GC037
Environmental changes and human migration: Advances in modeling and analysis
Session ID#: 156714
Session Description:
One of the most dramatic manifestations of global environmental changes is human migration. Despite recent advances in linking global environmental changes and human migration, many issues remain unresolved, e.g., establishing causal linkages among different factors, determining the two-way interactions between migration and the environment, and developing an integrative theory and predictive models. This problem is decidedly transdisciplinary; as such, we seek contributions from a wide range of disciplines in this session: sociology, anthropology, public policies, economics, hydrology, ecology, climate modeling, coupled natural-human modeling, and the like. We are particularly interested in novel dataset and analyses; systematic, quantitative, and generalizable methodologies; application of such methodology to case studies are also greatly welcomed.
Co-Organized:
Index Terms:
1622 Earth system modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4330 Vulnerability [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4353 Sociology of disasters [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
Conveners: Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States and David Griffith, East Carolina University, Coastal Studies and Anthropology, Greenville, NC, United States
World's Human Migration Patterns in 2000-2019 Unveiled by High-Resolution Data (1042749)
Venla Niva1, Alexander Horton2, Matias Heino1, Maria Kosonen2, Marko Kalevi Kallio1, Pekka Kinnunen1, Raya Muttarak3, Maija Taka4, Olli Varis5, Vili Virkki1 and Matti Kummu5, (1)Aalto University, Water and Development Research Group, Aalto, Finland, (2)Aalto University, Espoo, Finland, (3)University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy, (4)Aalto University, Department of Built Environment, Aalto, Finland, (5)Aalto University, Water and Development Research Group, Espoo, Finland
Triadic Signatures of Global Refugee and Migrant Flow Networks (1056044)
Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, Jeffrey Johnson, University of Florida, Anthropology, Gainesville, United States and Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States
Quantifying Importance of Environmental and Socioeconomic Factors and Interactions in Forced Migration Networks with Machine Learning, Global Sensitivity Analysis and Quadratic Assignment Procedure (1061387)
Alvaro Carmona Cabrero, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, United States, Rafael Munoz-Carpena, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, Fl, United States and Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
Assessing Deterministic and Stochastic Effects of Inputs and Their Interactions in Agent-Based Models: Application to a Proof-of-Concept Model of Environmentally Driven Human Migration (1074335)
Rafael Munoz-Carpena, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, Fl, United States, Alvaro Carmona Cabrero, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Gainesville, United States, Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States and Woi Sok Oh, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
Structural Roles of Mobility Flow Networks and the Importance of Environmental Drivers (1075409)
Michael Zurek-Ost, University of Florida, Department of Anthropology, Gainesville, United States, John Hood, University of Florida, Anthropology, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, Jeffrey Johnson, University of Florida, Anthropology, Gainesville, United States, Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States and Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States
A Multilevel Bayesian Framework to Analyze Climate-Fueled Migration and Conflict (1090589)
Claire Palandri, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL, United States, Upmanu Lall, Columbia University, Earth and Environmental Engineering, New York, United States, Andrew Gelman, Columbia University, New York, United States and Paulina Concha Larrauri, Columbia University of New York, Palisades, NY, United States
Residential Migration and Exposure to Climate Hazards in North Carolina (1092948)
Miyuki Hino, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of City and Regional Planning; Environment, Ecology, and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, United States and Jihoon Jung, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
Uncovering Relationships Between Conflict, Resilience, and Socioeconomic and Political factors (1100035)
Kathleen Vazquez, University of Florida, Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, David Griffith, East Carolina University, Coastal Studies and Anthropology, Greenville, NC, United States and Jeffrey Johnson, University of Florida, Anthropology, Gainesville, United States
Modeling Drivers of Internal Displacement from Climate in East Africa (1129862)
Rachel Kayla Green, University of California Santa Barbara, Department of Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Kathy Baylis, University of California Santa Barbara, Geography, Santa Barbara, CA, United States and Kelly K Caylor, University of California Santa Barbara, Department of Geography, Bren School of Environmental Science and Management, Earth Research Institute, Santa Barbara, CA, United States
Spatially explicit downscaling and projection of population (1137841)
Wenru Xu, Iowa State University, Ames, IA, United States, Yuyu Zhou, Iowa State University, Dept. of Geological & Atmospheric Sciences, Ames, United States and Feilin Lai, Iowa State University, Ames, United States
A Parsimonious Model to Simulate Refugee Movement Due to the Russian Invasion of Ukraine (1141328)
Michael Joseph Puma1, Brandon Rose2, Matthew Printz3, Kyle Marsh2, Ezekiel Barnett2, Anish Mahesh Kalro4, Keren Mezuman5, Diana Suleimenova Jr6 and Derek Groen7,8, (1)Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States, (2)Jataware Corp., Washington, D.C., United States, (3)Jataware Corp, Washington, D.C., United States, (4)Columbia University, New York, United States, (5)Columbia University, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States, (6)Brunel University, Uxbridge, United Kingdom, (7)London, London, United Kingdom, (8)Brunel University London, Computer Science, London, United Kingdom
An Assessment of Climate Mobility Pressures in Response to Dynamic Sea-Level Rise (1146070)
Nadia Seeteram, Florida International University, Miami, FL, United States, Kevin Ash, University of Florida, Geography, Ft Walton Beach, United States, Mahadev Bhat, Florida International University, Department of Environmental Studies, Miami, FL, United States, Elizabeth Anderson, Florida International University, Earth and Environment, Miami, FL, United States, Kevin Grove, Florida International University, Department of Global and Sociocultural Studies, Miami, United States, Brett F Sanders, University of California Irvine, Irvine, CA, United States, Jochen E Schubert, University of California Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States and Katharine J. Mach, University of Miami, Department of Environmental Science and Policy, Rosenstiel School of Marine, Atmospheric, and Earth Science; Leonard and Jayne Abess Center for Ecosystem Science and Policy, Miami, United States
Drivers of internal displacement in Somalia: is it climate adaptation? (1164469)
Woi Sok Oh, Princeton University, Ecology & Evolutionary Biology, Princeton, NJ, United States; Princeton University, High Meadows Environmental Institute, Princeton, NJ, United States, Juan Carlos Rocha, Stockholm University, Stockholm, Sweden and Simon Levin, Princeton University, Ecology and Evolutionary Biology, Princeton, NJ, United States
Impact of Inter-State Migration on Health Burden Attributable to Ambient PM2.5 in India (1164796)
Supriya Mantri1, Sagnik Dey1,2, Fahad Imam1, Pallavi Joshi Lahari1, Alok Kumar1, Palak Balyan1 and Sourangsu Chowdhury3, (1)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Centre for Atmospheric Sciences, New Delhi, India, (2)Indian Institute of Technology Delhi, Center of Excellence for Research on Clean AIR (CERCA), New Delhi, India, (3)Max Planck Institute for Chemistry, Mainz, Germany
Network Models of Possible Climate Drivers to Refugee Flows: Regional Scale Comparisons (1174146)
Jeffrey Johnson, University of Florida, Anthropology, Gainesville, United States, Michael Zurek-Ost, University of Florida, Department of Anthropology, Gainesville, United States, John Hood, University of Florida, Anthropology, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States, Michael Joseph Puma, Columbia University in the City of New York, Center for Climate Systems Research, New York, NY, United States and Rachata Muneepeerakul, University of Florida, Department of Agricultural and Biological Engineering, Ft Walton Beach, FL, United States
A Data-Driven Foresighted Agent-Based Model for Municipal Level Projection of Urban and Rural Migration Response to Recurrent Flooding in Virginia (1191802)
Zahra Nourali1, Julie Elizabeth Shortridge2, Anamaria Bukvic3, Yang Shao4 and Jennifer L Irish4, (1)Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, UNITED STATES, (2)Virginia Tech, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (3)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Department of Geography, Blacksburg, VA, United States, (4)Virginia Polytechnic Institute and State University, Blacksburg, VA, United States
