GC067
Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations I

Friday, 11 December 2020: 04:00-05:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
Conveners:  Abigail Snyder, Joint Global Change Research Institute, College Park, MD, United States, Enayat Moallemi, Deakin University, School of Life & Env. Sciences, Melbourne, Australia and Jan H. Kwakkel, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft, Netherlands
Primary Liaison:  Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
Chairs:  Jennifer F Morris, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States and Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
04:00
The Enemy of Good: Estimating the Cost of Waiting for Nearly Perfect Automated Vehicles (Invited) (752395)
Nidhi Kalra, RAND Corporation Santa Monica, Santa Monica, CA, United States and David G Groves, RAND Corporation, Boulder, CO, United States
04:04
A New Typology for Representing Human Decision Making in MultiSector Dynamics (MSD) Models (737158)
Nathan M Urban1, Jim Yoon2, Patricia Romero-Lankao3, Christian J. A. Klassert4, Patrick M Reed5, Yi-Chen Ethan Yang6, Alejandro N Flores7, Kendra Elena Kaiser7, Nathalie Voisin8 and Klaus Keller9, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Hydrology, Richland, WA, United States, (3)National Renewable Energy Laboratory Golden, Golden, United States, (4)Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research UFZ Leipzig, Leipzig, Germany, (5)Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States, (6)UMASS-Civil & Environ Engrg, Amherst, PA, United States, (7)Boise State University, Boise, ID, United States, (8)PNNL, Seattle, WA, United States, (9)The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Geosciences, University Park, PA, United States
04:08
Societal Transformations in Models for Energy and Climate Policy: The Ambitious Next Step (667498)
Evelina Trutnevyte1, Léon F Hirt1, Nico Bauer2, Aleh Cherp3, Adam Hawkes4, Oreane Y Edelenbosch5, Simona Pedde6 and Detlef van Vuuren7, (1)University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (3)Central European University, Budapest, Hungary, (4)Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, (5)Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy, (6)Wageningen University and Research Center, Wageningen, Netherlands, (7)Netherlands Environmental Assessment Agency, Department of Climate, Air, and Energy, The Hague, Netherlands
04:12
A strategic analysis for achieving net-zero electricity for the UK - a systems-of-systems approach (749451)
Matthew Ives, University of Oxford, Institute for New Economic Thinking, Oxford, United Kingdom and Myles Robert Allen, University of Oxford, ECI/School of Geography and the Environment, Oxford, United Kingdom
04:16
Land Use Change in the Continental United States under a Multisystem Dynamics Approach: Are There Tipping Points? (669280)
Angelo Gurgel1, John M Reilly2 and Elodie Blanc1, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States
04:20
Understanding how water scarcity vulnerabilities vary across multi-sectoral users within institutionally complex river basins (675798)
Antonia Hadjimichael, Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, Julianne Quinn, University of Virginia, Engineering Systems and Environment, Charlottesville, VA, United States and Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
04:24
A Robust Decision-Making Approach to Passenger Transport Decarbonization Under Uncertainty (741875)
Abdullah Alarfaj1, Constantine Samaras1 and W. Michael Griffin2, (1)Carnegie Mellon University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Pittsburgh, PA, United States, (2)Carnegie Mellon University, Engineering and Public Policy, Pittsburgh, PA, United States
04:28
Discussion