Diagnostics, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Analysis of Earth and Environmental Models
Diagnostics, Sensitivity, and Uncertainty Analysis of Earth and Environmental Models
Session ID#: 119364
Session Description:
Environmental models are key simulation and prediction tools used in science and engineering. These complex models not only have uncertain inputs and structure, which propagate into uncertain model outputs, but also continually increase in computational demand with the pursuit of greater realism. Sensitivity and Uncertainty Analyses (SA/UA) are used to understand the implications of choices around model structure, identify important model parameters, and characterize uncertainties. This session invites contributions on both theory and application of model diagnostics, sensitivity and uncertainty analysis. We welcome submissions exploring the model-data interface, which plays an important role in uncertainty quantification. We invite applications to real-world problems such as studies focussing on water scarcity, contamination, and potential impacts of the COVID pandemic.
Particular topics of interest include:
- Strategies for more comprehensive and computationally efficient SA/UA
- Input data error quantification
- Parameterization alternatives: the dance of simple concepts and data fitting
- SA/UA improvements enabled by AI/ML techniques
Index Terms:
0430 Computational methods and data processing [BIOGEOSCIENCES]
1805 Computational hydrology [HYDROLOGY]
1846 Model calibration [HYDROLOGY]
1873 Uncertainty assessment [HYDROLOGY]
Primary Convener: Juliane Mai, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
Conveners: Lucy Amanda Marshall, University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Mary C Hill, University of Kansas, Geology, Lawrence, KS, United States and Saman Razavi, University of Saskatchewan, Saskatoon, SK, Canada
Primary Liaison: Juliane Mai, University of Waterloo, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada
See more of: Hydrology