GC046
Integrated Modeling of Complex Coastal Systems and Human-Environment Interactions

Session ID#: 83192

Session Description:
Coastal zones are home to high fractions of global population, trade, infrastructure, ecological diversity, and biological productivity, but are difficult to study due to the complex multiscale interactions that occur between many different human and natural systems. Coastal regions are also experiencing stresses ranging from sea-level rise and extreme weather events to hypoxia and saltwater intrusion to intensifying coastal development. While the scientific community has made substantial progress in characterizing some of the corresponding vulnerabilities and risks, there remains a need for more integrated analyses that account for multiple stresses and multisector interactions, as well as how adaptation options could potentially reduce risk or enhance resilience. This session will explore the complex dynamics of coastal regions, with an emphasis on integrated modeling and analysis tools that can be used to understand, predict, and project their evolution across a range of timescales.
Index Terms:

1807 Climate impacts [HYDROLOGY]
3339 Ocean/atmosphere interactions [ATMOSPHERIC PROCESSES]
4217 Coastal processes [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4306 Multihazards [NATURAL HAZARDS]

Primary Convener:  Ian Kraucunas, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
Conveners:  Phillip J. Wolfram Jr, LANL, LOS Alamos, NM, United States and Shuyi S Chen, University of Washington, Atmospheric Science, Seattle, WA, United States
Primary Liaison:  Ian Kraucunas, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Assessment of Aboveground Root Growth and Surface Elevation Changes In Mangrove Forests Using a Rapid-Scan, Low Point Density Terrestrial Laser Scanner (486618)
Ali Rouzbeh Kargar1, Richard Ames MacKenzie2 and Jan A van Aardt1, (1)Rochester Institute of Technology, Imaging Science, Rochester, NY, United States, (2)Forest Service, Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Hilo, HI, United States
 
Global Stream Temperature Simulation and Affected Ecosystem Factors Analysis with an Earth System Modeling Approach (491573)
Wondmagegn Yigzaw1, Xiao Zhang2, Hong-Yi Li1, Senlin Zhu1, Tian Zhou2, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu1 and L. Ruby Leung2, (1)University of Houston, Houston, TX, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Fresh-saline water interface response to pumping saline groundwater for desalination; evidence from desalination plant in Almeria (Spain) (496259)
Shaked Stein1, Fernando Sola2, Eyal Shalev3, Yoseph Yechieli3, Orit Sivan1, Roni Kasher4 and Angela Vallejos2, (1)Ben Gurion University, Beer Sheva, 84105, Israel, (2)Water Resources and Environmental Geology, University of Almería, Almería 04120, Spain, Almeria, Spain, (3)Geological Survey of Israel, Jerusalem, Israel, (4)Department of Desalination and Water treatment, Zuckerberg Institute for Water Research, Jacob Blaustein Institutes for Desert Research, Ben-Gurion University of the Negev, Sde Boqer Campus, Midreshset Ben-Gurion 84990, Israel, Midreshet ben gurion, Israel
 
Resilience of U.S. coastal wetlands to accelerating sea level rise (506557)
Maya Buchanan, Scott Andrew Kulp and Benjamin Strauss, Climate Central, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Complex Spatiotemporal Dynamics of Global Coastal Dead Zones (511902)
Yingjie Li1, Lan Hoang Nguyen2, Ho Yi Wan3, Megs Seeley4, Yi Li5 and Jianguo Liu1, (1)Michigan State University, Center for Systems Integration and Sustainability, East Lansing, MI, United States, (2)University of Calgary, Department of Biological Science, Calgary, AB, Canada, (3)University of Montana, School of Public and Community Health Sciences, Missoula, MT, United States, (4)NASA DEVELOP, NASA Ames Research Center, Moffett Field, United States, (5)Xiamen University, College of the Environment and Ecology, Xiamen, China
 
Assessing the vulnerability of coastal vegetation to climate change using a dynamic vegetation model (529616)
Lu Zhai1, Chonggang Xu2, Joel C Rowland2 and Donatella Pasqualini2, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
 
Hurricane Reanalysis and Reforecasts Using Operational HWRF with High-Resolution land-sea Mask for COASTAL Act (544601)
Zaizhong Ma1,2, Bin Liu3,4 and Avichal Mehra2, (1)I. M. Systems Group, Inc.,, College Park, MD, United States, (2)National Centers For Environmental Prediction-Environmental Modeling Center, College Park, MD, United States, (3)IMSG at EMC/NCEP/NOAA, College Park, MD, United States, (4)NOAA College Park, College Park, MD, United States
 
Feedbacks Between Groundwater Pumping Decisions and Salinization Risks in Coastal Aquifers (547085)
Chelsea Peters, University of Delaware, Earth Sciences, Newark, DE, United States, Holly A Michael, University of Delaware, Geological Sciences, Newark, DE, United States, Fnu Ahsanuzzaman, University of Delaware, Applied Economics & Statistics, Newark, DE, United States, Mary Hingst, University of Delaware, Department of Geological Sciences, Newark, DE, United States and Leah Palm-Forster, University of Delaware, Applied Economics & Statistics, Newark, United States
 
Modeling the Impact of Projected Climate Change and Sea Level Rise Scenarios on Flood Risk in Coastal Cities: Norfolk, VA as a Case Study (554620)
Yawen Shen1, Luca Castrucci2, Navid Tahvildari3, Mohamed M Morsy4, Chris Huxley5 and Jonathan L Goodall1, (1)University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States, (2)Old Dominion University, Civil Engineering, Norfolk, VA, United States, (3)Old Dominion University, Norfolk, VA, United States, (4)Cairo University, Civil Engineering, Giza, Egypt, (5)BMT WBM Pty Ltd, Brisbane, Queensland, Australia
 
Woody plant encroachment and ecological bistability through microclimate feedbacks in California (563841)
Heng Huang, Leander DL Anderegg, Todd Dawson and Paolo D'Odorico, University of California Berkeley, Berkeley, CA, United States
 
Uncertainty Quantification and Decision Making Under Uncertainty for Integrated Coastal Systems (566268)
Nathan M Urban1, Donatella Pasqualini1, Devin Francom2, Site Wang3, Russell Bent1 and Carleton Coffrin2, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States, (3)Instacart, San Francisco, United States
 
Impact of Reclamation on Marine Hydrodynamic Environment: A Case Study of Zhifu Bay in Shandong Province, China (577142)
Lu Wang, CRAES Chinese Research Academy of Environmental Sciences, Beijing, China
 
Past and Future of Coastal Regions’ Adaptation: Coevolution of Natural and Engineered Systems (584661)
Donatella Pasqualini, Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States
 
Coupled Modeling of Landscape Evolution and Human Adaptation in the Ganges-Brahmaputra Delta (590338)
Christopher M Tasich, Jonathan M Gilligan and Steven Lee Goodbred Jr, Vanderbilt University, Earth and Environmental Science, Nashville, TN, United States
 
Turbulence Enhancement by Surface Gravity Waves in a Large Estuary: Observation and Modeling (604563)
Amin Ilia, University of Connecticut, Groton, CT, United States, Grant McCardell, University of Connecticut, Marine Sciences, Groton, CT, United States and James O'Donnell, University of Connecticut, Connecticut Institute for Resilience and Climate Adaptation, Groton, CT, United States
 
Fully Coupled Atmosphere-Wave-Ocean-Land Modeling for Coastal Storm Predictions and Societal Impacts (608127)
Shuyi S Chen, University of Washington, Atmospheric Sciences, Seattle, WA, United States
 
Integrated Coastal Urban Flood Modeling, Applications, Lessons Learned, Future Directions (619837)
Charles W Downer, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydrualic Laboratory, Hydrologic Systems Branch, Vicksburg, MS, United States, Christopher Massey, U.S. Army Engineers Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, United States, Nawa Raj Pradhan, U. S. Army Corps of Engineers, Clinton, MS, United States, Jaime A. Graulau-Santiago, US Army Corps of Engineer, Jacksonville District, IMC, West Palm Beach, United States, Ahmad Tavakoly, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, United States and Drew Loney, US Army Corps of Engineers, Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal and Hydraulics Laboratory, Vicksburg, MS, United States
 
Extreme Event Impacts on Coastal Human Systems (620806)
Dave Judi1, James Yoon2 and Brent Daniel2, (1)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
 
Modeling mangrove ecosystem sea-level rise vulnerability for Pohnpei, Micronesia (622194)
Karen Thorne1, Kevin M Buffington2, Richard Ames MacKenzie3, Ken Krauss4, Joanna C. Ellison5, Elitsa Peneva-Reed6, Dean B Gesch7, Maybeleen Apwong8, Tamara Greenstone Alefaio9, Wendolin Roseo Marquez10, Francisca Obispo10 and Zhiliang Zhu11, (1)U.S. Geological Survey, Vallejo, CA, United States, (2)U.S. Geological Survey, Davis, CA, United States, (3)Forest Service, Institute of Pacific Islands Forestry, Hilo, HI, United States, (4)U.S. Geological Survey, Wetland and Aquatic Research Center, Lafayette, LA, United States, (5)University of Tasmania, Launceston, Australia, (6)U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, United States, (7)US Geological Survey, EROS Data Center, Sioux Falls, SD, United States, (8)University of Hawaii at Hilo, Hilo, United States, (9)Micronesia Conservation Trust, Pohnpei, Micronesia, (10)Conservation Society of Pohnpei, Pohnpei, Micronesia, (11)U.S. Geological Survey, Reston, VA, United States
 
An Overview of ERDC’s Coastal Storm Modeling System as Applied to the South Atlantic Coast Study: Puerto Rico and the U.S. Virgin Islands (627007)
Thomas C Massey1, Mary Anderson Bryant2, Margaret B Owensby3, Leigh A Provost3, Yan Ding3, Ty Hesser4, Amanda S Tritinger3, John Goertz5 and Norberto Nadal-Caraballo6, (1)US Army Engineer Research and Development, Coastal & Hydraulics Lab, Vicksburg, MS, United States, (2)ERDC, Vicksburg, MS, United States, (3)US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Coastal & Hydraulics Lab, Vicksburg, MS, United States, (4)US Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, MS, United States, (5)US Army Corps of Engineers, Los Angeles District, Los Angeles,, CA, United States, (6)U.S. Army Corps of Engineers, Vicksburg, United States
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