NG006
Extreme Variability and Complexity: from Theory to Modeling and Big Data, from Urban Systems to Climate and Pandemics
Session ID#: 160481
Session Description:
Geophysical and anthropogenic systems exhibit extreme variability over wide ranges of space-time scales due to nonlinear interactions between various processes. Capturing these interactions is of vital importance for understanding the dynamics of these complex systems. They lead to extreme events ranging from floods to pandemics and climate fluctuations. They naturally call for multiple scientifically-based responses to mitigate risk and build resilience.
This session focuses on recent advance in nonlinear methodologies (e.g., scaling, (multi-) fractals, complex networks, tipping points and new computational techniques) to uncover the underlying, non-trivial symmetries, information transfer across scales, causal effects and driving forces as well as their applications to data analysis and modeling of these complex systems and phenomena as well as the predictability of their projections.
Co-Organized:
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
1899 General or miscellaneous [HYDROLOGY]
4430 Complex systems [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
4440 Fractals and multifractals [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
4475 Scaling: spatial and temporal [NONLINEAR GEOPHYSICS]
Primary Convener: Daniel J M Schertzer, Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Hydrologie Météorologie et Complexité (HM&Co), Champs-sur-Marne, France
Conveners: Bjorn Birnir, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Anastasios Tsonis, University of Wisconsin Milwaukee, Milwaukee, WI, United States and A. D. Kirwan Jr, University of Delaware, Newark, DE, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Ricardo Mantilla, University of Iowa, Iowa City, United States
Modeling the Migrations of the Capelin, an Indicator Species for Climate Change (1180499)
Alethea Barbaro, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics, and Computer Science, Delft, Netherlands and Bjorn Birnir, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
A Mathematical Approach for Climate Transitions under the Greenhouse Effect and Non-Gaussian Fluctuations (1053130)
Jinqiao Duan, Illinois Institute of Technology, Chicago, IL, United States, Yayun Zheng, Jiangsu University, Mathematics, Zhenjiang, China and Fang Yang, Information Engineering University, Mathematics, Zhengzhou, China
Finding causal gateways of heatwave propagation among U.S. cities (1060203)
Xueli Yang1, Zhihua Wang1 and Chenghao Wang2, (1)Arizona State University, School of Sustainable Engineering and the Built Environment, Tempe, United States, (2)University of Oklahoma, School of Meteorology; Department of Geography and Environmental Sustainability, Norman, OK, United States
The predictable chaos of rare events in complex systems (1061229)
Tommaso Alberti, IAPS-INAF, Rome, Italy, Davide Faranda, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciendes du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France and Valerio Lucarini, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
Transfer of Small Scales Space-Time Variability of Wind Fields to Wind Turbine Torque Computation using Simulations of 3D Vector Fields (1096925)
Ángel García Gago1, Auguste Gires2, Paul Veers3, Daniel J M Schertzer4 and Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia2, (1)Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Hydrologie Météorologie et Complexité (HM&Co), Champs sur Marne, France, (2)Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Hydrologie Météorologie et Complexité (HM&Co), Champs-sur-Marne, France, (3)NREL, Boulder, United States, (4)U. Paris-Est, Marne La Vallee Cx 2, France
A Universal Multifractal-based approach to Model Pore Size Distribution, Water Retention and Hydraulic Conductivity of Granular Green Roof Substrates (1123092)
Arun Ramanathan S1, Pierre-Antoine Versini1, Daniel J M Schertzer2, Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia1, Remi Perrin3 and Lionel Sindt3, (1)Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Hydrologie Météorologie et Complexité (HM&Co), Champs-sur-Marne, France, (2)U. Paris-Est, Marne La Vallee Cx 2, France, (3)SOPREMA, Strasbourg, France
Optimizing Zero Emission Green Roof Designs using Multifractal Reference Rainfall Simulations (1124484)
Arun Ramanathan S1, Pierre-Antoine Versini1, Daniel J M Schertzer2, Ioulia Tchiguirinskaia1, Remi Perrin3 and Lionel Sindt3, (1)Ecole Nationale des Ponts et Chaussées, Hydrologie Météorologie et Complexité (HM&Co), Champs-sur-Marne, France, (2)U. Paris-Est, Marne La Vallee Cx 2, France, (3)SOPREMA, Strasbourg, France
COMPLEX NETWORKS IN HYDROLOGIC SCIENCES (1139648)
Sujata Kulkarni1, Ugur Öztürk2, Norbert Marwan3, Juergen Kurths3, Bruno Merz4 and Ankit Agarwal1, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Department of Hydrology, Roorkee, India, (2)University of Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, (3)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (4)GFZ German Research Centre for Geosciences, Potsdam, Germany
Predicting the Timing of Global Change (1145326)
Bjorn Birnir, UC Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Alethea Barbaro, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Electrical Engineering, Mathematics, and Computer Science, Delft, Netherlands and Samuel Subbey, Institute of Marine Research, Bergen, Norway
