GC083
The effects of climate on land, water, and vegetation in the food system: next season to next century
Session ID#: 158088
Session Description:
We invite proposals that advance knowledge of how climate and climate change will affect future agriculture through relevant land-surface, hydrologic, and vegetation processes. Our session focuses on mechanisms and uncertainties of future risks and opportunities across seasonal, decadal, and climate change timescales. We welcome both modeling and observationally-based studies focused on climate variability, climate change, and the role of the land surface and plant physiology, including topics such as: CO2 physiological effects in crops, the relevance of future land-atmosphere interactions to the food system, forecasting agriculturally-relevant climate extremes at all timescales, crop yield prediction, the effects of climate change on agriculture, and changes to agriculturally-relevant water availability and use.
Index Terms:
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1631 Land/atmosphere interactions [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1880 Water management [HYDROLOGY]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Weston B Anderson, Earth System Science Interdisciplinary Center, COLLEGE PARK, MD, United States
Conveners: Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States; New York University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New York, NY, United States, Corey Samuel Lesk, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States; Dartmouth College, Neukom Institute and Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States and Abigail L. S. Swann, University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences and Biology, Seattle, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Corey Samuel Lesk, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States; Dartmouth College, Neukom Institute and Department of Geography, Hanover, NH, United States
Climate change will affect water availability and agriculture production in Southern Madagascar (Invited) (1046378)
Angela Jean Rigden, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Christopher Golden, Harvard TH Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States, Victor Ongoma, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, International Water Research Institute, Ben Guerir, Marrakech, Morocco, Duo Chan, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, United States, Lucas Vargas Zeppetello, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States, Jonathan Proctor, Harvard University, Center for the Environment, Cambridge, United States and Peter J Huybers, Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
Boost or burden: near-term climate change impacts on three US field crops (1056761)
Brian V Smoliak1, Aditya Ranade1, Ashly McFarlane1, Samuel F Potter1, Kelly Suttles2 and Eileen McLellan3, (1)Two Degrees Adapt, Saint Paul, United States, (2)Environmental Defense Fund Raleigh, Raleigh, United States, (3)Environmental Defense Fund DC, Washington, DC, United States
Unraveling the Impact of Climate Change and Soil Arsenic on Bangladeshi Rice Production (1076508)
Tianmei Wang1, E. Marie Muehe2 and Scott E Fendorf1, (1)Stanford University, Department of Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research, Department of Environmental Microbiology, Leipzig, Germany
Integrated Optimization Modeling to Assist Water Allocation and Cropping Patterns Decision-making under Climate Change in the Central Valley, California (1116149)
Liying Li, University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States, Josue Medellin-Azuara, University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, United States and Spencer Cole, University of California, Merced, Merced, CA, United States
Understanding The Influence Of Natural Climate Variability On Monsoon (Kharif) Cereal Crops In India (1124744)
Madhulika Gurazada, Washington State University Vancouver, School of the Environment, Vancouver, United States, Jitendra Singh, ETH Zürich, Department of Environmental Systems Science, Zurich, Switzerland, Sonali Shukla McDermid, New York University, Department of Environmental Sciences, New York, NY, United States and Deepti Singh, Washington State University Vancouver, School of the Environment, Vancouver, WA, United States
Projected Climate in Coffee‑Based Farming Systems: Implications for Crop Suitability in Uganda (1125364)
Catherine Mulinde1, Majaliwa Mwanjalolo Jackson-Gilbert1, Revocatus Twinomuhangi1, David Mfitumukiza1, Daniel Waiswa1, Fredrick Tumwine1, Edward Kato2, Judith Asiimwe3, Winfred N. Nakyagaba4 and David Mukasa3, (1)Makerere University, Department of Geography, Geo-informatics and Climatic Sciences, Kampala, Uganda, (2)International Food Policy Research Institute, Washington, United States, (3)International Institute of Tropical Agriculture (IITA-Uganda), Kampala, Uganda, (4)NARO National Agricultural Research Organization, Kampala, Uganda
Rice Rhizosphere Arsenic Dynamics Resulting from Alternate Wetting and Drying Under Future Climate Conditions (1138154)
Aria Duncan1, Tianmei Wang2 and Scott E Fendorf1, (1)Stanford University, Department of Earth System Science, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Stanford University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States
Large spatial variation and stagnation of cropland gross primary production increases the challenges of sustainable grain production and food security in China (1138254)
Fang Liu, University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States, Xiangming Xiao, Department of Microbiology and Plant Biology, Center for Spatial Analysis, University of Oklahoma, Norman, United States, Yuanwei Qin, University of Oklahoma, Department of Microbiology and Plant Biology, Norman, United States, HuiMin Yan, CAS Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijng, China, Jikun Huang, Peking University, Beijing, China, Xiaocui Wu, University of Illinois, Urbana-Champaign, United States, Yao Zhang, Peking University, Sino-French Institute for Earth System Science, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China, Zhenhua Zou, University of Maryland College Park, Geographical Sciences, College Park, MD, United States and Russell Doughty, University of Oklahoma, GeoCarb Mission and the College of Atmospheric and Geographic Sciences, Norman, United States
Extreme Weather Events and Food Production Under Present and Future Climate Variability and Change over India (1139684)
Subash Nataraja Pillai1, Harbir Singh2, M S Meena1 and Sonali Shukla McDermid3, (1)ICAR-Indian Institute of Farming Systems Research, Meerut, India, (2)ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India, (3)New York University, Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States
Monitoring Global Pastures and Grasslands using Visual Interpretations and EO Data Fusion (Invited) (1149984)
Lindsey Sloat1, Leandro L Parente2, Laerte Ferreira3, Tomislav Hengl2, Fred Stolle1, Elise Mazur1, Icshani Wheeler2, Nancy Harris1, Kris Deveria2, Nathália Monteiro Teles3, Steffen Fritz4, Tharles Andrade3, Ivelina Georgieva4, Vinícius Vieira Mesquita3 and Sarah Carter1, (1)World Resources Institute, Washington DC, United States, (2)OpenGeoHub Foundation, Wageningen, Netherlands, (3)Federal University of Goiás, LAPIG, Goiânia, Brazil, (4)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Quantifying the Impact of Urban Expansion until 2030 on Peri-Urban Agriculture, Hydrometeorology, Food Security and Human Health (1151839)
Jessica L McCarty1, Christopher Hain2, Molly Elizabeth Brown3, Kathryn Grace4, Andrew White5, Naaborle Sackeyfio6, Rahayu B Adzhar7, Walid Ouaret7, Maryam Zamanialaei7 and Brian Freitag8, (1)Miami University Oxford, Oxford, OH, United States, (2)National Integrated Drought Information System, Boulder, United States, (3)Department of Geographical Sciences, University of Maryland, Greenbelt, United States, (4)University of Minnesota Twin Cities, Minneapolis, United States, (5)University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States, (6)Miami University Oxford, Oxford, United States, (7)Geospatial Analysis Center, Department of Geography, Miami University, Oxford, United States, (8)University of Alabama in Huntsville, Huntsville, United States
Implementation and Evaluation of Reproductive Heat Stress in an Agroecosystem Model (1154441)
Kelsie Ferin, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Agronomy, Madison, WI, United States, Carl Bernacchi, University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Center for Advanced Bioenergy and Bioproducts Innovation, Urbana, United States, Christopher J Kucharik, Univ Wisconsin Madison, Department of Agronomy, Madison, WI, United States and Andy VanLoocke, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States
Agricultural practices help mitigate climate change challenges on food production and water use in the North American Breadbasket (1182079)
Zhe Zhang1, Yanping Li1, Fei Chen2, Cenlin He3, Prasanth Valayamkunnath2, Jay Famiglietti4 and Zhenhua Li1, (1)University of Saskatchewan, Global Institute for Water Security, Saskatoon, SK, Canada, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, United States, (3)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Research Applications Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)University of Saskatchewan, Global Institute for Water Security, Saskatoon, Canada
Climate Change and variability effects on phenology, water use and productivity through multi-model simulation approach under irrigated rice-wheat system (1184751)
Subash Nataraja Pillai1, Harbir Singh2, M S Meena1 and Sonali Shukla McDermid3, (1)ICAR-Indian Institute of Farming Systems Research, Meerut, India, (2)ICAR-Indian Agricultural Research Institute, New Delhi, India, (3)New York University, Environmental Studies, New York, NY, United States
Quantifying Climate Change Impacts on Water Use and Yield of Almond and Pistachio Crops in the San Joaquin Valley (1188281)
Anshika Kandhway1, Fabio Scarpare2, Mingliang Liu3, Roger Nelson3, Jennifer C Adam2, Martha H Conklin4 and Mohammad Safeeq5, (1)University of California Merced, Merced, CA, United States, (2)Washington State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pullman, WA, United States, (3)Washington State University, Pullman, WA, United States, (4)University of California Merced, Sierra Nevada Research Institute, Merced, CA, United States, (5)Oregon State University, Corvallis, United States
Changes in teleconnection patterns between representative atmospheric circulations and crop yield under climate change (1196067)
Suning Liu, IBS Center for Climate Physics, Busan, South Korea, Christian Franzke, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, Lan Dai, Tsinghua University, Department of Earth System Science, Beijing, China; IBS center of Climate Physics, Busan, South Korea, Lei Huang, ITP Institute of Tibetan Plateau Research, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China and Haiyun Shi, Southern University of Science and Technology, Shenzhen, China
