A056
Extreme Events: Observations and Modeling

Session ID#: 159636

Session Description:
This session invites abstracts on observational and numerical modeling studies of the extreme events such as flash floods, droughts, heat waves, cold waves, strong winds, tropical cyclones etc. to understand their spatiotemporal characteristics. In particular, the abstracts are encouraged on exploring the extreme events related hazards in past years and in near or far future (30-100 years), which would assist the policy makers to build potentially more resilient societies. This session also welcomes presentations on model simulation and assessment of extreme events to build confidence in modeling capabilities for future projections.
Co-Sponsor(s):
  • AOGS: Asia Oceania Geosciences Society -
  • EGU: European Geosciences Union -
  • JpGU: Japan Geoscience Union -
  • WCRP: World Climate Research Programme -
Index Terms:

3309 Climatology [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3372 Tropical cyclones [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4335 Disaster management [NATURAL HAZARDS]


Primary Convener:  Sridhara Nayak, Japan Meteorological Corporation Limited, Earth Science Center, Osaka, Japan
Conveners:  Tetsuya Takemi, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, Isao Kanda, Japan Meteorological Corporation Limited, Earth Science Center, Osaka, Japan and Satoshi Iizuka, NIED, Tsukub, Japan
Student/Early Career Convener:  Sridhara Nayak, Japan Meteorological Corporation Limited, Earth Science Center, Osaka, Japan
 
The North Atlantic Ocean Response to Recent Marine Heatwaves (1048162)
Lydia Duncan, University of South Carolina Columbia, Columbia, SC, United States, Subrahmanyam Bulusu, University of South Carolina Columbia, School of the Earth, Ocean and Environment, Columbia, SC, United States and Corinne Trott, US Naval Research Laboratory, Washington, DC, United States
 
Modelling Extreme Mei-yu Rainfall Over China Using Causal-Physical Drivers (1052918)
Kelvin Ng1, Gregor C Leckebusch1 and Kevin Hodges2, (1)University of Birmingham, Birmingham, B15, United Kingdom, (2)University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Water Origins and Isotopic Composition of Heavy Baiu/Meiyu Rainfall: a Case Study in Southwestern Japan in Early July 2020 (1054432)
Xiaoyang LI1, Ryuichi Kawamura1, Kimpei Ichiyanagi2 and Kei Yoshimura3, (1)Kyushu University, Faculty of Science, Fukuoka, Japan, (2)Kumamoto University, Faculty of Advanced Science and Technology, Kumamoto, Japan, (3)The University of Tokyo, Institute of Industrial Science, Kashiwa, Japan
 
What Factors Contributed to the Torrential Rainfall of Hurricane Harvey over Texas? (1055025)
Satoshi Iizuka, NIED National Research Institute for Earth Science and Disaster Resilience, Tsukuba, Japan
 
Revealing the Spatiotemporal Properties of the Mesoscale Convective Systems Most Conductive to the Precipitation Extremes during the 2021-2022 Malaysian Floods (1055112)
Jingyu Wang1, Edward Park2, Xianfeng Wang3 and Luojie Dong1, (1)Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, (3)Nanyang Technological University, School of the Environment, Singapore, Singapore
 
Changing Temporal Volatility of Precipitation Extremes due to Global Warming (1055144)
Christian L. E. Franzke, Institute for Basic Science, Center for Climate Physics, Busan, South Korea
 
Evaluating the impact of statistical bias correction on precipitation extreme indices in the Jemma sub-basin of Blue Nile Basin (1057653)
Gebrekidan Tefera1, Ram L Ray1 and Yihun Dile Taddele2, (1)Prairie View A & M University, Cooperative Agricultural Research Center, Prairie View, TX, United States, (2)Texas A&M University College Station, College Station, United States
 
Assessing the role of BSISO in the 2015 heatwave over India. (1057837)
Tukaram Zore, IIT Bhubaneswar, Bhubaneswar, India and Kiranmayi Landu, Indian Institute of Technology Bhubaneswar, School of Earth Ocean and Climate Sciences, Bhubaneswar, India
 
Alongshore Upwelling Modulates the Intensity of Marine Heatwaves in a Temperate Coastal Sea (1058839)
Paula Izquierdo1, Fernando Gonzalez1,2, Ricardo González Gil3, Julio Arrontes1 and José Manuel Rico Ordás1, (1)University of Oviedo, Oviedo, Spain, (2)AZTI Marine Research, Basque Research and Technology Alliance (BRTA), Sukarrieta, Spain, (3)University of Strathclyde, Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Strathclyde, United Kingdom
 
How High-Resolution Models Better Represent Atmospheric Circulations Associated With Extreme Wind Events in Midlatitude Cities (1068986)
Michael Morris, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada, Paul J Kushner, University of Toronto, Physics, Toronto, ON, Canada, Oya Mercan, University of Toronto, Civil & Mineral Engineering, Toronto, ON, Canada and Kent Moore, Univ Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada
 
Heat Wave Predictions with Dynamical and Statistical Downscaling Methods (1078795)
Leyuan Zhang1, Hannah Rubin1, Joshua S Fu1,2, Deeksha Rastogi2, Shih-Chieh Kao3 and Moetasim Ashfaq4, (1)University of Tennessee, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Knoxville, United States, (2)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge, United States, (3)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Environmental Sciences Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States, (4)Oak Ridge National Laboratory, Computational Sciences and Engineering Division, Oak Ridge, TN, United States
 
Combining Mesoscale Meteorological Simulation and Building-Resolving Large-Eddy Simulation to Assess the Impacts of Global Warming on Wind Hazard in Urban Districts (1085354)
Tetsuya Takemi, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan, Guangdong Duan, DMU Dalian Maritime University, Dalian, China and Kumi Nakamae, Kyoto University, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Uji, Japan
 
Future Changes in Temperature Extremes over the Mediterranean and Sahara (1087791)
Victor Ongoma, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University, International Water Research Institute, Ben Guerir, Marrakech, Morocco, Hassen Babaousmail, Wuxi Institute of Technology, Wuxi, China, Brian Ayugi, Seoul National University of Science and Technology, Department of Civil Engineering, Seoul, South Korea and Abdelghani Chehbouni, Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Ben Guerir, Morocco
 
Meteorological Drivers and Local Impacts of the Exceptional 2020 Labor Day Weather Event over Western North America (1097589)
Emma Russell1, Paul C Loikith2, Idowu Ajibade1, James Done3 and Chris Lower1, (1)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, United States, (2)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, (3)NCAR, Boulder, United States
 
Analysis of Indian Summer Monsoon Extreme Precipitation Events over the Himalayas (1100875)
Rohtash Saini, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research, Mohali, Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India and Raju Attada, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India
 
Have Rainfall Extremes Shifted over the Western Indian River Basins in the Last 119 years ? (1101070)
Pawan Kumar Chaubey, Banaras Hindu University, DST-Mahamana Centre of Excellence in Climate Change Research, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development, Varanasi, India and R K MALL, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India
 
Oceanic Preconditioning of Marine Heat Waves in the Yellow Sea (1103506)
Eun Young Lee1, Dong Eun Lee2, Young-Gyu Park3, Hyunjin Kang4, Hae Do Baek5 and Yun Seo Choi1, (1)ChungNam National University, Daejeon, South Korea, (2)Earth Institute, Columbia Univ, ChungNam Univ, Palisades, United States, (3)KIOST Korea Institute of Ocean Science and Technology, Ocean Circulation and Climate Research Center, Busan, South Korea, (4)ChungNam National University, DaeJeon, South Korea, (5)ChungNam National university, DaeJeon, South Korea
 
Spatial Characteristics of Drought Propagation from Meteorological to Hydrological Drought over Ethiopia (1104086)
Tegegn Kassa1, Manoj Kumar Jain1, Ankit Agarwal2 and Brijesh K Yadav1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Hydrology, Roorkee, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Department of Hydrology, Roorkee, India
 
Which Droughts Are Becoming More Frequent? A Copula Entropy Analysis on the Recurrence Time of Droughts (1106844)
Pedro Alencar and Eva Nora Paton Sr., Technical University Berlin, Ecohydrology, Berlin, Germany
 
Analysis of Cold Waves over North India: Climatology, Trends and Synoptic Dynamics (1121359)
Athira K S, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Mohali, India and Raju Attada, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India
 
Origin of Extreme Cold Front Temperature Contrasts – The Case of Australian Fires (1122022)
Leehi Magaritz Ronen and Shira Raveh-Rubin, Weizmann Institute of Science, Rehovot, Israel
 
Contrasting Responses of Hailstorms to Anthropogenic Climate Change in Different Synoptic Weather Systems (1122367)
Yuwei Zhang1, Jiwen Fan1, Jingyu Wang2,3, Jong-Hoon Jeong1,4, Xiaodong Chen5, Shixuan Zhang2, Yun Lin1,6, Zhe Feng2 and Rebecca Adams-Selin7, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (3)Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (4)UCLA, JIFRESSE, Los Angeles, United States, (5)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Atmospheric Sciences and Global Change, Richland, WA, United States, (6)University of California, Los Angeles, Joint Institute for Regional Earth System Science and Engineering, Los Angeles, United States, (7)Colorado State University, Omaha, NE, United States
 
Did the 2015/16 Tasman Sea Marine Heatwave Increase the Likelihood of Terrestrial Warming in Tasmania, South East Australia and New Zealand? (1136950)
Charuni Pathmeswaran, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Alexander Sen Gupta, University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, Sydney, Australia, Sarah Perkins-Kirkpatrick, School of Science, UNSW Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia; ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, UNSW Canberra, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Melissa Hart, Univ of New South Wales, ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Scott Wales, Bureau of Meteorology, Melbourne, Australia
 
Rate Of Ionosphere Disturbance During Concurrent And Simultaneous Occurrence Of Thunderstorm And Geomagnetic Storm In A Low Latitude Region (1146725)
Louis Osei-Poku, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong, Hong Kong, Wu Chen, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Department of Land Surveying and Geo-Informatics,, Kowloon, Hong Kong, Long Tang Dr, School of Civil and Transportation Engineering, Guangdong University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China, Guangzhou, China, Mingli Chen, Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Department of Building Services Engineering, Hong Kong, China and Akwasi Afrifa Acheampong, Kwame Nkrumah University of Science and Technology, AK-448-4746, Kumasi, Ghana, Department of Geomatic Engineering, Kumasi, Ghana
 
Exploring the Physical Mechanisms of Winter Precipitation Extremes over India’s High Mountain Region (1146902)
Nischal Sharma, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Mohali, India, Raju Attada, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Mohali, Department of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Mohali, India and Kieran Hunt, National Centre for Atmospheric Science, Department of Meteorology, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Atypical forcing embedded in typical forcing leading to the extreme summer 2020 precipitation in Nepal (1147556)
Binod Pokharel, Tribhuvan University, Central Department of Hydrology and Meteorology, Kathmandu, Nepal, Shankar Sharma, Tribhuvan University, Kathmandu, Nepal, Kalpana Hamal, Institute of Atmospheric Physics, CAS, Beijing, China and Shankar Sharma, Kalpana Hamal, and Binod Pokharel
 
Impact of global warming on a heavy rainfall event over western Japan (1148554)
Sridhara Nayak1, Tetsuya Takemi2 and Isao Kanda1, (1)Japan Meteorological Corporation Limited, Earth Science Center, Osaka, Japan, (2)Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
 
Changes of extreme rainfall over Loess Plateau (1152110)
Xiaodan Guan1, Xiaoqian Huang1, Jianping Huang2 and Tonghui Gu1, (1)Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China, (2)LZU Lanzhou University, Lanzhou, China
 
Changing Dynamics of Extreme Precipitation Events in Upper Indus Basin (1155791)
Malla Mani Kanta and Dhyan S Arya, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Hydrology, Roorkee, India
 
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Historical Precipitation Extremes in Hawai‘i using High-Resolution Gridded Rainfall Data (1164737)
Anna Zhu1, William Henshaw2 and Abby G Frazier2, (1)Clark University, Graduate School of Geography, Worcester, MA, United States, (2)Clark University, Graduate School of Geography, Worcester, United States
 
Future projection of changes in Heat waves over India using CORDEX-SA RCM Ensemble (1166515)
Saumya Singh1,2 and R K MALL1,2, (1)Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India, (2)DST- Mahamana Centre of Excellence in Climate Change Research, Institute of Environment and Sustainable Development, Banaras Hindu University, Varanasi, India
 
Spatiotemporal Variability of Rainfall Extreme of Ajay River Basin, West Bengal, India. (1169637)
Shivanand Mandraha, Indian Institiute of Science Education and Research Kolkata, Department of Earth Sciences, Kolkata, India and Sujata Ray, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Kolkata, Department of Earth Sciences, Mohanpur, India
 
Towards Improving Infrastructure Resilience to Tropical Cyclone Induced Flooding (1173436)
Sabiha Tabassum1, Ashutosh Shukla2, Gizem Toplu Tutay2, Wen-Ying Wu3, Zong-Liang Yang4, Erhan Kutanoglu2, John Hasenbein2, Carey King5 and Surya Santoso6, (1)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, United States, (2)University of Texas at Austin, Operations Research and Industrial Engineering, Austin, United States, (3)Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory, Livermore, United States, (4)University of Texas at Austin, Jackson School of Geosciences, Austin, TX, United States, (5)University of Texas at Austin, Energy Institute, Austin, TX, United States, (6)University of Texas at Austin, Electrical and Computer Engineering, Austin, TX, United States
 
Large Scale Meteorological Patterns Associated with Sub-Daily Extreme Precipitation in Illinois (1174998)
Andrew Paxton, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, United States and Justin T Schoof, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, IL, United States
 
Does Moment of Microphysics Parameterization Schemes Have Any Impact In Simulating The Lightning Events? (1176149)
Chandrima Mallick1, Anupam Hazra2, Ushnanshu Dutta2, Hemantkumar S Chaudhari2, Mahen Konwar2, Greeshma M Mohan2, Subodh Kumar Saha2, Samir Pokhrel2 and Jen-Ping Chen3, (1)University of Pune, Pune, India, (2)Indian Institute of Tropical Meteorology, Pune, India, (3)Natl Taiwan Univ, Taipei, Taiwan
 
Spatiotemporal Variations in Warm Seasons Heat Stress in the Midwestern United States,1950-2020. (1183798)
Saidat Rasaq-Balogun, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, United States and Justin T Schoof, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, IL, United States
 
The Magnitude of the Hurricane Harvey (2017) Freshening Anomaly in the Western Gulf of Mexico (1187091)
Alberto M Mestas-Nunez1, Jordyn K Sloan2, Karen Mendiondo3 and Crystal A. Moreland1, (1)University of Texas at San Antonio, NASA Center for Advanced Measurements in Extreme Environments (CAMEE), Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, San Antonio, United States, (2)University of Texas at San Antonio, NASA Center for Advanced Measurements in Extreme Environments (CAMEE), Department of Integrative Biology, San Antonio, United States, (3)University of Texas at San Antonio, NASA Center for Advanced Measurements in Extreme Environments (CAMEE), Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, San Antonio, United States
 
A Meteorological Perspective on the 6th August 2020 Kerala Disaster (1190771)
Anand Pai, Piyush Srivastava and Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Centre of Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Roorkee, India
 
Beyond Mean and Variance: Rapid and Extreme Day-to-day Changes in Temperature across the Contiguous United States (1192781)
Mohammed Ombadi and Mark Daniel Risser, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Dry and Wet Events and their Transition across the Upper Indus Basin (1193624)
Dhyan S Arya, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Hydrology, Roorkee, India and Aman Kumar, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India
 
Spatiotemporal Analysis of Rainfall Variability in Bangladesh (1194715)
Dhyan S Arya, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Hydrology, Roorkee, India and Fatima Shamshad, AEE, Water Resoources, Dhaka, Bangladesh
 
Hydrometeorological Real-Time Forecasting Framework for Flash Flood Early Warning System Development (1197216)
Joško Trošelj, National Institute for Environmental Studies, Tsukuba, Japan; Hiroshima University, Higashihiroshima, Japan, Sridhara Nayak, Japan Meteorological Corporation Limited, Earth Science Center, Osaka, Japan, Lena Hobohm, University of Graz, Graz, Austria and Tetsuya Takemi, Disaster Prevention Research Institute, Kyoto University, Kyoto, Japan
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