GC075
Multisector Dynamics: Science and Modeling for Societal Transformations II

Friday, 11 December 2020: 05:30-06:30
Virtual
Primary Convener:  Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
Conveners:  Vivek Srikrishnan, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States, Andrea Castelletti, Politecnico di Milano, Milano, Italy and Stefano Galelli, Singapore University of Technology and Design, Pillar of Engineering Systems and Design, Singapore, Singapore
Primary Liaison:  Patrick M Reed, Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
Chairs:  Jonathan Lamontagne, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States and Vivek Srikrishnan, Pennsylvania State University Main Campus, University Park, PA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  Jonathan Lamontagne, Tufts University, Medford, MA, United States
05:30
A Consistent Framework for Probabilistic Uncertainty Quantification in Coupled Human-Earth System Models (770748)
Jennifer F Morris and Andrei P Sokolov, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States
05:34
Multi-Country Modeling of Sustainable Land-Use Futures for North America (706600)
Hisham Zerriffi, University of British Columbia, Faculty of Forestry, Vancouver, BC, Canada, René Reyes Gallardo, Instituto Forestal de Chile, Valdivia, Chile, Charlotte Gonzalez Abraham, Conservación del Territorio Insular Mexicano (ISLA, AC), La Paz, Mexico, Justin Baker, North Carolina State University Raleigh, Forestry and Environmental Resources, Raleigh, NC, United States, Gordon C Mccord, University of Calif San Diego, La Jolla, CA, United States, Aline Mosnier, Sustainable Development Solutions Network, Paris, France and Grace C. Wu, The Nature Conservancy, San Francisco, CA, United States; National Center for Ecological Analysis and Synthesis, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
05:38
Identifying hotspots of multi-sector vulnerability: A risk triage framework (714749)
Xiang Gao1, Jennifer F Morris2, Shelli Orzach3, Alyssa McCluskey3, Cypress Frankenfeld3 and C Adam Schlosser1, (1)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA, United States, (2)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change, Cambridge, MA, United States, (3)Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, United States
05:42
Uncertainty in Energy-Water Climate Impacts: Review and Recommendations (775261)
Jill Horing, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States and John P Weyant, Stanford University, Management Science and Engineering, Stanford, United States
05:46
Optimizing Regional Water Management using Probabilistic Seasonal Forecasts (Invited) (722640)
Tingju Zhu, Zhejiang University, ZJU-UIUC Institute, Hangzhou, China, Guilherme Marques, Institute of Hydraulic Research UFGRS, Porto Alegre, Brazil, Josue Medellin-Azuara, University of California, Merced, Water Systems Management Lab, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Merced, CA, United States and Jay R Lund, Center of Watershed Sciences, University of California Davis, Davis, CA, United States
05:50
Assessing the neutrality of scenario-neutral exploratory modeling for climate risk assessments of coupled natural-human systems (666607)
Julianne Quinn1, Antonia Hadjimichael2, Patrick M Reed3 and Scott Steinschneider2, (1)University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, United States, (2)Cornell University, Ithaca, NY, United States, (3)Cornell University, School of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Ithaca, NY, United States
05:54
Uncertainties in Driving Agricultural Models with Downscaled and Bias-Corrected Climate Information (672651)
David Conway Lafferty1, Ryan L Sriver2, Iman Haqiqi3, Thomas W Hertel3, Klaus Keller4, Robert Nicholas5 and Wolfram Schlenker6, (1)University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Urbana, IL, United States, (2)University of Illinois, Urbana, IL, United States, (3)Purdue University, West Lafayette, IN, United States, (4)The Pennsylvania State University, Department of Geosciences, University Park, PA, United States, (5)Pennsylvania State University, Earth and Environmental Systems Institute, University Park, PA, United States, (6)Columbia University, New York, United States
05:58
Properties of Change: Politics and Land Ownership in Northern Alaskan Social-Environmental Systems (687022)
Nicholas Parlato1, Olivia Astillero Lee1 and Amy Lauren Lovecraft2, (1)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Fairbanks, AK, United States, (2)University of Alaska Fairbanks, Department of Political Science, Fairbanks, AK, United States
06:02
Discussion