GC028
Developments in reduced complexity modeling and Earth system model emulation
Session ID#: 160853
Session Description:
Climate information plays a key role in modeling impacts on human and natural systems, and is needed at increasing levels of complexity (spatially-resolved, high-frequency, multidimensional). WhileEarth system models (ESMs) are the gold standard for providing such information, they are computationally expensive to run. Reduced complexity climate models (RCMs) and emulators can provide novel scenario results and large ensembles of climate information at lower computational expense. Additionally, RCMs and emulators have an important role in exploring uncertainties in forcing and temperature response. Not only are these tools being used for increasingly integrated research across physical, impact and mitigation climate sciences, but also to answer policy-makers’ questions related to the implementation of global warming targets.
We welcome submissions identifying new developments in RCMs, the emulation of ESM behavior at any range of complexity, and novel applications of such information to impact and mitigation questions.
Index Terms:
1616 Climate variability [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1626 Global climate models [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
Primary Convener: Kalyn Dorheim, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners: Claudia Tebaldi, Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, DC, United States, Zebedee Nicholls, University of Melbourne, Parkville, Australia and Sonia I Seneviratne, Institute for Atmospheric and Climate Science, Department of Environmental Systems Science, ETH Zurich, Universitätstrasse 16, 8092 Zurich, Switzerland, Zürich, Switzerland
Student/Early Career Convener: Kalyn Dorheim, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
STITCHES: Emulating ESM Output for Impact and Risk Modeling (1066450)
Claudia Tebaldi, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, Kalyn Dorheim, St. Olaf College, Northfield, MN, United States and Abigail Snyder, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States
Conditional Emulation of Global Precipitation with Generative Adversarial Networks (1066639)
Brian Hutchinson1,2, Alexis Ayala3, Chris Drazic4, Seth Bassetti4, Eric Slyman5, Brenna Nieva4, Piper Wolters6, Kyle Bittner7, Claudia Tebaldi8 and Ben Kravitz9, (1)Western Washington University, Computer Science, Bellingham, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Computing & Analytics Division, Richland, United States, (3)Microsoft Corporation, Redmond, United States, (4)Western Washington University, Computer Science, Bellingham, United States, (5)Oregon State University, Computer Science, Corvallis, United States, (6)AIlen Institute for AI, Seattle, United States, (7)Western Washington University, Bellingham, United States, (8)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (9)Indiana University, Bloomington, IN, United States
New features, broader accessibility, and improved performance of the Hector v3 simple carbon/climate model (1074302)
Kalyn Dorheim, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States and Ben P Bond-Lamberty, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
FaIR v2.1: A calibrated hyper-efficient climate emulator for scenario assessment (1085320)
Christopher James Smith, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, Nicholas Leach, Climate X; University of Oxford, Letchworth, United Kingdom, Stuart Jenkins, University of Oxford, Department of Physics, Oxford, United Kingdom and Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
Analyzing Airborne Fraction Trends and the Ultimate Fate of Anthropogenic CO2 by Tracking Carbon Flows in a Simple Climate Model (1091055)
Leeya Pressburger1, Kalyn Dorheim2, Trevor F Keenan3, Haewon C McJeon2, Steven Smith2 and Ben P Bond-Lamberty2, (1)Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (3)Lawrence Berkeley National Laboratory, Berkeley, United States
FaIR-IMOGEN-Patterns for Impacts (1123076)
Camilla Mathison, Met Office, Exeter, UNITED KINGDOM, Gregory Munday, UK Met Office, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, Eleanor Burke, Met Office Hadley Centre, Terrestrial Carbon Cycle Team, Exeter, United Kingdom, Christopher James Smith, University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom and Chris Huntingford, Centre for Ecology and Hydrology, Wallingford, United Kingdom
Estimating the Timing of Geophysical Commitment to 1.5 and 2.0 °C of Global Warming with a Climate Emulator (1124367)
Kyle Armour1, Michelle Dvorak1, Dargan Frierson1, Cristian Proistosescu2, Marcia B Baker1 and Christopher James Smith3, (1)University of Washington, Seattle, United States, (2)University of Illinois Urbana‐Champaign, Champaign, United States, (3)University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom
Methane Parametric Sensitivity of Simple Climate Model Hector (1128062)
Natalie Crowe, University of Texas at Austin, Austin, TX, United States, Bond-Lamberty Benjamin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, College Park, MD, United States and Leeya Pressburger, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States
Reduced Dimension of Linear Empirical Dynamical Model to Forecast Pacific Sea Surface Temperatures (1159624)
Tongtong Xu, NOAA/PSL, Boulder, CO, UNITED STATES, Matthew Newman, University of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, United States, Michael A Alexander, NOAA/Earth System Research Laboratory, Physical Science Division, Boulder, United States and Antonietta Capotondi, University of Colorado, CIRES, Boulder, CO, United States
The Uses and Mis-Uses of RCP8.5: A FaIR2.1/RFF-SP Analysis (1164531)
Marcus C Sarofim1, Corinne Hartin2, Christopher James Smith3, Erin E. McDuffie2, Parker Malek4, Claire Lay5 and Bala Narapusetty5, (1)U.S. EPA - Climate Change Division, Washington, DC, United States, (2)Environmental Protection Agency Washington DC, Washington, United States, (3)University of Leeds, Leeds, LS2, United Kingdom, (4)Abt Associates, Cambridge, MA, United States, (5)Abt Associates Boulder, Boulder, United States
Exploring Tradeoffs in Soil Carbon Representation in a Reduced Complexity Climate Model (1168618)
Joseph Brown1, Kalyn Dorheim2, Leeya Pressburger1, Dawn Woodard1 and Ben P Bond-Lamberty1, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Joint Global Change Research Institute, Richland, WA, United States
