GC033
Environmental changes and human migration: advances in data, modeling, and analysis
Session ID#: 76472
Session Description:
One of the most dramatic manifestations of global environmental changes is human migration and its often tragic consequences. Despite recent advances in linking global environmental changes and human migration, many issues remain unresolved, e.g., establishing causal linkages among different factors, determining the two-way interactions between migration and the environment, and developing an integrative theory and predictive models. This problem is decidedly transdisciplinary; as such, we seek contributions from a wide range of disciplines in this session: sociology, anthropology, economics, hydrology, ecology, climate modeling, coupled natural-human modeling, and the like. We are particularly interested in novel dataset and analyses; systematic, quantitative, and generalizable methodologies; application of such methodology to case studies are also greatly welcomed.
Co-Organized:
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4327 Resilience [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4353 Sociology of disasters [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
Conveners: Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, Palisades, NY, United States and David Griffith, East Carolina University, Anthropology, Greenville, NC, United States
Primary Liaison: Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
The history of pastoralism in the Qinghai Lake Basin, Northeastern Qinghai-Tibetan Plateau (529966)
Haicheng Wei, Qishun Fan, Zhanjie Qin, Qingkuan Li Sr, Yongsheng Du and Fashou Shan, Qinghai Institute of Salt Lakes, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Qinghai Provincial Key Laboratory of Geology and Environment of Salt Lakes, Xining, China
Using Remote Sensing to Measure Displacement and Assess Environmental Conditions at Host Locations (543971)
Alison Heslin, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, The Earth Institute, New York, NY, United States, Lisa Thalheimer, University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom and Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, Palisades, NY, United States
Dynamics of Resilience and Equity in Social-Ecological Systems with Power Asymmetries (547352)
Nusrat Molla, University of California Davis, Land, Air, and Water Resources, Davis, CA, United States, John DeIonno, University of California, Davis, Davis, CA, United States and Jonathan D Herman, University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States
Addressing Network Autocorrelation Issue in Environmental Migration Flow Modeling using Eigenvector Spatial Filtering and a Network Model (557681)
Tingyin Xiao1, Michael Oppenheimer1, Xiaogang He2 and Marina Mastrorillo3, (1)Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Water in the West, Woods Institute for the Environment, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, (3)Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO), Economic and Social Development Department, Rome, Italy
The Groundswell Climate-Migration Modeling Project: Lessons Learned and Work in Progress (Invited) (559624)
Alexander M de Sherbinin, Columbia University, CIESIN, Palisades, NY, United States and Kanta Kumari Rigaud, World Bank, Environment & Natural Resources GEN01, Washington, DC, United States
The Role of Social Networks and Migration in Climate Adaptation among Subsistence Farming Households: A Stylized Agent-Based Model (579896)
Nicolas Choquette-Levy1,2, Matthias Wildemeersch2, Michael Oppenheimer3 and Simon Levin4, (1)Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (3)Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton, NJ, United States
Global Geospatial Patterns of Human migration, Environmental Vulnerability and Adaptive Capacity (582493)
Venla Niva1, Maija Taka2, Cecilia Tortajada3, Asit K. Biswas3, Matti Kummu4 and Olli Varis1, (1)Aalto University, Aalto, Finland, (2)Aalto University, Department of Built Environment, Aalto, Finland, (3)National University of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, (4)Aalto University, Water and Development Research Group, Aalto, Finland
Assessing the Rohingya Displacement Crisis Using Satellite Data and Convolutional Neural Networks (593425)
Susanne Benz1, Mai Nguyen2, Hogeun Park1, Jiaxin Li2, Daniel Crawl3, Jessica Block4, Ilkay Altintas1 and Jennifer Burney5, (1)University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States, (2)University of California San Diego, La Jolla, United States, (3)University of California San Diego, San Diego Supercomputer Center, La Jolla, CA, United States, (4)University of California San Diego, Qualcomm Institute, La Jolla, CA, United States, (5)University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, United States
Reconstructing Human-landscape Interactions in Tectonically Active Regions (595267)
Simon Kuebler, University of Colorado Boulder, Denver, CO, United States, Geoffrey C P King, IPGP, Paris, France, Geoff Bailey, University of York, Archeology, York, United Kingdom and Gregory E Tucker, Univ Colorado, Boulder, CO, United States
Contextualizing Landscape-Scale Forest Cover Loss in the DRC between 2000 and 2015 (598579)
Giuseppe Molinario1, Matthew Hansen2, Peter Potapov2, Alexandra Tyukavina2 and Stephen V. Stehman3, (1)World Bank, Global Facility for Disaster Reduction and Recovery, Washington, DC, United States, (2)University of Maryland, College Park, MD, United States, (3)SUNY College of Environmental Science and Forestry, Syracuse, NY, United States
Global estimates of human migration from projected climate change (626851)
Marena Lin, University of California San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States, Katharine Ricke, Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, CA, United States and Gaurav Khanna, University of California San Diego, School of Global Policy & Strategy, La Jolla, United States
Spatial dispersal of global population and its response to climate changes between Last Glacial Maximum and Early Holocene (630602)
Yanyan Yu, Key Laboratory of Cenozoic Geology and Environment, Institute of Geology and Geophysics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, China, Stephen J Vavrus, Univ Wisconsin, Madison, WI, United States and Feng He, University of Wisconsin Madison, Madison, WI, United States
Disentangling drivers of emergent behaviour from agent-based models: application to a “toy” model of environmentally driven human migration (485905)
Rafael Munoz-Carpena1, Alvaro Carmona Cabrero2, Woi Sok Oh2 and Rachata Muneepeerakul2, (1)University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, (2)University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States
Climate Change, International Migration and Effect on Damages Assessment: Including Migration Dynamics in an Integrated Assessment Model (487642)
Hélène Benveniste, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, United States, Michael Oppenheimer, Princeton University, Woodrow Wilson School of Public and International Affairs, Princeton, NJ, United States and Marc Fleurbaey, Princeton University, Princeton, United States
Paleocurrents in a Least-Cost Pathway Model of Human Dispersal from Sunda to Sahul, 65 – 45,000 Years Ago (498818)
Marisa Julia Borreggine1, Evelyn M Powell1, Richard H Meadow2, Jerry X Mitrovica1 and Christian A Tryon2, (1)Harvard University, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Harvard University, Anthropology Department, Cambridge, MA, United States
Exploring effects of factor configurations in a “toy” migration agent-based model (507212)
Woi Sok Oh1, Rachata Muneepeerakul1, Rafael Munoz-Carpena2 and Alvaro Carmona Cabrero1, (1)University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States, (2)University of Florida (Visiting Professor at Public University of Navarra, Spain), Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States
Dynamic Optimization of Ecological Resilience in Social-Ecological Systems and its Implications (509136)
Mehran Homayounfar, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States, Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States and John Martin Anderies, Arizona State University, School of Sustainability, Tempe, United States
Detecting important network drivers with global sensitivity analysis: application to refugee flows (512266)
Alvaro Carmona Cabrero1, Rafael Munoz-Carpena2, Woi Sok Oh1, Justin Scott Schon3, Rachata Muneepeerakul1 and Jeffrey C Johnson4, (1)University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States, (2)University of Florida (Visiting Professor at Public University of Navarra, Spain), Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States, (3)University of Florida, Gainesville, United States, (4)University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, United States
Strategic Behavior, Governance Challenges, and Implications for Migration in Self-Organized Coupled Infrastructure Systems (516200)
Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States and John Martin Anderies, Arizona State University, School of Sustainability, Tempe, United States
Linking Environmental Change and Migration in Somalia: Challenges (517862)
Ayse Karanci1, Paulina Concha Larrauri2, Rachata Muneepeerakul1 and Upmanu Lall3, (1)University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, FL, United States, (2)Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
