A091
The Madden-Julian Oscillation and Convectively Coupled Waves in the Tropics: Observations, Theory, Modeling, and Prediction

Session ID#: 158853

Session Description:
The Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO) and convectively coupled tropical waves (CCTWs) serve as the dominant source of Earth system predictability on the subseasonal time scale and are a known driver of high-impact weather events across the globe. 

Despite notable progress in recent decades, many fundamental questions about the MJO and CCTWs remain unanswered, and they are poorly represented in many Earth system and weather prediction models.

We solicit presentations of observational, theoretical, modeling, and predictability studies that target process-level understanding of the MJO and CCTWs and enhanced representation of them in weather and climate models.  Specific topics of interest include but are not limited to: 

  • New observations of key processes;
  • Interactions with the Maritime Continent landmasses, the ocean, and the stratosphere;
  • Data-driven (AI/ML) mechanism studies and model development efforts;
  • Development of hierarchical modeling frameworks and process-oriented diagnostics/metrics; and
  • Prediction skill and predictability assessment in dynamical and ML models.
Index Terms:

3371 Tropical convection [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3373 Tropical dynamics [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3374 Tropical meteorology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]


Primary Convener:  Daehyun Kim, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States
Conveners:  Charlotte A DeMott, Colorado State University, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Tamaki Suematsu, RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan and Ángel Francisco Adames-Corraliza, University of Wisconsin Madison, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, WI, United States
 
Long-term trend and multidecadal variability of Madden Julian Oscillation phase speed modulated by horizontal moisture gradient (1044972)
Panini Dasgupta1,2, Roxy Mathew Koll1, A.G. Prajeesh1, J S Saranya3 and Chennu Venkateswara Naidu4, (1)Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, (2)Andhra University, Department of Meteorology and Oceanography, Visakhapatnam, India, (3)Seoul National University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Seoul, Korea, Republic of (South), (4)Andhra University, Department of Meteorology and Oceanography, Vishakhapatnam, India
 
Stratospheric Modulation of the MJO through Cirrus Cloud Feedbacks (Invited) (1048406)
Jonathan Lin, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States; Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, New York, United States and Kerry Emanuel, MIT, Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States
 
The Moored Moist Static Energy Budget: Anchoring Air-Sea Interactions in the Indian Ocean Using Reanalysis (Invited) (1050063)
Adam Rydbeck1, Jonathan Christophersen2, Maria K. Flatau3, Matthew Janiga4, Tommy G Jensen5, Carolyn A. Reynolds4, James A Ridout3, Travis Smith6 and Hemantha W Wijesekera6, (1)Naval Research Laboratory, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (2)US Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, United States, (3)Naval Research Laboratory, Monterey, CA, United States, (4)US Naval Research Laboratory, Marine Meteorology Division, Monterey, CA, United States, (5)US Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences Division, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States, (6)Naval Research Laboratory, Ocean Sciences, Stennis Space Center, MS, United States
 
Atmospheric Cloud-Radiative Effect Changes in the Madden-Julian Oscillation under Global Warming (1062035)
Qiao-Jun Lin1, Jia-Yuh Yu1, Angel Adames-Corraliza2 and Victor C. Mayta2, (1)National Central University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Taoyuan, Taiwan, (2)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States
 
Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on the diurnal cycle of surface latent heat flux (evaporation) over the Maritime Continent (1066890)
Toshiaki Shinoda, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, United States and Suyang Pei, Texas A&M University Corpus Christi, Corpus Christi, TX, United States
 
Westward-Propagating Moisture Mode Over the Tropical Western Hemisphere (1072665)
Victor C. Mayta1, Angel Adames-Corraliza1 and Fiaz Ahmed2, (1)University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Los Angeles, CA, United States
 
Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature Gradient on Monsoon Intraseasonal Oscillation (1083086)
Baosheng Li, Second Institute of Oceanography, Hangzhou, China, Lei Zhou, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Institute of Oceanography, Shanghai, China and Dake Chen, Second Institute of Oceanography, State Oceanographic Administration of China, Hangzhou, China
 
The Role of Cloud-Radiation Interaction in the Aquaplanet Simulation of MJO-Like Oscillations (1083163)
Yuanyuan Huang, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, Hong Kong and Xiaoming Shi, Hong Kong University of Science and Technology, Hong Kong, China
 
MJO Diversity in CMIP6 Models (1087188)
Seung-Yoon Back, Seoul, Seoul, SOUTH KOREA, Daehyun Kim, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States and Seok-Woo Son, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea
 
The Basic Equations under Weak Temperature Gradient Balance: Formulation, Scaling, and Types of Convectively Coupled Motions (1092221)
Angel Adames-Corraliza, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States
 
The role of water vapor and temperature in the thermodynamics of east Pacific and African easterly waves (1095605)
Rosa Vargas Martes, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States and Angel Adames-Corraliza, University of Wisconsin Madison, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Madison, United States
 
Influence of the Madden-Julian Oscillation on Boreal Winter Monsoon Extreme Precipitation Events in the Bicol Region, Philippines (1098403)
Ryan TAMAYO Diocampo1,2, Gerry Bagtasa1, Alvin Pura2, Shirley David2, Esperanza O. Cayanan3 and Ramjun Sajulga2, (1)University of the Philippines Diliman, Institute of Environmental Science and Meteorology, Quezon City, Philippines, (2)Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration, Research and Development and Training Division - Numerical Modelling Section, Quezon City, Philippines, (3)Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical, and Astronomical Services Administration, Office of the Deputy Administrator for Research and Development, Quezon City, Philippines
 
Characteristics of the Madden-Julian Oscillation reproduced in a NICAM-AMIP type simulation (1103119)
Tamaki Suematsu, RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan, Hiroaki Miura, Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan, Chihiro Kodama, JAMSTEC, Yokohama, Japan and Daisuke Takasuka, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan
 
Relationship between Sea Surface Temperature and Convectively Coupled Equatorial Waves in CMIP6 models (1103694)
Rehan Hossain, Bibhuti Sharan Keshav and Kiranmayi Landu, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India
 
QBO Deepens MJO Convection (1117572)
Daehyun Kim, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, WA, United States, Daeho Jin, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Seok-Woo Son, Seoul National University, Seoul, South Korea and Lazaros Oreopoulos, NASA GSFC, Greenbelt, United States
 
Early Results from the MJO-SST Sensitivity Model Intercomparison Project (MSMIP) (1123988)
Charlotte A DeMott, Colorado State University, Atmospheric Science, Fort Collins, CO, United States, Richard B Neale, NCAR, Boulder, United States, Ching-Shu Hung, National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan, Tamaki Suematsu, RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan, Yuki Takano, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan, Wan-Ling Tseng, National Taiwan University, International Degree Program in Climate Change and Sustainable Development, Taipei, Taiwan, Steve J Woolnough, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom, Prince Kattanchery Xavier, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom and Ming Zhao, NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
 
Response of the convectively coupled Kelvin waves to surface temperature forcing (1158230)
Mu-Ting Chien, University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States and Daehyun Kim, University of Washington Seattle Campus, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States
 
Quantifying the Impact of Convectively Coupled Tropical Waves on the East Pacific ITCZ during Boreal Spring (1159766)
Fouzia Fahrin1, Alex Omar Gonzalez1,2, Brett Christopher Chrisler3, Justin P Stachnik3 and Carrie Lewis-Merritt3, (1)Iowa State University, Department of Geological and Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States, (2)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, MA, United States, (3)University of Kansas, Dept. of Geography & Atmospheric Science, Lawrence, United States
 
Trend and Inter-annual Variability of Mixed Rossby-Gravity Wave Events in the Upper Troposphere (1162488)
Shreya Keshri, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Pune, India, Mehak S, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Pune, Earth and Climate Science, Pune, India and E Suhas, Indian Institiute of Science Education and Research, Earth and Climate Science, Pune, India
 
Role of Subtropical Rossby Waves in Amplifying the Kelvin-Mode Circulation Component of the Madden-Julian Oscillation (1164778)
Pragallva Barpanda, Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences, CIRES / NOAA, PSL, Boulder, United States, Stefan Tulich, CIRES/University of Colorado, Longmont, CO, United States, Juliana Dias, NOAA, Boulder, United States and George N Kiladis, NOAA, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Excitation of an MJO event in transient response to sea surface warming simulated by the Super-Parameterized CAM (1167919)
Yu Liang, Yale University, New Haven, CT, United States and Alexey V Fedorov, Yale University, New Haven, United States
 
A Rotation Procedure to Improve Seasonally Varying Empirical Orthogonal Function Bases for MJO Indices (1176991)
Sarah Weidman1, Kuang Zhiming2 and Edward Kleiner1, (1)Harvard University, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Harvard University, Cambridge, United States
 
Vertical cloud and velocity structure of convectively-coupled equatorial waves and the Madden-Julian Oscillation (1181201)
Xuechang Liu, Indiana University Bloomington, Bloomington, IN, United States, Paul W. Staten, Indiana University Bloomington, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Bloomington, IN, United States and Brian H Kahn, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
 
Vertically resolved analysis of the Madden-Julian Oscillation highlights the role of convective transport of moist static energy (1186671)
Da Yang, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Walter M Hannah, Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, CA, United States
 
Tropical Intraseasonal Variability Response to Zonally Asymmetric Forcing in an Idealized Moist GCM (1186871)
Cameron MacDonald, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and Yi Ming, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, United States
 
Probability of extreme MCS precipitation is increased by convectively coupled equatorial waves (1189266)
Yuan-Ming Cheng, George N Kiladis and Juliana Dias, NOAA, Boulder, United States
 
Is the Process of MJO Propagation into the Western Pacific Deterministic? (1189747)
Daisuke Takasuka, Japan Agency for Marine-Earth Science and Technology, Yokohama, Kanagawa, Japan, Tamaki Suematsu, RIKEN Center for Computational Science, Kobe, Japan and Hiroaki Miura, Graduate School of Science, The University of Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan
 
Long Term Changes in the Intensity, Frequency, and Asymmetry of Equatorial Intraseasonal Oscillations over India. (1200419)
Chinnaswamy Kumar Deepak, Indian Institute of technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Jatani, India and Kiranmayi Landu, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India
 
Moist static energy budget of intense and weak MJO events (1200568)
Kiranmayi Landu and Bibhuti Sharan Keshav, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India
 
A model of convectively coupled equatorial Rossby wave over the Indo-Pacific warm pool (1200780)
Guosen Chen, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China
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