H067
Hydrometeorologic extremes: prediction, simulation, and change

Session ID#: 156682

Session Description:
Hydrometeorologic extremes (e.g., droughts, floods, extreme precipitation and temperature) can have negative ecologic, economic, and societal impacts. The development of suitable preparation and mitigation strategies to counteract these consequences requires local and spatial estimates of the frequency, magnitude, and potential impact of such extremes under current and future conditions. However, hazard and risk assessment through statistical, hydrological, and impact modeling is challenging for several reasons, including inadequate data, the multivariate and compounding nature of extremes, and non-stationarities introduced by changes in climate, land use, or regulation.
We invite contributions tackling these and other challenges related to local and regional hydrometeorological hazard and risk assessments. Potential submissions include but are not limited to: stochastic simulations; novel datasets for different components of risk; predictions in ungauged basins; multivariate frequency analyses; assessment of regional and spatial dependencies; and approaches to quantify the future changes in extreme events.
Index Terms:

1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
1821 Floods [HYDROLOGY]
1833 Hydroclimatology [HYDROLOGY]


Primary Convener:  Manuela Irene Brunner, University of Freiburg, Institute of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Freiberg, Germany
Conveners:  Laurie Huning, California State University, Long Beach, Civil Engineering and Construction Engineering Management, Long Beach, United States, Larisa Tarasova, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Catchment Hydrology, Halle (Saale), Germany and Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
Student/Early Career Convener:  Larisa Tarasova, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research - UFZ, Catchment Hydrology, Halle (Saale), Germany
 
Advances in Hybrid Prediction of Hydrometeorological Extremes (Invited) (1043534)
Louise J. Slater and Simon Moulds, University of Oxford, School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
On the Performance of Global Climate Models in Reproducing the Catchment Rainfall Within-Storm Variability (1047584)
Roberto Quaglia1, Gabriele Villarini2, Dawei Han3 and Ross A Woods1, (1)University of Bristol, Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom, (2)University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States, (3)University of Bristol, Department of Civil Engineering, Bristol, United Kingdom
 
Climate-Catchment-Soil- and Land Use and Land Cover Controls on Streamflow Droughts in Tropical Catchments of Peninsular India (1054399)
Poulomi Ganguli, Aparna Raut, Naveen Kumar Purushothaman, Nukala Nagarjuna Reddy and Bhabani Sankar Das, Indian Institute of Technology Kharagpur, Agricultural and Food Engineering, Kharagpur, India
 
Projected changes in daily precipitation and temperature across Arizona using statistically downscaled CMIP6 climate models (1062218)
Taereem Kim, University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, United States and Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
 
A Multivariate Model of Atmospheric Water Balance to Estimate Extreme Storm Frequency in the Mississippi Basin (1063464)
Yuan Liu, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and Daniel Wright, University of Wisconsin Madison, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, United States
 
Using past and future hydrometeorological stress to inform water management in a changing climate: an approach to creating localized storylines in an Ethiopian river basin (1065365)
Meron Teferi Taye, International Water Management Institute, East Africa and Nile basin office, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia and Ellen Dyer, University of Oxford, School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
The driest and wettest: a bird’s eye view of hydrological extremes through GRACE and GRACE-FO satellites (1067266)
Bailing Li, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States and Matthew Rodell, NASA GSFC HSL, Greenbelt, United States
 
Mapping the Drought Nexus: Characterizing How Different Drought Metrics Observe Impacts in the Columbia River Basin (1067714)
Adi Stein, University of Washington Seattle, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States, Katherine Hegewisch, University of California Merced, Management of Complex Systems, Merced, CA, United States, Bart Nijssen, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seattle, WA, United States and John Abatzoglou, University of California Merced, Management of Complex Systems, Merced, United States
 
Characterizing and Modeling Non-stationary Errors in Stochastic Watershed Models (SWM) (1068125)
Zachary Brodeur, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, Ghazal Shabestanipour, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States, Scott Steinschneider, Cornell University, Ithaca, United States and Jonathan Lamontagne, Tufts University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Medford, MA, United States
 
Stochastic drought inflow series generation for the assessment of drought mitigation capability (1070685)
Jiheun Kim, University of Seoul, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), Seung Beom Seo, University of Seoul, Seoul, South Korea and Young-Oh Kim, Seoul National University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South)
 
Potential of Bayesian Network for regional rainfall prediction from multiple meteorological drivers (1072121)
Prabal Das and Kironmala Chanda, Indian Institute of Technology (Indian School of Mines), Department of Civil Engineering, Dhanbad, India
 
Warming reduces the efficacy of wet conditions to moderate extreme heat and atmospheric aridity across the Central Plains (1073620)
Felicia Chiang, NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, Benjamin Cook, NASA-GISS, New York, NY, United States and Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States
 
Exploring links between annual Maxima and Peaks over Threshold: a Study for the UK Records (1078128)
Ilaria Prosdocimi, Ca' Foscari University of Venice, Padova, ITALY and Thomas R Kjeldsen, University of Bath, Department of Architecture and Civil Engineering, Bath, United Kingdom
 
Scaling relationships of sub-daily precipitation extremes with temperature for monsoon and non-monsoon months in India (1078835)
Sachidanand Kumar, Kironmala Chanda and Srinivas Pasupuleti, Indian Institute of Technology (Indian School of Mines), Civil Engineering, Dhanbad, India
 
Understanding the Variability of Precipitation Extremes in CMIP6 Projections: Should We Use Stationary or Nonstationary Models? (1079502)
Hebatallah Mohamed Abdelmoaty, University of Calgary, Calgary, AB, Canada and Simon Michael Papalexiou, University of California Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States
 
Spatial-temporal assessment of precipitation variability and recent trend detection in annual, seasonal, and extreme values over Morocco: Application of innovative trend analysis method (1080271)
Ismail Bouizrou, UNITED STATES, Mourad Aqnouy, Moulay Ismaïl University, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Errachidia, Morocco, Applied Geology and Remote Sensing Research Team, Applied Geology Research Laboratory, Errachidia, Morocco and Abdelmounim Bouadila, Sidi Mohamed Ben Abdellah University, Faculty of Sciences and Techniques, Morocco, Functional Ecology and Environmental Engineering Laboratory, Fez, Morocco
 
BIPAD: A National Portal for Disaster Preparedness, Response & Recovery (1080461)
Ayush Raj Gyawali, Youth Innovation Lab, Disaster Risk Reduction Researcher, Kathmandu, Nepal
 
Robust Future Changes in Meteorological Drought in CMIP6 Projections Despite Uncertainty in Precipitation (1080656)
Anna Ukkola, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Martin Gerard De Kauwe, School of Biological Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom, Michael L Roderick, The Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Gab Abramowitz, Climate Change Research Centre, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Andy Pitman, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
EMPIRICAL ASSESSMENT OF CURRENT AND FUTURE MONTHLY R-FACTOR OVER ITALY (1085248)
Guido Rianna1, Roberta Padulano2, Monia Santini3, Marco Mancini4 and Mirko Stojiljkovic4, (1)Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Division on Regional Models and geo-hydrological impacts (REMHI), Caserta, Italy, (2)Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services Division (IAFES), Caserta, Italy, (3)Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Impacts on Agriculture, Forests and Ecosystem Services Division (IAFES), Viterbo, Italy, (4)Fondazione Centro Euromediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (CMCC), Advanced Scientific Computing Division (ASC), Lecce, Italy
 
Maximum Land Surface Temperatures under a Changing Climate: Modeling and Global Scale Analyses (1088058)
Milad Aminzadeh1, Dani Or2,3, Bjorn B Stevens4, Amir AghaKouchak5 and Nima Shokri1, (1)Hamburg University of Technology, Institute of Geo-Hydroinformatics, Hamburg, Germany, (2)Swiss Federal Institute of Technology ETH, Dept. of Environmental Syst. Sci., Zürich, Switzerland, (3)DRI Desert Research Institute, Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Reno, United States, (4)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (5)University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States
 
Assessment of Climate Change Induced Risks to Water Availability Using the Budyko Framework (1090248)
Fitsume Teshome Wolkeba1, Mukesh Kumar1 and Mesfin Mergia Mekonnen2, (1)University of Alabama, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, (2)University of Twente, Enschede, Netherlands
 
Observed Increase in Extreme Precipitation does not Lead to a Rise in Riverine Floods in India. (1090450)
Nanditha J S, Indian Institute of Technology, Gandhinagar, Discipline of Civil Engineering, Gandhinagar, India and Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Department of Civil Engineering, Ahmedabad, India
 
Understanding the Nonstationarity in the Seasonality of Extreme Precipitation: A Case Study of the Eastern United States (1092520)
Ali Aljoda1, Nirajan Dhakal2 and Bhikhari Tharu2, (1)Spelman College, Environmental and Health Sciences Program, Atlanta, United States, (2)Spelman College, Atlanta, GA, United States
 
Hydrological Drought Characteristics in Catchments with Intermittent Streamflow Regimes in the Conterminous United States (1096344)
Woonsup Choi, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, United States and Manuela Irene Brunner, University of Freiburg, Institute of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Freiberg, Germany
 
Urbanization Impacts on Precipitation Extremes Statistics and Design Curves for Hydraulic Infrastructures (1097762)
Puja Das1, Nishant Yadav2 and Auroop Ganguly2, (1)Northeastern University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, MA, United States, (2)Northeastern University, Boston, MA, United States
 
The Impact of Atlantic Tropical Storms on Agricultural Droughts in the United States (1100647)
Jae Yeol Song1, Peyman Abbaszadeh2, Proloy Deb1 and Hamid Moradkhani1, (1)The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States, (2)Princeton University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
An approach for predicting river discharge during heavy rain events using seismic noise data in ungauged mountainous river basins (1101418)
Shakti P.C., National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Storm, Flood and Landslide Research Division, Tsukuba, Japan and Kaoru Sawazaki, National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Earthquake and Tsunami Research Division, Tsukuba, Japan
 
Statistical analysis of flood damage characteristics in Japan using river basin averaged precipitation (1102454)
Kana Yamashita, Mihara, Hiroshima, JAPAN and Misako Hatono, Hiroshima University, Higashi-Hiroshima, Japan
 
Diverging scaling behavior of extreme precipitation and streamflow to dew point temperature in arid and humid catchments (1102595)
Rajesh Singh, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, 382, India and Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Department of Civil Engineering, Ahmedabad, India
 
Modeling extreme meteorological droughts from paleo-climatic reconstructions: A statistical approach based on the metastatistical framework (1102771)
Maria Francesca Caruso1, David Johnny Johnny Peres2, Antonino Cancelliere2 and Marco Marani1, (1)University of Padova, DICEA, Padova, Italy, (2)University of Catania, Catania, Italy
 
Simulating Hydrological Extremes for different Warming Levels – combining Large Scale Climate Ensembles with local observation based Machine Learning models (1103619)
Sandra Hauswirth1, Karin van der Wiel2, Marc FP Bierkens1,3, Vincent Beijk4 and Niko Wanders1, (1)Utrecht University, Department of Physical Geography, Utrecht, Netherlands, (2)Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, (3)Deltares, Delft, Netherlands, (4)Rijkswaterstaat, Water, Verkeer en Leefomgeving, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
Constraining the projected changes in compound hot and dry extremes in CMIP6 simulations (1106054)
Srinidhi Jha, ETH Zurich, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Zurich, Switzerland, Lukas Gudmundsson, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland and Sonia I Seneviratne, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland, Zürich, Switzerland
 
When Do Dry Spells Matter? A Seasonal Analysis of the Impact of Dry Spells on Crops (1106389)
Pedro Alencar and Eva Nora Paton Sr., Technical University Berlin, Ecohydrology, Berlin, Germany
 
Drought assessment has been outpaced by climate change: empirical arguments for a paradigm shift (1106892)
Zachary Harwood Hoylman, R. Kyle Bocinsky and Kelsey Jencso, University of Montana, Montana Climate Office, Missoula, MT, United States
 
Impacts of Urbanization in the Flood Hydrology of Major Cities across the Eastern United States (1111049)
Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States and Renato Amorim, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, United States
 
On the Projected Changes in the Seasonality and Magnitude of Precipitation Extremes (1111073)
Dario Treppiedi1, Gabriele Villarini2, Jens Bender3 and Leonardo Valerio Noto1, (1)University of Palermo, Department of Engineering, Palermo, Italy, (2)University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States, (3)Baden-Württenberg Cooperative State University, Mosbach, Germany
 
Validation of Community Earth System Model Hydrologic Variables Over the Mississippi River System To Understand Long Term Hydrometerologic Changes (1111978)
James Doss-Gollin, Rice University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States, Sylvia Dee, Rice University, Department of Earth, Environmental and Planetary Sciences, Houston, United States, Samuel E. Munoz, Northeastern University, Department of Marine & Environmental Sciences, Boston, MA, United States and Michelle O'Donnell, Northeastern University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Boston, MA, United States
 
How is rising temperature affecting the spatial extent of precipitation extremes: A global assessment (1118421)
Ankit Ghanghas1, Ashish Sharma2, Sayan Dey1 and Venkatesh Merwade1, (1)Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States, (2)University of New South Wales, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Multivariate Statistical Methods for Spatially Compound Extremes (1118931)
Charlotte Anne Love, University of California Irvine, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, United States, Brian E Skahill, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydrualic Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, United States, Laurie Huning, California State University, Long Beach, Civil Engineering and Construction Engineering Management, Long Beach, United States and Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States
 
Climatic Oscillation-based Multivariate Frequency Analysis of Spatio-temporal Drought Events. (1119081)
Sidhan V V and Sarmistha Singh, INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY PALAKKAD, Kerala, India
 
Projected Changes in Peak Discharge Across the Continental United States (1119525)
Hanbeen Kim, University of Iowa, IIHR-Hydroscience and Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States and Gabriele Villarini, University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
 
Continental-Scale Changes in Discharge of the Mississippi River Basin in Response to Future Hydroclimate Projections (1120589)
Adam W. Sisco1, Ahmad A Tavakoly1 and Shih-Chieh Kao2, (1)US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
 
Implementation of Modern Developments in Precipitation Intensity Duration Frequency Curves (IDF) of Baden Wuerttemberg, Germany (1123729)
Bushra Amin and András Bárdossy, University of Stuttgart, Department of Hydrology and Geohydrology, Institute for Modelling Hydraulic and Environmental Systems, Stuttgart, Germany
 
Identifying Compound Effects of Hydrometeorological Drivers on River Flooding by Explainable Machine Learning (1124909)
Shijie Jiang and Jakob Zscheischler, Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Department of Computational Hydrosystems, Leipzig, Germany
 
Diverse Physical Processes Drive Upper-Tail Flood Quantiles in the US Mountain West (1127395)
Guo Yu, Desert Research Institute Las Vegas, Las Vegas, NV, United States, Daniel B. Wright, University of Wisconsin Madison, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Madison, WI, United States and Frances V Davenport, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States
 
The Seasonality and Climate Predictability of Extreme Flood Events in The United States (1129709)
Ololade Alonge, CUNY City College of New York, New York, NY, United States and Naresh Devineni, The City University of New York (City College), Department of Civil Engineering, New York, United States
 
Long-Term Simulations using Coupled Models to Characterize Pluvial, Fluvial, and Coastal Flooding in the Delaware River Basin in a Changing Climate (1129754)
Dave Judi1, Ning Sun1, Mark S Wigmosta1, Zhaoqing Yang1, Hisham Eldardiry, Mithun Deb3 and Taiping Wang3, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Seattle, United States
 
Water Table Response to Extreme Precipitation Events (1133840)
Claudia Corona, University of Colorado at Boulder, Geosciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Shemin Ge, University of Colorado Boulder, Department of Geological Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States and Suzanne P Anderson, Univ of Colorado, INSTAAR and Department of Geological Sciences, Boulder, United States
 
Future US floods under a warmer climate: frequency, flashiness, spatial extent, and seasonality (1135099)
Zhi Li1, Shang Gao2, Mengye Chen3, Jonathan J Gourley4 and Yang Hong2, (1)University of Oklahoma Norman Campus, Norman, OK, United States, (2)University of Oklahoma, School of Civil Engineering and Environmental Science, Norman, United States, (3)The University of Oklahoma, Norman, OK, United States, (4)National Severe Storms Lab, Oklahoma City, OK, United States
 
Risk Assessment of Indian Summer Monsoon Rainfall Extremes using a Statistical Modelling Framework (1136344)
Athira K, Indian Institute of Technology Palakkad, Civil Engineering, Palakkad, India, Sarmistha Singh, INDIAN INSTITUTE OF TECHNOLOGY PALAKKAD, Kerala, India and Ash Abebe, Auburn University, Auburn, United States
 
Nonstationary GEV with Hierarchical Spatial Pooling: A Spatiotemporal Bayesian Framework for Nonstationary Extreme Precipitation Frequency Analysis in the Gulf Coast (1136415)
Yuchen Lu, Rice University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, United States, Benjamin Seiyon Lee, George Mason University, Department of Statistics, Fairfax, VA, United States and James Doss-Gollin, Rice University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Houston, TX, United States
 
Global seasonal-scale meteorological drought events and concurrent temperature abnormalities: Detection, classification, and temporal evolution-related characteristics (1136680)
Zhenchen Liu and Wen Zhou, Fudan University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences & Institute of Atmospheric Sciences, Shanghai, China
 
Socio-economic Adaptive Alternatives to Alleviate Regional Flood Risk for Future Climate Scenarios (1138327)
Mousumi Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Mumbai, India, Subhankar Karmakar, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Centre for Urban Science and Engineering, Mumbai, India and Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India
 
Compound and Seesaw Event Occurrence Across New Zealand: A Multivariate Perspective (1139466)
Morgan Bennet1, Daniel G Kingston1 and Nicolas J Cullen2, (1)University of Otago, Dunedin, New Zealand, (2)University of Otago, Department of Geography, Dunedin, New Zealand
 
Hourly Streamflow Generation using Hybrid Modified Continuous Time Markov Chain Model (1139734)
Shilpa L S and Srinivasan K, Indian Institute of Technology Madras, Chennai, India
 
Moist heatwave: a concern on workability and survivability in India (1140926)
Naveen Sudharsan, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Mumbai, India, Vittal Hari, Environmental Science and Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology (ISM), Dhanbad, India, Jitendra Singh, ETH Zürich, Department of Environmental Systems Science, Zurich, Switzerland, Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India and Subhankar Karmakar, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Centre for Urban Science and Engineering, Mumbai, India
 
Modelling asymmetrical and tail dependence for hydrological extremes in space and time (1141625)
Andras Bardossy, Retired, Washington, DC, United States
 
Characterization of Hydro-meteorological Extremes and Climate Change Projection for Predicting Water-induced Disasters in Songkhram River Basin, Thailand (1142335)
Triambak Baghel, Asian Institute of Technology, Water Engineering and Management, Surathani, Thailand and Mukand Singh Babel, Asian Institute of Technology, Water Engineering and Management, Pathumthani, Thailand
 
Projected Population Exposure to Drought in India using CMIP6 Forcing Scenarios (1142442)
Jew Das, Subhadarsini Das and N V Umamahesh, National Institute of Technology Warangal, Department of Civil Engineering, Warangal, India
 
Changes in Mediterranean Floods (1142953)
Yves Tramblay1, Luc Neppel1, Patrick Arnaud2, Eric Sauquet3, Guillaume Artigue1 and Michel Lang3, (1)HSM, Univ. Montpellier, CNRS, IRD, IMT Mines Alès, Montpellier, France, (2)RECOVER, INRAE, Aix Marseille Université, Aix-en-Provence, France, (3)RiverLy, INRAE, Lyon-Villeurbanne, France
 
Non-Stationary Hydrological Drought Index for Changing Climate. (1145100)
Usman Mohseni and Vinnarasi R, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Civil Engineering, Roorkee, India
 
Indian monsoon and its links with global and local climate variables. (1145230)
Ritesh Moon, Sejal Sankhala and Vinnarasi R, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Civil Engineering, Roorkee, India
 
Changes in drought across scales from local to global (1145294)
Justin Sheffield, University of Southampton, Geography and Environment, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom, Xing Yuan, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, School of Hydrology and Water Resources, Nanjing, China, Du Duong Bui, National Center for Water Resources Planning and Investigation, Hanoi, Vietnam, Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Department of Civil Engineering, Ahmedabad, India, Luke Olang, Technical University of Kenya, Centre for Integrated Water Resources Management, Nairobi, Kenya, Roger S Pulwarty, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States, Joy Obando, Kenyatta University, Nairobi, Kenya and Koen M J Verbist, UNESCO-IHP, Hydrological Systems and Global Change section, Paris, France
 
Distributed Flood Frequency Analysis Using Stochastic Storm Transposition and 2D HEC-HMS (1148042)
Gregory S Karlovits, US Army Corps of Engineers, Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, United States, Eric King, Dewberry, Fairfax, United States, Joshua Willis, U.S. Army Corps of Engineers Hydrologic Engineering Center, Davis, United States, David Rosa, FEMA, Risk Management Directorate, Washington, United States and Seth Lawler, Dewberry, Fairfax, VA, United States
 
Climate Change Impact on Flood Hazard in the Limpopo River Basin,Southern Africa (1152171)
Marcio Fernando Mathe, Eduardo Mondlane University, Maputo, Mozambique, Andreas Persson, Lund University, Lund, Sweden and Andrey Shindyapin, Eduardo Mondlane University, Department of Mathematics and Informatics, Maputo, Mozambique
 
Estimating the Impact of Urbanization on Non-stationary Models of Extreme Precipitation Events (1152964)
Haoran Wu and Tian Lan, Chang'an University, Xi'an, China
 
Short- and Long-term Precipitation Events Influencing Missouri River Flooding in Contemporary and Scenario Climate (1155708)
Brandon J Fisel, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States, Nathan Erickson, Iowa State University, Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, IA, United States, Colin Young, Iowa State University, Ames, United States and William J Gutowski Jr, Iowa State Univ, Ames, United States
 
Some Unique Features of Northern Indo-Gangetic Plain Droughts. (1158446)
Sarat Chandra, Indian Institute of Science, Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research, Bangalore, India, Venugopal Vuruputur, Indian Institute of Science, Centre for Atmospheric & Oceanic Sciences; Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research; Divecha Centre for Climate Change, Bangalore, India and Sekhar Muddu, Indian Institute of Science, Department of Civil Engineering, Interdisciplinary Centre for Water Research, Bangalore, India
 
Assessment of Potential Future Streamflow Scenarios for Long-Term Planning in the Colorado River Basin (1158615)
Homa Salehabadi, Utah State University, Utah Water Research Laboratory, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Logan, United States, David G Tarboton, Utah State University, Utah Water Research Laboratory, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Logan, UT, United States and Kevin Guy Wheeler, University of Oxford, Environmental Change Institute, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
Modelling Climate Change Induced Non-Stationarity in Rainfall Extremes (1160176)
Ankush ~, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India and Narendra Kumar Goel, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Hydrology, Roorkee, India
 
Response of Streamflow to Climate Change in the Colorado River Basin (1161342)
Sabiha Tabassum1, Wen-Ying Wu2, Zong-Liang Yang3, Paola Passalacqua4, Dev Niyogi3, Geeta Persad1, Richard Hoffpauir5, Helen Gerlach6, Marisa Flores-Gonzalez6 and Sara Eatman6, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, (2)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (3)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, Austin, TX, United States, (5)Hoffpauir Consulting, PLLC, Bryan, TX, United States, (6)Austin Water, Austin, United States
 
A Regionless Local Regression Approach for the Reconstruction of the Spatial Variability of Rainfall Extremes in a Complex Terrain (1161746)
Paola Mazzoglio, Ilaria Butera and Pierluigi Claps, Politecnico di Torino, Torino, Italy
 
On the Existence of Multiple States of Low Flow Extremes (1162451)
Pallavi Goswami, IITB-Monash Research Academy, Civil Engineering, Powai, India, Tim J Peterson, Monash University, Department of Civil Engineering, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Arpita Mondal, Associate Professor, Department of Civil Engineering and Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India and Christoph Rudiger, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
 
How land surface characteristics influence the development of flash drought (1164462)
Lauren Lowman, Wake Forest University, Engineering, Winston-Salem, NC, United States, Jordan I Christian, University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology, Norman, United States and Eric D Hunt, Atmospheric and Environmental Research, Lexington, MA, United States
 
Investigating the Effects of Extreme Rainfall Trends on Existing Water Infrastructure and Design Considerations across the Connecticut River Basin (1165082)
Stergios Emmanouil, University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, United States, Andreas Prevezianos, University of Patras, Civil Engineering, Patras, Greece, Andreas Langousis, University of Patras, Patras, Greece and Emmanouil Anagnostou, University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States
 
The role of antecedent conditions in the amplification of flooding from atmospheric rivers along the West Coast of the United States (1165270)
Mariana Webb, University of Nevada, Reno, Hydrologic Sciences, Reno, NV, United States, Christine Albano, Desert Research Institute, Division of Hydrologic Sciences, Reno, NV, United States, Adrian Adam Harpold, University of Nevada Reno, Department of Natural Resources and Environmental Science, Reno, NV, United States and Daniel McEvoy, Desert Research Institute, Division of Atmospheric Sciences, Reno, NV, United States
 
A New Framework for Generating Stochastic and Representative River Hydrographs for Long-term Simulations (1165872)
Mohamed M. Fathi1, Virginia Smith1, Ayman G Awadallah2, Anjali M Fernandes3, Michael T Hren4 and Dennis O Terry5, (1)Villanova University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Villanova, PA, United States, (2)Fayoum University, Civil Engineering, Fayoum, Egypt, (3)Denison University, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Granville, OH, United States, (4)University of Connecticut, Department of Earth Sciences, Groton, United States, (5)Temple University, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, United States
 
Improved Estimates of Irrigation Effect on Pre-monsoon Heat Extremes in India (1168415)
Roshan Jha1, Arpita Mondal2, Anjana Devanand3, Roxy Mathew Koll4 and Subimal Ghosh1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Mumbai, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering and Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Mumbai, India, (3)University of New South Wales, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (4)Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India
 
Assessing daily precipitation tail over India under changing climate (1168459)
Neha Gupta, Indian Institute of Technology, Ropar, Civil Engineering, Ropar, India and Sagar R Chavan, Indian Institute of Technology Ropar, Civil Engineering, Rupnagar, India
 
Non-stationary Analysis of Extreme Precipitation in the Northeast U.S. Using Three Dynamically Downscaled Global Climate Models (1169614)
David Coe, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, Eugene Yan, Argonne Natl Lab-Bldg 203, Argonne, IL, United States and Jeremy Feinstein, Argonne National Labratory, Chicago, United States
 
Potential of Gini Index to Predict Extreme Events in the Contiguous United States (1169644)
Shah Afzal Saki, University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, United States, Giulia Sofia, University of Connecticut, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, CT, United States and Emmanouil N Anagnostou, Professor, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Storrs, United States
 
Successes of the NOAA Hydrometeorological Testbed: Transitioning Research to Operations for Predicting Hydrometeorological Extremes (1170724)
James A. Nelson Jr, NOAA NWS Weather Prediction Center, College Park, United States, Andrea J Ray, NOAA/Earth System Research Lab, Boulder, CO, United States, Kirstin Harnos, NOAA/NWS/Weather Prediction Center, College Park, United States, James Correia, CIRES, NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, United States and Sarah Trojniak, Systems Research Group, NOAA/NWS/WPC/HMT, College Park, United States
 
Drivers and Characteristics of Unprecedented Flooding Across the United States (1175650)
Muhammad Omari and Laurie Huning, California State University, Long Beach, Civil Engineering and Construction Engineering Management, Long Beach, United States
 
A framework for nonstationary multivariate analysis of compound extremes (1176643)
Suchismita Subhadarsini, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Bangalore, India; Purdue University, Lyles School of Civil Engineering, West Lafayette, United States, Nagesh Kumar D, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, India and Rao S Govindaraju, Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States
 
Investigating the Viability of Gridded Climate Extreme Data for Coastal Water Resources Planning a California Case Study (1177703)
Laney Wicker, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States and Morgan C Levy, University of California San Diego, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, and School of Global Policy and Strategy, La Jolla, CA, United States
 
Identifying extreme flood drivers during abrupt shifts in climate using field-based investigations and numerical modeling in the Tennessee River Basin, USA (1180543)
Ray Lombardi, University of Memphis, Department of Earth Sciences, Memphis, United States, Lisa Davis, University of Alabama, Department of Geography, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States and Claudio I Meier, University of Memphis, Department of Civil Engineering, Memphis, TN, United States
 
Impacts of Barrier-Island Breaching On Mainland Flooding During Storm Events (1184567)
Catherine Jeffries, Blacksburg, VA, United States, Robert Weiss, Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, United States, Jennifer L Irish, Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, United States and Kyle T Mandli, Columbia University of New York, Applied Physics and Applied Mathematics, New York, NY, United States
 
The effects of the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, North Atlantic Oscillation, and the El Niño-Southern Oscillation on discharge variability in the Canadian Maritimes (1186142)
Duane Noel1, Jeannine-Marie St-Jacques1 and Sunil Gurrapu2, (1)Concordia University, Geography, Planning and Environment, Montreal, QC, Canada, (2)National Institute of Hydrology, Uttarakhand, India
 
Declining Dry Years in the California Sierra Nevada and Upper Colorado River Basins in CMIP6 Model Projections (1188355)
Josh Mumford, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, David W Pierce, Univ California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States and Daniel R Cayan, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States
 
A Penalized Spline Model Based Nonstationary Regional Rainfall Frequency Analysis in the Bayesian Framework (1191577)
Minkyu Jung1, Hemie Cho1, Subin Kang1 and Hyun-Han Kwon2, (1)Sejong University, Seoul, South Korea, (2)Sejong University, Soul, South Korea
 
Linking Drought Indicators to Multi-Sectoral Impacts in Complex Water Systems (1195792)
Alvar Escriva-Bou1, Michael D Dettinger2, Kurt Schwabe3, Josue Medellin-Azuara4, Theodore Grantham5, Jeff Mount6 and Ellen Hanak1, (1)Public Policy Institute of California, San Francisco, CA, United States, (2)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Center for Western Weather and Water Extremes, La Jolla, CA, United States, (3)University of California Riverside, Riverside, CA, United States, (4)University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, United States, (5)University of California Berkeley, Environmental Science, Policy, and Management, Berkeley, CA, United States, (6)University of California, Davis, Davis, United States
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