U008
Frontiers in Multisector Dynamics; Synergies across Climate Security, Energy Transitions and Societal Aspirations

Session ID#: 158410

Session Description:
Futures are dynamic, constantly changing through co-evolution across technological (energy, transport), societal (population, health, economy), natural (watersheds, wetlands, forests, coasts) and managed (agriculture, forestry) systems. Understanding and projecting the dynamic interaction of these systems and associated systematic risks poses  a grand scientific challenge. Tackling this challenge requires novel integration of concepts, data, methods, and insights from many divergent fields:  a multisector dynamics (MSD) perspective . 

This Union Session will present research that advances our understanding of the co-evolution of human and natural systems in response to environmental, technical and societal changes and shocks, as well as tools and methods that bridge across sectors, scales and disciplines.  We aim to discuss the next MSD frontiers to inform planning strategies and accelerate science discoveries. The session complements more focused MSD sessions in the scientific program.

Index Terms:

1630 Impacts of global change [GLOBAL CHANGE]
6309 Decision making under uncertainty [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
6334 Regional planning [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]
6344 System operation and management [POLICY SCIENCES & PUBLIC ISSUES]

Primary Convener:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
Conveners:  Klaus Keller, Dartmouth College, Thayer School of Engineering, Hanover, United States, Yoshihide Wada, International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria and Jan H. Kwakkel, Delft University of Technology, Faculty of Technology, Policy and Management, Delft, Netherlands
Student/Early Career Convener:  Nathalie Voisin, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, United States
 
A framework for national risk and adaptation assessments across multiple sectors (Invited) (1072237)
Robert J Nicholls1, Richard J Dawson2, Rachel Warren1, Brian Matthews3, Alistair Ford2, Craig Robson2, Jeff Price1 and Asher Minns1, (1)University of East Anglia, Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Norwich, United Kingdom, (2)Newcastle University, School of Engineering and Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, Newcastle Upon Tyne, United Kingdom, (3)Science and Technology Facilities Council, Didcot, United Kingdom
 
Stress-testing development pathways under a changing climate: water-energy-food security in the lake Malawi-Shire river system (Invited) (1110936)
Declan Conway, London School of Economics, London, United Kingdom, Suraje Dessai, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, Andrew Dougill, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom, David Mkwambisi, Malawi University of Science and Technology, Limbe, Malawi and Ajay Gajanan Bhave, Newcastle University, School of Engineering, Tyne and Wear, United Kingdom
 
Aligning Energy Transition Goals: The Key to a Sustainable Energy Transition (Invited) (1126675)
Sally M Benson, Rachel Reolfi, Constantine Samaras and Tom Wilson, White House Office of Science and Technology Policy, Energy, Washington, United States
 
Interaction of Mitigation vs Adaptation Pathways with Environmental Boundaries, Natural Hazards, and Sustainability Objectives Across the Energy, Water and Land Sectors (Invited) (1155509)
Adriano Vinca1, Muhammad Awais1, Edward Byers1, Oliver Fricko1, Stefan Frank2, Volker Krey3 and Keywan Riahi1, (1)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria, (2)IIASA, Laxenburg, Austria, (3)IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Energy, Laxenburg, Austria
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