and Machine Learning Tools (766650)
Qiaoyun Xie1, Biswajeet Pradhan2, Abhirup Dikshit2, Ngoc Nguyen Tran1, Yuxia Liu1, Abolfazl Abdollahi2 and Alfredo R Huete1,2, (1)University of Technology Sydney, Faculty of Science, Ultimo, NSW, Australia, (2)University of Technology Sydney, Centre for Advanced Modelling and Geospatial Information Systems, Faculty of Engineering and IT, Ultimo, NSW, Australia
04:24
A Statistical Forecasting Approach to Metapopulation Viability Analysis (Invited) (665922)
Paige Howell, U.S. Geological Survey, Athens, GA, United States, Blake R Hossack, U.S. Geological Survey, Missoula, United States, Erin Muths, U.S. Geological Survey, Ft. Collins, United States, Brent H Sigafus, U.S. Geological Survey, Tucson, United States and Richard B Chandler, University of Georgia, Athens, United States
04:32
Discussion
See more of: Biogeosciences