GC025
Cross-disciplinary systems modeling advances for sustainability science

Session ID#: 159159

Session Description:
From adaptive management to climate justice, systems thinking informs how we understand and create sustainable futures. Complex interactions in coupled human-natural systems are difficult to model due to emergent properties, thresholds, and feedbacks. This knowledge gap leads to unintended consequences and limits our ability to intervene effectively towards a more just and sustainable world. However, advances in systems modeling have developed across many domains, including approaches to address systems-of-systems (e.g. water-energy-food), co-benefits (e.g. climate and air quality), cascading failures (e.g. wildfires and electricity outages), and human-environment feedbacks (e.g. land-use change and atmosphere interactions). Here we aim to advance sustainability science research by facilitating cross-disciplinary advances.  We invite papers discussing: 1) methodological contributions in systems modeling for sustainability science, 2) novel applications in diverse domains or geographies, and 3) mixed-methods approaches that connect systems modeling with other areas of sustainability science. We are particularly interested in stimulating discussion on the potential and limits for translating insights and solutions across domains.
Index Terms:

1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1918 Decision analysis [INFORMATICS]
1952 Modeling [INFORMATICS]
6339 System design [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]

Primary Convener:  Sarah Fletcher, Stanford University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States
Conveners:  Morgan Edwards, University of Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States, Megan Lickley, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States and Amanda Giang, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Institute for Data, Systems, and Society and Department of Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, United States
 
Systems Modeling for Sustainable Biomass Utilization in Urban and Rural Areas (1063269)
Yuan Yao, Yale University, Yale School of the Environment, New Haven, CT, United States
 
A Socio-Hydrological Framework to Assess Rate Design for Water Affordability (1069353)
Adam Nayak1, Ben Rachunok1, Barton Thompson2,3 and Sarah Fletcher1, (1)Stanford University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States, (2)Stanford University, Stanford, United States, (3)Stanford Law School, Stanford, United States
 
Modeling the Effects of Snag Removal on Wildfire Behavior after Beetle Outbreaks (1076254)
Jianning Ren, University of Nevada, Reno, Natural Resources & Environmental Science, Reno, United States, Crystal Kolden, University of California Merced, Management of Complex Systems, Merced, CA, United States and Erin J Hanan, University of Nevada Reno, Natural Resources and Environmental Science, Reno, United States
 
Commodity-Specific Health and Climate Impacts of Electrification of Long-Haul Trucks (1090402)
Eleanor Hennessy, Stanford University, Energy Resources Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States, Corinne D. Scown, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Energy Analysis & Environmental Impacts Division, Berkeley, CA, United States and Ines Azevedo, Stanford University, Energy Resource Engineering, Stanford, CA, United States
 
Long-term Economic and Environmental Impacts of Groundwater Management: Modelling Real-world Agents under Multiple Future Climate Scenarios (1100940)
Soheil Nozari1, Ryan Bailey1, Mani Rouhi Rad2, Garvey E. B. Smith3, Allan Andales3, Meagan Schipanski4, Zachary T. Zambreski5 and Xiaomao Lin5, (1)Colorado State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (2)Texas A&M University College Station, Department of Agricultural Economics, College Station, United States, (3)Colorado State University, Soil and Crop Sciences, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (4)Colorado State University, Department of Soil and Crop Sciences, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (5)Kansas State University, Department of Agronomy, Manhattan, United States
 
Global Water Resources Modeling With an Integrated Model of the Social–Economic–Environmental System (1117405)
Slobodan P. Simonovic, University of Western Ontario, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada
 
Household Vulnerability and Food Security Modeled Across a Southern African, Semiarid Land System (1124051)
Forrest R. Stevens1, Andrea E Gaughan2, Jonathan Salerno3, Narcisa GABRIELA Pricope4, Lin Cassidy5, Karen Bailey6, Joel Hartter7, Nicholas Kolarik8, Ariel Weaver9 and Michael Drake6, (1)University of Louisville, Dept. of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Louisville, KY, United States, (2)University of Louisville, Dept. of Geographic and Environmental Sciences, Louisville, United States, (3)Colorado State University, Department of Human Dimensions of Natural Resources, Warner College of Natural Resources, Fort Collins, CO, United States, (4)University of North Carolina at Wilmington, Wilmington, United States, (5)Okavango Research Institute, Maun, Botswana, (6)University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, United States, (7)University of Colorado at Boulder, Environmental Studies Program, Boulder, United States, (8)Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States, (9)University of Louisville, Louisville, United States
 
Spatial Distribution of Wildfire Threat in the Far North: Exposure Assessment in Boreal Communities (1131936)
Jennifer Schmidt, University of Alaska Anchorage, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Anchorage, AK, United States, Robert Ziel, University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, United States, Monika P Calef, Soka University of America, Aliso Viejo, United States and Anna Varvak, Soka University, Aliso Viejo, CA, United States
 
Combining Climate Change driven Sea Level Rise and Multi-hazard Impacts on the Built Environment (1134283)
Emily Mongold, Stanford, CA, UNITED STATES and Jack W Baker, Stanford Univ, Stanford, CA, United States
 
Neighborhood-Scale Air Quality and Health Impacts from EV Adoption in the U.S. Midwest (1149294)
Maxime A Visa1, Anastasia Montgomery2, Sara Camilleri2, Jordan Schnell3, Mark Janssen4, Zac Adelman4, Susan Anenberg5, Emily Grubert6 and Daniel E Horton7, (1)Northwestern University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Evanston, IL, United States, (2)Northwestern University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, Evanston, United States, (3)Cooperative Institute for Research in Environmental Sciences (CIRES), University of Colorado Boulder and NOAA ESRL Global Systems Laboratory, Boulder, CO, United States, (4)Lake Michigan Air Directors Consortium, Hillside, United States, (5)George Washington University, Department of Environmental and Occupational Health, Washington, DC, United States, (6)University of Notre Dame, Keough School of Global Affairs, Notre Dame, United States, (7)Stanford University, Stanford, United States
 
Co-Producing Multi-Sector Zero-Carbon Infrastructure Transitions Across 182 Communities in a US Metro Region (Invited) (1151699)
Anu Ramaswami, Princeton University, Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering; High Meadows Environmental Institute & M.S. Chadha Center for Global India, Princeton, United States
 
Effect of natural variability in mediating short term adaptation to air pollution (1171054)
Matthew Sparks, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, ON, Canada, Rebecca Saari, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, Isaiah Farahbakhsh, University of Guelph, Guelph, ON, Canada, Madhur Anand, University of Guelph, School of Environmental Sciences, Guelph, ON, Canada, Chris Bauch, University of Waterloo, Waterloo, Canada, Fernando Garcia-Menendez, Assistant Professor, NC State University, Raleigh, NC, United States, James D East, North Carolina State University, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Raleigh, United States, Maria Mirabelli, US Centers for Disease Control, Atlanta, Georgia, Erwan Monier, University of California Davis, Land, Air & Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States, Megan Lickley, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Earth, Atmospheric, and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States and Kathryn Conlon, University of California Davis School of Medicine, Department of Public Health Sciences, Davis, United States
 
Quantifying the Resilience Value of Replacing Diesel Generators with Solar PV and Storage Microgrids (1171989)
Sunjoo Hwang, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, Sopitsuda Tongsopit, Independent Researcher, Sacramento, United States and Noah Kittner, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
 
Integrating Quantitative Assessment and Qualitative Stakeholder Inputs to Advance Systems Modeling and Guide the Pursuit of Sustainable Agriculture (1181662)
Kevin Edward Jackson1, Rosario Castro Bernardini2, Eric A Davidson3, William Dennison4, Lilian Nkengla2, Srishti Vishwakarma1 and Xin Zhang1, (1)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Appalachian Laboratory, Frostburg, United States, (2)Oxfam America, Washington, DC, United States, (3)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science Appalachian Laboratory, Frostburg, MD, United States, (4)University of Maryland Center for Environmental Science, Cambridge, MD, United States
 
Water and Generation Resource Integrated Database (wGRID): A Tool to Quantify Water Impacts of Electricity Use (1181850)
Jacob Gradwohl1, Parichehr Salimifard2, Jonathan Buonocore3, Mahala Lahvis4 and Joseph G Allen4, (1)Oregon State University, College of Engineering, Corvallis, OR, United States, (2)Oregon State University, College of Engineering, Corvallis, United States, (3)Boston University, School of Public Health, Environmental Health, Boston, United States, (4)Harvard University, Environmental Health, Cambridge, United States
 
Combining InSAR and Comprehensive Subsurface Data to Understand Regional Anthropogenic Uplift, Subsidence, Faulting and Earthquakes in the Delaware Basin, West Texas (1185596)
Peter Hennings1, Scott James Staniewicz2, Jingyi Chen3, Katie M Smye4, Elizabeth Horne5, Jean-Philippe Nicot5, Robert C Reedy4 and Bridget R Scanlon4, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (2)University of Texas Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (3)University of Texas at Austin, Aerospace Engineering & Engineering Mechanics, Austin, TX, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States, (5)University of Texas at Austin, Bureau of Economic Geology, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States
 
Evaluation of Techno-Economical Feasibility and Carbon Intensity of Decarbonization Energy Pathways for U.S. Freight Rail (1193640)
Tongchuan Wei, Aditya Sinha, Jeremiah Johnson and George List, North Carolina State University, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Raleigh, United States
 
Drawing on multiple ways of knowing to model environmental drivers of methylmercury bioaccumulation in the Beaufort Sea food web (1193751)
Emma Gillies and Amanda Giang, University of British Columbia, Institute for Resources, Environment and Sustainability, Vancouver, BC, Canada
 
Environmental and Health Co-benefits of Sustainable Food System Strategies (1195921)
Yixin Guo1, Denise L Mauzerall2, Lin Zhang3, Timothy Searchinger4, Pan He5, Zhenling Cui6, Youfan Chen3, Fabien Paulot7, Da Pan8, Weifeng Zhang6, Fusuo Zhang6, Mi Zhou3, Marco Springmann9, Haiyue Tan3, Julius Vira10, Gang Liu11, Peter G M Hess12 and Lin Ma13, (1)Peking University, Beijing, China, (2)Princeton University, Princeton School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, United States, (3)Peking University, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Beijing, China, (4)Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom, (6)CAU China Agricultural University, Beijing, China, (7)NOAA Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, (8)Princeton University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Princeton, NJ, United States, (9)Oxford Martin Program on the Future of Food and Nuffield Department of Population Health, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (10)Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland, (11)d SDU Life Cycle Engineering, Department of Green Technology, University of Southern Denmark, 5230,, Odense, Denmark, (12)Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, (13)Key Laboratory of Agricultural Water Resources, Hebei Key Laboratory of Soil Ecology, Center for Agricultural Resources Research, Institute of Genetic and Developmental Biology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shijiazhuang, China, Beijing, China
 
Global Greenhouse Gases Emissions Effect on Extreme Events under an Uncertain Future: a case study in Western Cape, South Africa (1198533)
Bowen He, Vanderbilt University, Nashville, TN, United States and Ke Ding, Vanderbilt University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Nashville, TN, United States
 
Simulation and Evaluation of Electric Power Flow to Predict Regional U.S. Water Footprints (1199719)
Okan Pala1, Richard Rushforth2, Jack Trudan3, Ben Kurian3, Tiffany Ard3 and Benjamin L Ruddell2, (1)North Carolina State University Raleigh, Center for Geospatial Analytics, Raleigh, United States, (2)Northern Arizona University, School of Informatics, Computing, and Cyber Systems, Flagstaff, AZ, United States, (3)North Carolina State University Raleigh, Computer Science Department, Raleigh, United States
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