NH007
Compound, Consecutive, and Cascading Events: Challenges for Risk Assessment and Management of Multi-hazards
Session ID#: 160178
Session Description:
This session focuses on concurrent, compounding,consecutive and cascading events and their impacts. Such events – caused by the interaction of multiple hazard, vulnerability and exposure drivers in space or time – have a multiplier effect on risks to society, infrastructure, and the environment; however, they are still overlooked in disaster risk science, where a predominant focus still remains on single hazard-risks. Recently, the topic of multi-risk has gained attention in international policy and decision-making fora, such as the UNDRR’s Global Risk Assessment Framework, the World Bank GFDRR’s Understanding Risk community, and the World Climate Research Programme (WCRP) on Extremes. Therefore, this session aims to showcase current research and foster broader exchange of knowledge between scientists and practitioners across multiple hazard communities and disciplines. We encourage contributions related to all aspects of these events, especially those that: improve understanding of physical processes; showcase new transdisciplinary methodologies for multi-risk assessment, management, and impact characterization; evaluate systemic risks; illustrate how multi-risks are integrated into operational risk management; and explore challenges and best practices of multi-risk governance.
Co-Organized:
Co-Sponsor(s):
Index Terms:
4306 Multihazards [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4313 Extreme events [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4315 Monitoring, forecasting, prediction [NATURAL HAZARDS]
4333 Disaster risk analysis and assessment [NATURAL HAZARDS]
Primary Convener: Antonia Sebastian, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environment, Ecology and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
Conveners: Md Mamunur Rashid, The Nature Conservancy, Global Science, Arlington, United States, David F Muñoz, Virginia Tech, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Blacksburg, United States and Thomas Wahl, University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States
Student/Early Career Convener: Robert Sakic Trogrlic, IIASA International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis, Laxenburg, Austria
Multi-Risk Climate Scenarios in the Metropolitan City of Venice: Results of the BRIDGE Project (1048749)
Andrea Critto1,2, Beatrice Sambo1, Marta Bonato1, Anna Sperotto1, Silvia Torresan2, Elisa Furlan2, James H. Lambert3 and Igor Linkov4, (1)University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Venice, Italy, (2)Fondazione Centro Euro-Mediterraneo sui Cambiamenti Climatici (Fondazione CMCC), Lecce, Italy, (3)University of Virginia, Charlottesville, United States, (4)US Army Engineer Research and Development Center, Concord, MA, United States
What’s in a name? The need to acknowledge Black Elephant disaster risks (Invited) (1051644)
Yolanda Lin1, Gizem Mestav Sarica2, Terence Jie Chua3, Susanna Jenkins2, Asa B Stone4, Adam D Switzer5, Gordon Woo6 and David Lallemant7, (1)University of New Mexico Main Campus, Geography and Environmental Studies, Albuquerque, NM, United States, (2)Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (3)Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, (4)University of New Mexico Main Campus, Geography and Environmental Studies, Albuquerque, United States, (5)Earth Observatory of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore, (6)RMS, London, United Kingdom, (7)Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore
A Flood Damage Model Accounting for Time-Evolving Hazard, Exposure, and Vulnerability (1055471)
Tommaso Lazzarin1, Daniele P. Viero1, Daniela Molinari2, Francesco Ballio2 and Andrea Defina1, (1)University of Padova, Department of Civil, Environmental and Architectural Engineering, Padova, Italy, (2)Politecnico di Milano, Dept. Civil and Environmental Engineering, Milano, Italy
A Reduced-Physics Numerical Scheme for Compound Flood Hazard Assessments in Coastal Watersheds (Invited) (1071899)
Felix Luis Santiago-Collazo, University of Georgia, School of Environmental, Civil Agricultural, and Mechanical Engineering, Athens, GA, United States and Matthew V Bilskie, University of Georgia, College of Engineering, Athens, United States
Dynamic Analysis of Cascade Features over Compound Droughts under Different Climate Regimes (1075141)
Lu Tian, Technical University of Munich, Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, München, Germany, Ye Tuo, Technical University of Munich, Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, Munich, Germany and Markus Disse, Technical University of Munich, Chair of Hydrology and River Basin Management, School of Engineering and Design, Munich, Germany
Causes of increasing hot and dry compound extremes in India (1080276)
Iqura Malik, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Discipline of Civil Engineering, Ahmedabad, 382, India, Shanti Mahto, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Ahmedabad, 382, India and Vimal Mishra, Indian Institute of Technology Gandhinagar, Department of Civil Engineering, Ahmedabad, India
Risk assessment of arsenic contaminated groundwater in rural area of Gyeongnam, Korea (1085032)
Serim Oh, Kangwon National University, Chuncheon, Korea, Republic of (South) and Jin-Yong Lee, Kangwon National University, Department of Geology, Chuncheon, Korea, Republic of (South)
Investigation of Compound Flooding in the Amite-Comite River basin in Southern Louisiana (1092085)
Md Nazmul Azim Beg1, Ehab A Meselhe1, Laura Manuel2 and Maxwell E Agnew3, (1)Tulane University of Louisiana, River-Coastal Science and Engineering, New Orleans, LA, United States, (2)Tulane University of Louisiana, River Coastal Science and Engineering, New Orleans, United States, (3)USACE MVN, New Orleans, United States
Investigating the Influence of Monsoon Seasonality on Compound Flooding in Southeast Asia (1102682)
Jiamin Xu1, Michele Nguyen2, David Lallemant2, Ivan David Haigh3, Dongju Peng4, Constance Ting Chua5 and Adam D Switzer6, (1)Singapore, Singapore, SINGAPORE, (2)Earth Observatory of Singapore, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (3)University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom, (4)Asian School of Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Singapore, (5)Asian School of the Environment, Nanyang Technological University, Singapore, Others, Singapore, (6)Earth Observatory of Singapore, Singapore, Singapore
Learning from Spatially Compounding Drought Events to Multi-Hazard Risk Adaptation in Brazil (1109929)
Gabriela Chiquito Gesualdo, São Carlos School of Engineering, University of São Paulo, Department of Hydraulics and Sanitation, São Carlos, Brazil, Manuela Irene Brunner, WSL Swiss Federal Institute for Forest, Snow and Landscape Research, Mountain Hydrology and Mass Movements, Birmensdorf, Switzerland and Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, São Carlos School of Engineering, University of São Paulo, Department of Hydraulics and Sanitation/the WADI lab, Sao Carlos, Brazil
Dynamic Vulnerability: Reconstructing Historical Flood Footprints and Exposure in Eastern North Carolina (1111710)
Helena Garcia1, Antonia Sebastian2,3, Harrison B Zeff4,5, Hope Thomson4,5 and Gregory W Characklis4,5, (1)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environment, Ecology and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, United States, (2)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environment, Ecology and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, (3)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Earth, Marine and Environmental Sciences, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, (4)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Chapel Hill, United States, (5)Center on Financial Risk in Environmental Systems, Gillings School of Global Public Health and UNC Institute for the Environment, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, United States
Climate Change to Exacerbate the Compounding of Heat Stress and Flooding (1113467)
Dario Treppiedi1, Gabriele Villarini2 and Leonardo Valerio Noto1, (1)University of Palermo, Department of Engineering, Palermo, Italy, (2)University of Iowa, IIHR—Hydroscience & Engineering, Iowa City, IA, United States
Leveraging machine learning for predicting compound flooding potential from extreme surges and precipitation (1114428)
Md Mamunur Rashid1,2, Thomas Wahl3, Ahmed Nasr3, Paula Camus4 and Ivan David Haigh5, (1)The Nature Conservancy, Global Science, Arlington, United States, (2)University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States, (3)University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States, (4)Enviromental Hydraulics Institute of Cantabria, Enviromental Hydraulics Institute of Cantabria, Santander, Spain, (5)University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom
A novel statistical approach for tropical cyclone-driven compound flood forecasting (1121028)
Meraj Sohrabi1, Hamed Moftakhari2,3, David F Muñoz4 and Hamid Moradkhani2,5, (1)University of Alabama, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Tuscaloosa, United States, (2)The University of Alabama, Center for Complex Hydrosystems Research, Tuscaloosa, United States, (3)University of Alabama, Civil, Construction and Environmental Eng, Tuscaloosa, AL, United States, (4)Virginia Tech, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Blacksburg, United States, (5)The University of Alabama, Civil, Construction, and Environmental Engineering, Tuscaloosa, United States
EARTHQUAKE-INDUCED RIVER AVULSION AND FLOODING ALONG SURFACE RUPTURING FAULTS (1126287)
Erin McEwan1, Timothy A Stahl1, Andy Howell2, Robert M Langridge2 and Matthew Wilson3, (1)University of Canterbury, School of Earth and Environment, Christchurch, New Zealand, (2)GNS Science, Lower Hutt, New Zealand, (3)University of Canterbury, School of Earth and Environment - Geospatial Research Institute, Christchurch, New Zealand
Embedding Resilience in the Design and Operations of Lifeline Infrastructure Networks to Cascading Sector Failures and Extreme Events under a Changing Climate (1135671)
Jason P Giovannettone, Sisters of Mercy of the Americas, Climate and Sustainability, Silver Spring, United States, Auroop Ganguly, Northeastern University, Boston, MA, United States, Guirong Yan, Missouri University of Science and Technology, Department of Civil, Architectural and Environmental Engineering, Rolla, United States, Farshid Vahedifard, Mississippi State University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Mississippi State, MS, United States, Amir AghaKouchak, University of California, Irvine, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Irvine, CA, United States, Michele Barbato, University of California Davis, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Davis, CA, United States, William Joseph Capehart, South Dakota Sch Mines & Tech, Rapid City, SD, United States, Jennifer Helgeson, National Institute of Standards and Technology Gaithersburg, Engineering Lab, Gaithersburg, MD, United States, Teng Wu, University at Buffalo, Buffalo, United States, Sihan Li, RWDI, Guelph, ON, Canada and Mital Hall, EcoPreserve, Orlando, United States
Multi-hazard mapping of drought and forest fire using machine learning algorithms in Gangwon-do province, South Korea (1138527)
Yong Piao1, Dong Kun Lee2, Sangjin Park1, Ho Gul Kim3 and Yihua Jin4, (1)Seoul National Universiy, Interdisciplinary Program in Landscape Architecture & Integrated Major in Smart City Global Convergence, Seoul, South Korea, (2)Seoul National University, Department of Landscape Architecture and Rural System Engineering, Seoul, South Korea, (3)Cheongju University, Department of Human Environment Design, Cheongju, South Korea, (4)Yanbian University, Department of Landscape Architecture, Agricultural college, Yanji, China
Spatio-temporal Analysis for Identifying Triggering Physical Correlations Between Multi-hazards over Selected Pilgrimage Corridors of Uttarakhand, India (1140390)
Madhukar Dwivedi, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Roorkee, India, Kamal Jain, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Department of Civil Engineering, Roorkee, India and Srikrishnan Siva Subramanian, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, Centre of Excellence in Disaster Mitigation and Management, Roorkee, India
Partial Liquefaction Behavior of Cohesion-less Soils and Implications on Soil Structure Interaction of Pile Foundations (1140907)
Satish Kumar Adari, Research Scholar, Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur, Jodhpur, India and Pradeep KUMAR Dammala, Assistant Professor, Department of Civil and Infrastructure Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology Jodhpur, Jodhpur, India
Changing Risk of Compound Climate Extremes in the Contiguous United States (1148577)
Tayler Schillerberg1, Di Tian1 and Casey Zuzak2, (1)Auburn University, Auburn, AL, United States, (2)Federal Emergency Management Agency, Natural Hazards Risk Assessment Program, Washington, D.C., United States
Fire, Flooding, and Forestry in a Warmer Rocky Mountain Region: Impacts of Single and Compound Natural and Anthropogenic Land Disturbances on Watershed Sediment Production. (1151175)
Uldis Silins1, Chris HS Williams2, Sheena A Spencer2, Michael J Wagner3, Erin Cherlet4, Mike Stone5, Monica B Emelko6, Axel Anderson3, Adrian Collins7, Miles F Dyck1, Kirk Hawthorn3, Kalli Herlein8, Amanda Mary Martens9 and Sylvie Mercier Quideau1, (1)University of Alberta, Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB, Canada, (2)BC Ministry of Forests, Penticton, BC, Canada, (3)Alberta Ministry of Agriculture, Forestry and Rural Economic Development, Calgary, AB, Canada, (4)University of Alberta, Department of Renewable Resources, Edmonton, AB, Canada, (5)University of Waterloo, Geography and Environmental Management, Waterloo, ON, Canada, (6)University of Waterloo, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Waterloo, ON, Canada, (7)Rothamsted Research, Okehampton, United Kingdom, (8)Alberta Ministry of Environment and Parks, Edmonton, AB, Canada, (9)Canada Dept. of Fisheries and Oceans, Cultus Lake, BC, Canada
Hazard Mitigation & Government Response in The Bay Area: Assessing the Intersection and Causation of Wildfires, and Floods through the Application of Remote Sensing Technologies (1151797)
Farrah Harris, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United States, Howard A Zebker, Stanford Univ, Stanford, CA, United States and Jenny Suckale, Stanford University, Department of Geophysics, Stanford, CA, United States
Tropical Cyclone Induced Concurrent Wind and Rainfall Extremes over India (1156632)
Ravi Ranjan, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Mumbai, India, Vittal Hari, Environmental Science and Engineering, Indian Institute of Technology (ISM), Dhanbad, India, Subimal Ghosh, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Department of Civil Engineering, Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Mumbai, India and Subhankar Karmakar, Indian Institute of Technology Bombay, Environmental Science and Engineering Department, Interdisciplinary Program in Climate Studies, Centre for Urban Science and Engineering, Mumbai, India
Understanding Cascading Hazards in the Western Himalayas (1158657)
Harshith Clifford Prince, Indian Institute of Remote Sensing, Disaster Management Studies Department, Dehradun, India and Arijit Roy, Indian Institute of Remote Sensing (IIRS), ISRO, Disaster Management studies Department, Dehradun, India
Current and future inundation in Puʻuhonua O Hōnaunau National Historical Park due to the compounding effects of sea level, tide, and surface gravity waves (1164326)
Philip R Thompson1, Ashley Sanchez1, MaryAnne Maigret2 and Justin E Stopa3, (1)University of Hawaiʻi at Mānoa, Oceanography, Honolulu, United States, (2)Pu‘uhonua o Hōnaunau National Historical Park, Honaunau, United States, (3)University of Hawaii at Manoa, Ocean and Resources Engineering, Honolulu, HI, United States
Assessing Contributions of Hydrometeorological Drivers to Socioeconomic Impacts of Compound Extreme Events (1168235)
Javed Ali1, Thomas Wahl1, Alejandra R. Enriquez1,2, Md. Mamunur Rashid3,4 and Christopher T. Emrich5, (1)University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States, (2)Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Amsterdam, Netherlands, (3)University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States, (4)The Nature Conservancy, Global Science, Arlington, United States, (5)University of Central Florida, School of Public Administration & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, United States
Spatiotemporal Changes of Lagged Compound Hydrometeorological Droughts and Floods in Northwest North America Under Climate Change (1173750)
Reza Rezvani, University of Western Ontario, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada, Melika Rahimimovaghar, University of Western Ontario, London, ON, Canada, Wooyoung Na, University of Western Ontario, London, Canada and Mohammad Reza Najafi, Western University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada
Understanding the Drivers of Connected Extreme Precipitation Events (1175507)
James Done1, Ming Ge1, Erin Towler1, Danielle E Touma2,3, Daniel L Swain1,4, Jennie Bukowski5 and Manuela Irene Brunner6, (1)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (2)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States, (3)Colorado State University, Fort Collins, United States, (4)University of California Los Angeles, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, United States, (5)University of California Los Angeles, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, CA, United States, (6)University of Freiburg, Institute of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Freiberg, Germany
Cascading financial risks in the residential property market as a result of consecutive flood events (1176817)
Harrison Bray Zeff1, Antonia Sebastian2, Hope Thomson3, Rachel Kleiman1, Helena Garcia4 and Gregory W Characklis5, (1)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, (2)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environment, Ecology and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, NC, United States, (3)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Department of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Chapel Hill, United States, (4)University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environment, Ecology and Energy Program, Chapel Hill, United States, (5)Gillings School of Public Health, University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill, Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Chapel Hill, NC, United States
Characterizing Inland Compound Flooding Events over North America (1179002)
Mohammad Fereshtehpour, University of Western Ontario, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada, Mohammad Reza Najafi, Western University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada and Alex J. Cannon, Environment and Climate Change Canada, Climate Research Division, Victoria, BC, Canada
Influence of Storm Type and Track on Compound Coastal-Pluvial Flooding (1179328)
Ziyu Chen1, Philip M Orton1, Thomas Wahl2, Radley Horton3 and Art T Degaetano4, (1)Stevens Institute of Technology, Union City, NJ, United States, (2)University of Central Florida, Civil, Environmental, and Construction Engineering & National Center for Integrated Coastal Research, Orlando, FL, United States, (3)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, (4)Cornell University, Earth & Atmospheric Sciences, Ithaca, NY, United States
Projection of Compound Dry-Wet Spells in North America at Different Global Warming Levels (1179474)
Wooyoung Na, Western University, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada and Mohammad Reza Najafi, Western University, Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, ON, Canada
Who Matters and Why: Identifying Hotspots of Vulnerability and Resilience to Cascading and Consecutive Disasters in Portland, Oregon (1181151)
Idowu Ajibade1, Chris Lower2, Matthew Walter3, Paul C Loikith4, James Done5, Ming Ge6, Arun Pallathadka2, Jason R Sauer7, Emma Russell2 and Heejun Chang8, (1)Portland State University, Portland, OR, United States, (2)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, United States, (3)University of Delaware, Department of Geography and Spatial Sciences, Newark, United States, (4)Portland State University, Geography, Portland, OR, United States, (5)NCAR, Boulder, United States, (6)National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (7)Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ, United States, (8)Portland State University, Department of Geography, Portland, OR, United States
Standardized Framework using Bayesian Networks for Multi-Hazard Characterization and Probabilistic Assessment (1184445)
Constantinos Frantzis, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, MD, United States, Olivia Grace Patsy, University of Maryland College Park, College Park, United States and Michelle Bensi, University of Maryland College Park, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, College Park, United States
