HE015
Variability, Circulation, and Ongoing Change in the Southern Ocean

Session ID#: 259624

Session Description:
The Southern Ocean is a fundamental component of the climate system, connecting ocean basins, playing a key role in the uptake of anthropogenic heat and carbon, and transporting heat to the Antarctic margin, driving ice sheet mass loss. In recent decades, the region has experienced remarkable changes, notably increasing heat content, record-low sea ice extent, and a slowdown in bottom water formation at some key formation sites —shifts that have global implications. Though historically limited by the high cost and technical demands of in situ observations and high-resolution models, recent field campaigns, new observing capabilities, and focused model development efforts are now rapidly advancing our understanding of the drivers of Southern Ocean variability and climate trends.

This session will showcase recent advances in observing, understanding and projecting change in the physical processes occurring in the Southern Ocean, from open ocean to the continental shelf and from large-scale to mesoscale and submesoscale processes. Topics of interest include warm water transport towards ice shelf cavities; large-scale and regional circulation (e.g., meridional overturning, Antarctic Circumpolar Current, Antarctic Slope Current, subpolar gyres); water mass formation and variability, including mode and bottom waters; diapycnal mixing and isopycnal stirring; atmosphere-ocean-ice interactions and sea ice variability.

Co-Sponsor(s):
  • Air-Sea Interactions -
  • Climate and Ocean Change -
  • Ocean Technologies and Observatories -
Index Terms:

4207 Arctic and Antarctic oceanography [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4215 Climate and interannual variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4273 Physical and biogeochemical interactions [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4504 Air/sea interactions [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
Student/Early Career Chair:  Hannah Dawson, University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, Australia
Primary Chair:  Earle Wilson, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
Co-chairs:  Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Pierpaolo Falco, Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy and Annie Foppert, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Future Trajectories of Southern Ocean Phytoplankton under Varied Climate Change Scenarios (1854452)
Md Rony Golder, Remote Sensing and Satellite Research Group, School of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia, Perth, Western Australia, Australia; ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS), University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia., Hobart, TAS, Australia, Elodie Claire Martinez, IRD, CNRS, Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Ifremer, Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale (LOPS), IUEM, Plouzané, France., Plouzané, France, Etienne Pauthenet, IRD, CNRS, Université de Bretagne Occidentale, Ifremer, Laboratoire d’Océanographie Physique et Spatiale (LOPS), IUEM, Plouzané, France, Plouzané, France and David Antoine, Remote Sensing and Satellite Research Group, School of Earth and Planetery Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, Australia, Perth, WA, Australia; ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS), University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Hobart, Australia
 
Southern Ocean Regime Shift Revealed by Long-term Repeated Hydrographic Observations in East Antarctica (1858547)
Jean-baptiste Sallee1, John Akl2, Gael Alory3, Matthis Auger4, Alexandra Aymard5, Rebecca Cowley6, Marion Gehlen7, Elodie Kestenare8, Casimir de Lavergne9, Claire LoMonaco5, Auguste Lugrin5, Nicolas Metzl5, Rosemary Morrow10, Evéa Piedagnel5, Gilles Reverdin11, Bronte Tilbrook2 and Claire Waelbroeck12, (1)CNRS, LOCEAN-IPSL, Paris Cedex 5, France, (2)CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research Hobart, Hobart, Australia, (3)Observatory Midi-Pyrenees, Toulouse, France, (4)Sorbonne Université, LOCEAN‐IPSL, Paris, France, (5)LOCEAN-IPSL, Paris, France, (6)CSIRO, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (7)CEA, LSCE, Gif-Sur-Yvette, France, (8)LEGOS, Toulouse, France, (9)LOCEAN Laboratory, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, Paris, France, (10)CNES French National Center for Space Studies, Toulouse Cedex 09, France, (11)Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, LOCEAN – IPSL, Paris, France, (12)CNRS, Paris Cedex 16, France
 
Seasonality of Southern Ocean Buoyancy Forcing and its Impact on the Meridional Overturning Circulation. (1996802)
Nelson Poumaere, University of St. Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, United Kingdom, Graeme MacGilchrist, University of St Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, United Kingdom and Hemant Khatri, UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom
 
Upper ocean salinity variability and impact in the Southeast Indian Subantarctic Mode Water formation region during the Argo era (2006425)
Wandi Jing, NUIST Nanjing University of Information Science and Technology, Nanjing, China, Rong-Hua Zhang, Nanjing University of Information Science and Technolog, School of Marine Sciences, Nanjing, China and Yiyong Luo, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
 
Committed Southern Ocean warming and implications for the Antarctic Ice Sheet following emission cessation (2008310)
Timothee Bourgeois1,2, David Chandler2,3, Michele Petrini2,3, Elin Darelius2,4, Petra Langebroek2,3, Heiko Goelzer2,3 and Jörg Schwinger1,2, (1)NORCE Climate and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, (2)Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, (3)NORCE Research, Bergen, Norway, (4)University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway
 
Ocean Circulation and Ice Shelf Melting in the Bellingshausen Sea (2010981)
Emma White, Northumbria University, Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, United Kingdom, Adrian Jenkins, Northumbria University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, United Kingdom and Paul Holland, British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
The Role of Tidal Modulation on Potential Future Warming Behaviour in the Ross Sea (2010983)
Alethea Mountford, Newcastle University, Newcastle upon Tyne, UNITED KINGDOM; Northumbria University, Geography and Environmental Science, Newcastle-Upon-Tyne, United Kingdom, Adrian Jenkins, Northumbria University, Newcastle-upon-Tyne, United Kingdom, Christopher Y. S. Bull, Australia's Climate Simulator (ACCESS-NRI), Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, Nicolas Jourdain, CNRS - Université Grenoble Alpes - Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Saint-Martin d’Hères, France and Pierre Mathiot, CNRS - Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Saint-Martin-d'Heres, France
 
Vertical Motions in the Southern Ocean (2011656)
Maya Feinstein, University of Delaware, Newark, United States and Xinfeng Liang, PhD, University of Delaware, School of Marine Science and Policy, Newark, United States
 
Understanding Recent Southern Ocean Salinity Changes Through Observations and Modelling (2011977)
Lettie Roach and Finn Heukamp, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany
 
A New Subsurface Heat Hotspot in the Southern Ocean: Super Warming at the New Zealand–Antarctica Chokepoint (2012046)
Giuseppe Aulicino1, Antonino Ian Ferola2, Giorgio Budillon1, Pasquale Castagno Sr.3, Pierpaolo Falco4, Giannetta Fusco5, Enrico Zambianchi6 and Yuri Cotroneo5, (1)Parthenope University of Naples, Department of Science and Technology (DiST), Naples, Italy, (2)European Space Agency, Frascati, Italy, (3)University of Messina, Messina, Italy, (4)Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy, (5)Parthenope University of Naples, Naples, Italy, (6)Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy
 
Eddy Structure and Heat Transport in the Southern Ocean: A Frontal-Origin Perspective from Satellite and Argo Data (2012105)
Antonino Ian Ferola1, Marie-Helene Rio2 and Roberto Sabia1, (1)European Space Agency, Frascati, Italy, (2)European Space Research Institute, Frascati, Italy
 
Sea-ice driven decline in Weddell Sea Bottom Water Formation and Export (2012457)
Emma Renee Robertson1,2, Alexander Haumann1,2, Krissy Anne Reeve1 and Michael Paul Meredith3, (1)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany, (2)Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München, Munich, Germany, (3)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Development of MITgcm ECCO-downscaled Amundsen-Bellingshausen Sea regional simulation (2013138)
Yoshihiro Nakayama, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States; Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Hanover, United States, Shuntaro Hyogo, Graduate School of Environmental Sciences, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Japan, Yichen Lin, Sun Yat-sen University, School of Atmospheric Sciences, Zhuhai, China, Taewook Park, Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea, Mattia Poinelli, University of California Irvine, Earth System Science, Irvine, CA, United States, Gobishankar Sathiyamohan, Dartmouth College, Hanover, United States, Hong Zhang, Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States and Pierre Dutrieux, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Fate of heat approaching "dense" Antarctic ice shelves mediated by continental shelf eddies (2013251)
Andrew Stewart, University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, Madeleine Youngs, University of Maryland College Park, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, College Park, United States and Dr. Channing Prend, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, United Kingdom
 
The Zonal Wave-3 Mode Impacts Antarctic Dense Water Formation (2013767)
Matthis Auger1,2, Paul Spence2 and Adele K Morrison3, (1)ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (2)Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
Stirring the Weddell Sea: Eddy-Driven Salt and Heat Flux Beneath the Ice (2013808)
Cathrine Hancock1, Garrett Finucane2, Markus A Janout3, Olaf Boebel3 and Kevin Speer4, (1)Florida State University, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (2)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (3)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (4)Florida State University, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Institute(GFDI), Department of Scientific Computing(DSC), Tallahassee, United States
 
The role of the Southern Ocean’s subsurface in sustaining recent changes in sea ice (2014076)
Evéa Piedagnel, LOCEAN-IPSL, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, IRD, MNHN, Paris Cedex 05, France, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, LOCEAN‐IPSL, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, IRD, MNHN, Paris, France and Casimir de Lavergne, LOCEAN Laboratory, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, Paris, France
 
Modulation of Eddy Kinetic Energy by Seasonal Extension of the Eastern Weddell Gyre (2014769)
Shikai Yang, Dujuan Kang and Meng Zhou, Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Oceanography, Shanghai, China
 
Decadal Pacific teleconnections to the Weddell and Ross Sea and their link to dense shelf water production (2015719)
Maurice Huguenin1,2, Svenja Ryan2, Caroline Ummenhofer3 and Matthew H England1, (1)ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science & Centre for Marine Science and Innovation, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, United States, (3)Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, MA, United States
 
Exploring Mechanisms for Southern Ocean Convective Variability in a High-Resolution GCM (2015975)
Robert Ford, University at Albany State University of New York, Department of Atmospheric & Environmental Sciences, Albany, NY, United States and Brian E J Rose, University at Albany State University of New York, Department of Atmospheric & Environmental Sciences, Albany, United States
 
Deep Ocean Feedbacks Sustained by Eddy-Convection Coupling During the 2017 Anomalous Event off Prydz Bay (2017119)
Yunzhu He1,2, Dujuan Kang1, Meng Zhou1 and Karen J. Heywood3, (1)Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Oceanography, Shanghai, China, (2)University of East Anglia, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Science, Norwich, United Kingdom, (3)University of East Anglia, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, Norwich, United Kingdom
 
Sensitivity of Antarctic dense water formation to surface vertical resolution (2017555)
Wilton Aguiar, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sicences, Canberra, Australia, Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Wilma C. G. Huneke, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, David Karel Hutchinson, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, Australia, Paul Spence, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Pedro Colombo, University of NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Kial Douglas Stewart, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
The response of the Southern Ocean to recent and projected Antarctic meltwater changes (2017850)
Birte Gülk, LOCEAN Laboratory, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, Paris Cedex 05, France, Casimir de Lavergne, LOCEAN Laboratory, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, Paris, France, Jean-Baptiste Sallée, LOCEAN‐IPSL, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, IRD, MNHN, Paris, France, Gurvan Madec, LOCEAN-IPSL, CNRS/IRD/MNHN/Sorbonne Université, Paris, France and Clement Rousset, LOCEAN-CNRS, Universite Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France
 
Observation of near-bottom near-inertial wave variability in a region east of the Southeast Indian Ridge (2017865)
Kiduk Kim1, Jae-Hun Park1, Hajin Song1, Jeong-Yeob Chae, PhD2, Kathleen A Donohue3, Tae-Wan Kim4 and Jisoo Park4, (1)Inha University, Ocean Sciences, Incheon, South Korea, (2)Inha University, Department of Ocean Sciences, Incheon, United States, (3)Univ Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (4)KOPRI Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea
 
Driving Forces of the Southern Ocean as Revealed by Direct Numerical Simulations (2017996)
Bajrang Chidhambaranathan1,2, Bishakhdatta Gayen1,2 and Catherine Ann Vreugdenhil1,2, (1)University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (2)Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
 
Observed variability in the overturning cells of the Southern Ocean (2018070)
James Wyatt, Australian Antarctic Program Partnership, Hobart, Australia, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Univ Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Annie Foppert, Australian Antarctic Program Partnership, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Helen Elizabeth Phillips, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia and Stephen R Rintoul, Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, TAS, Australia; Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation (CSIRO), Environment, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Decadal Salinity Rebound in Ross Sea Dense Shelf Waters (2018636)
Pasquale Castagno1, Alessandro Silvano2, Pierpaolo Falco3, Giannetta Fusco4, Enrico Zambianchi5, Yuri Cotroneo4 and Giorgio Budillon6, (1)University of Messina, Messina, Italy, (2)University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, (3)Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy, (4)Parthenope University of Naples, Naples, Italy, (5)Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, (6)Parthenope University of Naples, Department of Science and Technology (DiST), Naples, Italy
 
Variability of Water Masses and Heat Transport along the Ross Ice Shelf: Evidence from Long-Term Hydrographic and Velocity Measurements and Recent Year-Round Argo Floats Observations (2018889)
Angela Garzia, Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, Craig L Stevens, Earth Sciences New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand and Pierpaolo Falco, Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy
 
Mesoscale Eddies Inhibit Intensification of the Subantarctic Front under Global Warming (2019119)
Dapeng Li1, Zhao Jing1, Wenju Cai2, Zhengguang Zhang3, Jiuxin Shi1, Xiaohui Ma1, Bolan Gan1, Haiyuan Yang1, Zhaohui Chen1 and Lixin Wu4, (1)Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (2)Physical Oceanography Laboratory/CIMST, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (3)Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System (FDOMES) and Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Academy of the Future Ocean, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China, (4)Ocean University of China, Frontiers Science Center for Deep Ocean Multispheres and Earth System and Key Laboratory of Physical Oceanography, Qingdao, China
 
Water Mass Archaeology: Reconstructing Surface Antarctic Bottom Water Variability from Modern Interior Observations (2019309)
Xabier Davila, NORCE Norwegian Research Centre and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, Brynnydd Hamilton, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, United States, Geoffrey Gebbie, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Physical Oceanography, Woods Hole, United States, Michael Paul Meredith, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom and Elaine McDonagh, Norwegian Research Center (NORCE), Bergen, Norway
 
Future projections of the Antarctic coastal wind boundary compared to a southward-shifting westerly belt (2019500)
Archie Cable1, Thomas Caton Harrison2, Richard Cornes3, Elizabeth C Kent1 and Tom Bracegirdle2, (1)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (2)British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (3)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, UNITED KINGDOM
 
Climate-Driven Oceanographic Variability in the Adélie Region, East Antarctica (2019836)
Jennifer Cocks, National Oceanography Center, Soton, School of Earth and Environment, Southampton, United Kingdom, Alice Marzocchi, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, Alessandro Silvano, University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom and Alberto Naveira Garabato, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
 
Collapse of deep overturning under future climate forcing and impacts on ocean heat and carbon uptake in CMIP6 models (2019904)
Andrew Meijers, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom and Jonathan P Rosser, London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom
 
Tidal Mixing and Antarctic Bottom Water Production and Export (2020007)
Nancy Lucà, Ca' Foscari University, Venice, Italy, Pasquale Castagno, University of Messina, Messina, Italy, Yuri Cotroneo, Parthenope University of Naples, Naples, Italy, Melissa Bowen, University of Auckland, School of Environment, Auckland, New Zealand and Giorgio Budillon, Parthenope University of Naples, Department of Science and Technology (DiST), Naples, Italy
 
From opening to HSSW production in Ross Sea polynyas (2021–2022) (2020091)
Simone Di Palma1, Angela Garzia2, Lauro D'Esposito1, Giannetta Fusco1, Giuseppe Aulicino1, Pasquale Castagno3, Yuri Cotroneo1, Vincenzo Capozzi1 and Pierpaolo Falco4, (1)Parthenope University of Naples, Naples, Italy, (2)Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, (3)University of Messina, Messina, Italy, (4)Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy
 
The first deep time series in the South Sandwich Trench: Understanding variability in Weddell Sea Deep Water properties (2020554)
Rachael Sanders1, Einar Povl Abrahamsen1 and Andrew Meijers2, (1)British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (2)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Dynamics of Water Mass Exchange across the Central Ross Sea Slope (2021243)
Dr. Yuanjie Chen, PhD1, Zhaoru Zhang2, Pasquale Castagno3, Xianxian Han4, Michael S Dinniman5, Zhiqiang LIU6 and Chunning Wang2, (1)Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China, (2)Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Oceanography, Shanghai, China, (3)University of Messina, Messina, Italy, (4)School of Atmospheric Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, and Southern Marine Science and Engineering Guangdong Laboratory (Zhuhai), Zhuhai, China, (5)Old Dominion University, Center for Coastal Physical Oceanography, Norfolk, VA, United States, (6)Southern University of Science and Technology, Department of Ocean Science and Engineering, Shenzhen, China
 
Tropical to Circum-Antarctic Oceanic Teleconnections of Subantarctic Mode Water Variability (2022219)
Dr. Zhi Li, PhD, Centre for Marine Science and Innovation, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Ivana Cerovecki, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, United States, Mr. Sjoerd Groeskamp, PhD, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Ocean Systems (OCS), Texel, Netherlands, Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Alexander Haumann, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany and Lynne D Talley, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States
 
The impact of resolution on the simulated response to accelerating Antarctic ice melt in the ACCESS climate model (2022288)
Wilma C. G. Huneke, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia; Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science; Centre of Excellence in Climate Extremes, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
Recent changes in dense water outflow from the western Ross Sea (2022312)
Melissa Bowen, University of Auckland, School of Environment, Auckland, New Zealand, Denise Fernandez, Earth Sciences New Zealand, Wellington, New Zealand, Prof. Arnold L Gordon, PhD, Columbia University, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Bruce A Huber, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, NY, United States, Kathryn L. Gunn, University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, Pasquale Castagno, University of Messina, Messina, Italy, Pierpaolo Falco, Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy, Nancy Lucà, Ca' Foscari University, Venice, Italy and Giorgio Budillon, Parthenope University of Naples, Department of Science and Technology (DiST), Naples, Italy
 
Different Ross Gyre circulation modes and their influence on poleward heat transport (2022387)
Julia Neme, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, Australia; Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, Australia, Dr. Channing Prend, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, United States, Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Andrew F Thompson, CALTECH California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States
 
Excitation of Canyon-Trapped Waves and Associated Water Mixing in the Formation Area of Antarctic Bottom Water off Cape Darnley (2022617)
Kay I Ohshima1, Yoshihiro Nakayama2, Genta Mizuta3, Toru Takatsuka1 and Vigan Mensah1, (1)Hokkaido University, Institute of Low Temperature Science, Sapporo, Japan, (2)Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Hanover, United States, (3)Hokkaido University, Graduate School of Environmental Science, Sapporo, Japan
 
Compound Drivers of Antarctic Sea Ice Loss (2022728)
Aditya Narayanan, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, Holly Ayres, University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Alexander Haumann, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, Matthew R Mazloff, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States, Alessandro Silvano, University of Tasmania, Quantitative Marine Science Program, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Theo Spira, University of Gothenburg, Department of Marine Sciences, Gothenburg, Sweden, Shenjie Zhou, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom and Alberto Naveira Garabato, University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom
 
Standing Meanders in the Southern Ocean Under Elevated CO2 Forcing (2022990)
Mia Sophie Specht, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, GERMANY and Johann Jungclaus, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany
 
Bottom boundary turbulent dynamics along the Western Antarctic Peninsula slope (2023144)
Jess Kolbusz, University of Western Australia, School of Biological Sciences, Crawley, Australia, Alberto Naveira Garabato, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom and Nicole L Jones, University of Western Australia, School of Earth and Oceans and the Oceans Institute, Crawley, Australia
 
Gauging Antarctic Ice Melt from Southern Ocean Freshwater Content (2023168)
Kaihe Yamazaki, ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science (ACEAS), Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, Nathaniel L. Bindoff, Univ Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia and Helen Elizabeth Phillips, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Argo float insights into Circumpolar Deep Water inflow and Ice Shelf Water spreading in the eastern Ross Sea (2023255)
Milena Menna1, Riccardo Martellucci1, Massimo Pacciaroni2, Annunziata Pirro1, Naomi Krauzig3, Angela Garzia4, Matteo Carbone5, Pasquale Castagno6, Elena Mauri2, Enrico Zambianchi4 and Pierpaolo Falco7, (1)National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Trieste, Italy, (2)National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics OGS, Trieste, Italy, (3)Marche Polytechnic University, Ancona, Italy, (4)Sapienza University of Rome, Rome, Italy, (5)Parthenope University of Naples, Naples, Italy, (6)University of Messina, Messina, Italy, (7)Marche Polytechnic University, Laboratory of Oceanography, Department of Life and Environmental Sciences, Ancona, Italy
 
Wind-triggered Antarctic sea ice decline preconditioned by thinning Winter Water (2023459)
Theo Spira1,2, Marcel du Plessis1, Alexander Haumann2,3, Isabelle Giddy1, Aditya Narayanan4, Alessandro Silvano5 and Sebastiaan Swart1,6, (1)University of Gothenburg, Department of Marine Sciences, Gothenburg, Sweden, (2)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (3)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany, (4)University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, (5)University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, (6)University of Cape Town, Department of Oceanography, Cape Town, South Africa
 
Seasonal and inter-annual variability of Antarctic Bottom Water (2023646)
Polina Sholeninova, Australian National University, Canberra, AUSTRALIA, Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Annie Foppert, Australian Antarctic Program Partnership, Hobart, TAS, Australia; University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Towards attribution of human impact on Southern Ocean conditions and West Antarctic Ice Sheet melt (2024106)
Birgit Rogalla1, Kaitlin Naughten1, Paul Holland1, Pierre Mathiot2, Nicolas C. Jourdain2 and Christoph Kittel3, (1)British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (2)CNRS - Institut des Géosciences de l'Environnement, Saint-Martin-d'Heres, France, (3)Université de Liège, Liege, Belgium
 
The Impact of Antarctic Sea Ice on Southern Ocean Water Mass Transformation in Coupled Climate Models (2024738)
Zijin Chen1, Will R Hobbs2, Zanna Chase1 and Jan D Zika3, (1)University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (2)Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, nipaluna/Hobart, TAS, Australia, (3)University of New South Wales, School of Mathematics and Statistics, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Variability of the Antarctic Slope Current and Weddell Front in the Northwestern Weddell Sea Driven by Bottom Water Structure and Wind Forcing (2025171)
Tania Pereira Vázquez1, Markus A Janout2, Pedro Llanillo3, Marta Veny1 and Borja Aguiar-González4, (1)University of Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain, (2)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (3)Instituto Español de Oceanografía (IEO), Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain, (4)IU-ECOAQUA, Universidad de Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Las Palmas de Gran Canaria, Spain
 
Contribution of Unconventional Mesoscale Eddies to Surface Poleward Heat Flux in the Southern Ocean Over the Past Three Decades (2025537)
Ruiyi Chen, Shimin Yuan and Yiyong Luo, Ocean University of China, Qingdao, China
 
Poleward migration of warm Circumpolar Deep Water towards Antarctica from Argo float data (2026440)
Joshua Lanham1, Sarah G Purkey2, Kaushik Srinivasan3, Matthew R Mazloff4, Laura Cimoli5 and Prof. Ali Mashayek, PhD1, (1)University of Cambridge, Earth Sciences, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (2)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, University of California San Diego, San Diego, United States, (3)University of California Los Angeles, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Los Angeles, United States, (4)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States, (5)University of Cambridge, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Periodic inflow of warm, dense water to Dotson Ice Shelf Cavity (2026920)
Maren Richter1, Karen J. Heywood1, Rob Hall1, Anna Wahlin2, Francis Glassup3, Seung-Tae Yoon4 and the team of the Thwaites-Amundsen Regional Survey and Network Integrating Atmosphere-Ice-Ocean Processes (TARSAN) project, a component of the International Thwaites Glacier Collaboration (ITGC), (1)University of East Anglia, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, Norwich, United Kingdom, (2)University of Gothenburg, Gothenburg, Sweden, (3)University of East Anglia, Norwich, United Kingdom, (4)Kyungpook National University, School of Earth System Sciences, Daegu, South Korea
 
Multidecadal Variability of Southern Ocean Deep Circulation in CESM-HR Pre-Industrial Simulation (2029227)
Marina Noro, University of Sao Paulo, Department of Physical Oceanography, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Ilana C Wainer, University of Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Tiago Segabinazzi Dotto, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom and Marcos Tonelli, Admiral Paulo Moreira Institute for Sea Studies, Brazil Navy, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
 
ENSO’s imprint on the Southern Ocean: Wind waves drive poleward heat flux (2029337)
Hajin Song1, Jae-Hun Park1, Jeong-Yeob Chae, PhD2, Kathleen A Donohue2, D Randolph Watts3, Ahyoung Ku, PhD2, Kiduk Kim1, Tae-Wan Kim4 and Jisoo Park4, (1)Inha University, Ocean Sciences, Incheon, South Korea, (2)University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (3)University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, RI, United States, (4)KOPRI Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea
 
Sea ice driven freshwater flux in projections of climate change (2029605)
Nathan Beech1, Nadine Gut2, Matthias Munnich2 and Nicolas Gruber2, (1)Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zurich, Zürich, Switzerland, (2)Environmental Physics, Institute of Biogeochemistry and Pollutant Dynamics, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland
 
An Assessment of CMIP6 Simulations with respect to Observationally-Based Seasonal Metrics of Southern Ocean Properties (2031502)
Joellen L Russell1, Ronald Stouffer1, Erin Russell2 and Paul J Goodman2, (1)University of Arizona, Department of Geosciences, Tucson, AZ, United States, (2)University of Arizona, Department of Geosciences, Tucson, United States
 
Evidence for Deep convection in Antarctic Polynyas and Its Role in Dense Shelf Water Formation and Particle Transport (2031636)
Zhaoru Zhang1, Yuanyuan Feng2, Heng Hu1, Yiwu Zhu2 and Meng Zhou2, (1)Shanghai Jiao Tong University, School of Oceanography, Shanghai, China, (2)Shanghai Jiao Tong University, Shanghai, China
 
The role of atmospheric forcing and weakened AMOC in controlling Southern Ocean deep water properties. (2032294)
Hangyu Meng, Australian National University, Canberra, AUSTRALIA, Wilma C. G. Huneke, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Wilton Aguiar, Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sicences, Canberra, Australia, Andrew M Hogg, Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia and Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia
 
Dynamics of Downslope Flow over the Antarctic Continental Shelf under the Influence of Convection and Surface Wind Stress (2032655)
Mr. Sivakunalan Inparaja, The University of Melbourne, The Department of Mechanical Engineering, Carlton, VIC, Australia, Catherine Ann Vreugdenhil, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia and Bishakhdatta Gayen, The University of Melbourne and Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
 
Projected decline of Antarctic Circumpolar Current due to polar ocean freshening (2032807)
Bishakhdatta Gayen, The University of Melbourne and Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Taimoor Sohail, University of Melbourne, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Science, Parkville, VIC, Australia and Andreas Klocker, NORCE Norwegian Research Center, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
 
Sensitivity of Southern Ocean poleward heat fluxes to wind and bathymetry perturbations (2033064)
Edward Doddridge, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, nipaluna/Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Contrasting regional ocean processes sustaining low Antarctic sea ice coverage (2033254)
Helen Shea1, Ariaan Purich2, Julie Arblaster3, Edward Doddridge4, Will R Hobbs4 and Ariaan Purich, (1)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Melbourne, Australia, (2)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (3)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (4)Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, University of Tasmania, nipaluna/Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Reduced West Antarctic melt rates and winds drive a salinity rebound in the Ross Sea via baroclinic waves (2033593)
Christina Schmidt, University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Adele K Morrison, Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia, Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia and Alessandro Silvano, University of Tasmania, Quantitative Marine Science Program, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Multiple timescales of observed Antarctic Bottom Water variability (2035143)
Annie Foppert, University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia
 
Sensitivity of the Abyssal Overturning Circulation to Antarctic Ice Shelf Meltwater Parameterisation in a High-Resolution Global Ocean-Sea Ice Model (2035406)
Fabio Boeira Dias1, Matthew H England2, Adele K Morrison3, Claire Yung3, Hannah Dawson4, Pedro Colombo5, Wilma C. G. Huneke6, Andrew E Kiss6, Andrew M Hogg7, Paul Spence8, Stephen Matthew Griffies9, Benjamin Keith Galton-Fenzi10 and Basal MOM5 project, (1)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (2)Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (3)Australian National University and Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, Canberra, ACT, Australia, (4)University of New South Wales, Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (5)University of NSW, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (6)Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, (7)Australian National University and ARC Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes, ACCESS-NRI, Canberra, ACT, Australia, (8)University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (9)Princeton University, Princeton, United States, (10)Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, TAS, Australia
 
Persistent warming and reduced freshening of the abyssal Southern Ocean (2035600)
Kathryn L. Gunn, University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, Stephen R Rintoul, Antarctic Climate and Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre (ACE CRC), Hobart, TAS, Australia and Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Influence of Wind Stress Curl and Topography on the Transport of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current from a Barotropic Perspective (2035974)
Sima Yildiz Dogan, Institute of Science and Technology Austria (ISTA), Physics, Klosterneuburg, Austria, Caroline Muller, Institute of Science and Technology Austria (ISTA), Klosterneuburg, Austria, Louis-Philippe Nadeau, University of Quebec at Rimouski, Institut des sciences de la mer, Rimouski, QC, Canada and Antoine Venaille, CNRS, ENS de Lyon, Laboratoire de Physique, Lyon, France
 
Internal Variability and Forced Response of Antarctic Sea Ice from Multi-Model Large Ensembles (2037543)
Lukrecia Stulic1, Giovanni Liguori1, Doroteaciro Iovino2 and Yushi Morioka3, (1)University of Bologna, Department of Biological, Geological, and Environmental Sciences, Bologna, Italy, (2)Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici - CMCC, Bologna, Italy, (3)VAiG, JAMSTEC, Application Laboratory, Yokohama, Japan
 
Influence of Sea Ice on Tidal Currents and Biogeochemical Variability on the Eastern Antarctic Peninsula: Year-Long Mooring Observations (2037791)
Viktoria Nikolaus1, Florence Atherden2, Anna Belcher3, Giorgio Dall'Olmo4, Elise Droste1, Sophie Fielding2, Rob Hall1, Karen J. Heywood1, Clara Manno2, Maren Richter1, Emily Rowlands2 and Isabel Seguro1, (1)University of East Anglia, Centre for Ocean and Atmospheric Sciences, School of Environmental Sciences, Norwich, United Kingdom, (2)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom, (3)UK Centre for Ecology & Hydrology, Penicuik, United Kingdom, (4)National Institute of Oceanography and Applied Geophysics (OGS), Trieste, Italy
 
The role of the Southern Ocean overturning in the recent Antarctic sea ice decline (2038069)
Dafydd Gwyn Evans, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, UK, Marine Physics and Ocean Climate, Southampton, United Kingdom, J. Alexander Brearley, NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom and Alberto Naveira Garabato, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, SO14, United Kingdom
 
Decomposing the patterns of redistributed and added abyssal ocean heat from in-situ observations (2039234)
Sarah G Purkey, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States and Laura Cimoli, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
Hydrodynamic Regimes in Kong Håkon VII Hav: Shelf Break Dynamics and Water Mass Transformation in the Divergence Zone of the Eastern Weddell Gyre (2039292)
Tore Hatterman1, Sebastien Moreau2, Julius Lauber3, Vår Iren Dundas4, Øyvind Lundesgaard5, Johanne Hus6, Laura de Steur2, Agneta Fransson2, Clara Lecompte7, Melissa Chierici8 and Jürgen Sültenfuß9, (1)Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromso, Norway, (2)Norwegian Polar Institute, Tromsø, Norway, (3)Multiconsult, Tromsø, Norway, (4)Nansen Environmental and Remote Sensing Center, Bergen, Norway, (5)Norwegian Polar Institute, Section for Oceans and Sea Ice, Tromsø, Norway, (6)University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, (7)European University Institute for Marine Studies, Brest, France, (8)Institute of Marine Research, Tromsø, Norway, (9)University of Bremen, Institute of Environmental Physics, Bremen, Germany
 
Southern Ocean Overturning Response to Antarctic Sea Ice Decline (2039966)
Sarah Zhang1, Andrew F Thompson1, Dimitris Menemenlis2, Hong Zhang3, David B Bonan4, Emily Rose Newsom5 and Sahra Kacimi3, (1)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (2)San Jose State University, San Jose, United States, (3)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (4)University of Washington, Seattle, United States, (5)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States
 
In situ observations of Southern Ocean upper ocean response to storms across the winter sea ice zone (2040120)
Chloe Cheng, Stanford University, Department of Geophysics, Stanford, United States and Earle Wilson, Stanford University, Earth System Science, Stanford, United States
 
Eddy heat flux across the southernmost Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the Southeast Indian Ridge hot spot (2041556)
Jeong-Yeob Chae, PhD1, Kathleen A Donohue2, D Randolph Watts2, Jae-Hun Park3, Jisoo Park4, Tae-Wan Kim4, Xiaobiao Xu5, Sawyer Brand6, Maureen Kennelly1, Hajin Song3 and Kiduk Kim3, (1)University of Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (2)Univ Rhode Island, Narragansett, United States, (3)Inha University, Ocean Sciences, Incheon, South Korea, (4)KOPRI Korea Polar Research Institute, Incheon, South Korea, (5)Florida State University, Center for Ocean-Atmospheric Prediction Studies, Tallahassee, FL, United States, (6)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Carlsbad, United States
 
High coastal eddy activity around Antarctica revealed by SWOT (2041614)
Xianxian Han, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany
 
Reassessing the Role of the Antarctic Slope Current in Poleward Ocean Heat Transport (2043513)
Adele K Morrison1, Wilton Aguiar2, Taimoor Sohail3, Ellie Ong4, Fabio Boeira Dias5, Wilma C. G. Huneke1, Paul Spence6 and Matthew H England5,7, (1)Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia, (2)Australian National University, Canberra, Australia, (3)University of Melbourne, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Science, Parkville, VIC, Australia, (4)Monash University, Melbourne, Australia, (5)University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (6)University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (7)Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia
 
Variability of the Antarctic Coastal Current Inferred from Satellite Altimetry (2044484)
Andrew F Thompson1, Mar Flexas2, Sahra Kacimi3, Susan L. Howard4, Laurence Padman5, Xiaosu Xie3, Monica M. Wilhelmus6, James Morison7 and Ron Kwok8, (1)Caltech, Pasadena, United States, (2)California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, United States, (4)Earth and Space Research, Seattle, United States, (5)Earth & Space Research, Corvallis, United States, (6)Brown University, Center for Fluid Mechanics, School of Engineering, Providence, United States, (7)Polar Science Ctr, Seattle, WA, United States, (8)Applied Physics Laboratory University of Washington, Polar Science Center, Seattle, United States
 
Topographic control on deep water upwelling at the crossing of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current and the Pacific Antarctic Ridge (2044581)
Sophie Shapiro, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States and Lynne D Talley, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, UCSD, La Jolla, United States
 
Determining atmospheric drivers of upper Southern Ocean temperature variability (2044847)
Noah Abner Rosenberg, University of Washington, School of Oceanography, Seattle, United States, Daniel E Amrhein, NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States and LuAnne Thompson, University of Washington, Oceanography, Seattle, United States
 
Emerging evidence of abrupt changes in the Antarctic environment (2046782)
Ariaan Purich1, Nerilie J. Abram2, Matthew H England3, Felicity McCormack4, Jan Strugnell5, Dana Bergstrom6, Tessa Vance7, Tobias Staal8, Barbara Wienecke9, Petra Heil10, Edward Doddridge11, Jean-Baptiste Sallée12, Thomas Williams13, Anya M. Reading14, Andrew Mackintosh15, Ronja Reese16, Ricarda Winkelmann17, Ann Kristin Klose18, Philip W Boyd19, Steven L Chown20 and Sharon Robinson6, (1)Monash University, ARC Special Research Initiative for Securing Antarctica’s Environmental Future, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, (2)Australian National University, Research School of Earth Sciences, Canberra, Australia, (3)Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, (4)Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere & Environment, Clayton, VIC, Australia, (5)James Cook University, Townsville, Australia, (6)University of Wollongong, Wollongong, Australia, (7)University of Tasmania, Institute for Marine and Antarctic Studies, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (8)University of Tasmania, School of Natural Sciences (Physics), Hobart, Australia, (9)Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, TAS, Australia, (10)Univ Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (11)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom, (12)LOCEAN‐IPSL, Sorbonne Université, CNRS, IRD, MNHN, Paris, France, (13)University of Tasmania, Hobart, Australia, (14)University of Tasmania, School of Natural Sciences (Physics), Hobart, TAS, Australia, (15)Victoria University of Wellington, School of Geography, Environment and Earth Sciences, Wellington, New Zealand, (16)Northumbria University, Newcastle, United Kingdom, (17)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Earth Resilience Science Unit, Potsdam, Germany, (18)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (19)Institute for Marine and Antarctic Sciences, University of Tasmania, Hobart, TAS, Australia, (20)Monash University, School of Biological Sciences,, Victoria, Australia