GC009
Advances in Modeling and Prediction of Hydroclimatic Extremes in the Changing Climate
Session ID#: 160378
Session Description:
Spatial and temporal variations of water availability are changing under the combined influences of global warming, land-use change, direct human interference, and internal climate variability. A multi-decadal drought threatens the water supply to millions of people in the U.S. Southwest. Considerable uncertainty exists in water cycle predictions from sub-seasonal to multi-decadal time scales. The session seeks to bring the latest advances in climate modeling, network measurements, statistical techniques, and theoretical underpinning of the spatiotemporal variability and changes in the water cycle at global and regional scales. We invite presentations from the latest assessment of the CMIP6 climate models, Sub-seasonal to Decadal Prediction Large Ensemble, and High-resolution climate experiments. The long-term observational study combined with hypothesis-driven climate modeling experiments and machine learning applications are also encouraged.
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
1812 Drought [HYDROLOGY]
1817 Extreme events [HYDROLOGY]
3305 Climate change and variability [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
3354 Precipitation [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
Primary Convener: Sanjiv Kumar, Auburn University, College of Forestry, Wildlife and Environment, Auburn, United States
Conveners: Min-Hui Lo, National Taiwan University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Taipei, Taiwan, Liang Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Urbana, United States and Jonghun Kam, POSTECH Pohang University of Science, Pohang, South Korea
Student/Early Career Convener: Liang Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Urbana, United States
Observed and Projected Changes in Precipitation Extremes and Variability in the Midwestern United States (1048768)
Trent Ford, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, United States, Liang Chen, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Urbana, United States, Justin T Schoof, Southern Illinois University, School of Earth Systems and Sustainability, Carbondale, IL, United States and Molly Woloszyn, National Integrated Drought Information System, Boulder, United States
Wet-dry Asymmetric Shifts in the Terrestrial Hydrologic Cycle Diverge in Different Future Climate Scenarios (1102861)
Kedar Otta1,2 and Hyungjun Kim2,3, (1)National Institute for Environmental Studies (NIES), Centre for Climate Change Adaptation, Tsukuba, Japan, (2)The University of Tokyo, Institute of Industrial Science, Tokyo, Japan, (3)Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology, Daejeon, South Korea
Historical Climate Trends and Future Climate Projection in the Upper Nan River Basin, Thailand (1142866)
Rabin Bastola, Tribhuvan University, Department of Environmental Science, Amrit Campus, Kathmandu, Nepal; Asian Institute of Technology, Water Engineering and Management, Pathum Thani, Thailand and Sangam Shrestha, Asian Institute of Technology, Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Surathani, Thailand
Projection of the Tidal Component in Tidal River Stage Using SSP Scenarios (1154399)
Hoyong Lee1, Soojun Kim2, Lee Haneul3, Kyunghun Kim2 and Hung Soo Kim3, (1)Inha University, Smart City Engineering, Incheon, South Korea, (2)Inha University, Incheon, South Korea, (3)Inha University, Incheon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Historical Analysis of Drought Conditions in Agricultural Lands in the South Saskatchewan Watershed Based on Gridded SPI and SPEI Indices (1155598)
James Michael Byrne, Retired, Washington, DC, United States; University of Lethbridge, Geography and Environment, Lethbridge, Canada, Roya Mousavi, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, Canada, Dan L Johnson, University of Lethbridge, Lethbridge, AB, Canada and Byrne Lethbridge
Projected Global Changes in CMIP6 Simulations of Extreme Low Relative Humidity Days (1163501)
Peter Yao1, David W Pierce2 and Daniel R Cayan2, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Division of Climate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, Division of Climate, Atmospheric Sciences, and Physical Oceanography, La Jolla, United States
Future Changes in the Hydrology of Great Lakes Region using Pseudo Global Warming Approach (1174306)
Sujan Pal, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, IL, United States, Jiali Wang, Argonne National Laboratory, Argonne, United States and Zhao Yang, Pacific Northwest National Lab, Richland, United States
The Role of the Circulation Patterns in Projected Changes in Spring and Summer Precipitation Extremes in the U.S. Midwest (1185637)
Liang Chen, University of Nebraska Lincoln, Lincoln, NE, United States, Trent Ford, University of Illinois at Urbana Champaign, Illinois State Water Survey, Champaign, United States and Erik Swenson, George Mason University Fairfax, Center for Ocean-Land-Atmosphere Studies, Fairfax, VA, United States
