SH053
Using Solar Cycle 25 As a Test of Solar Activity Predictions I eLightning

Wednesday, 16 December 2020: 10:00-11:00
Virtual
Primary Convener:  William Dean Pesnell, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Conveners:  Lisa Upton, Space Systems Research Corporation, Alexandria, VA, United States, K D Leka, NorthWest Research Associates, Boulder, CO, United States and R T James Mcateer, New Mexico State University, Astronomy, Las Cruces, NM, United States
Primary Liaison:  William Dean Pesnell, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States
Chairs:  William Dean Pesnell, NASA / GSFC, Greenbelt, MD, United States and Lisa Upton, Space Systems Research Corporation, Alexandria, VA, United States
OSPA Liaison:  R T James Mcateer, New Mexico State University, Astronomy, Las Cruces, NM, United States
10:00
SH053-01
Solar Wind Helium Abundance Heralds the Onset of Solar Cycle 25 (684049)
Benjamin L Alterman, Southwest Research Institute, San Antonio, TX, United States, Justin Christophe Kasper, University of Michigan, Climate and Space Sciences and Engineering, Ann Arbor, MI, United States, Robert James Leamon, NASA Headquarters, Washington, DC, United States and Scott William McIntosh, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States
10:03
SH053-02
The Hale Cycle Clock (694967)
Robert James Leamon, UMBC, Baltimore, MD, United States; NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Code 672, Greenbelt, MD, United States, Scott William McIntosh, High Altitude Observatory, Boulder, CO, United States, Sandra C Chapman, University of Warwick, Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, Department of Physics, Coventry, CV4, United Kingdom and Nicholas W Watkins, University of Warwick, Centre for Fusion, Space and Astrophysics, Department of Physics, Coventry, United Kingdom
10:06
SH053-03
The AFT Solar Cycle 25 Predictions: A Retrospective Comparison with the Observations (702195)
Lisa Upton, Space Systems Research Corporation, Alexandria, VA, United States and David H. Hathaway, Stanford University, Solar Observatoires Group, Stanford, CA, United States
10:09
SH053-04
Solar Flares Forecasting: the incidence of the waiting time definition in avalanche models (703773)
Laura F Morales, Instituto de Física del Plasma, Buenos Aires, Argentina and Matias Kychenthal, Universidad de Buenos Aires, Physics Department, Buenos Aires, Argentina
10:12
SH053-05
Using Sunspot Number as an Indicator of Frequency of Solar Activity (729832)
Zachary Donald Robinson, Fifth Gait Technologies, Inc., Huntsville, AL, United States and James H Adams Jr, Univ of Alabama Huntsville, Huntsville, AL, United States
10:15
SH053-06
A Physics-based Prediction of Solar Cycle 25 and Reconstruction of Century-Scale Solar Activity (731182)
Dibyendu Nandy, Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Kolkata, Department of Physical Sciences, Kolkata, India; Indian Institute of Science Education and Research Kolkata, Center of Excellence in Space Sciences India, Kolkata, India and Prantika Bhowmik, University of Durham, Durham, United Kingdom
10:18
SH053-07
Secular Solar Minimum Predicted by Galactic Cosmic Radiation Modulation (738306)
Fatemeh Rahmanifard1, Andrew Jordan1, Wouter Christiaan de Wet2, Jody Keith Wilson1, Nathan Schwadron2, Mathew James Owens3 and Harlan E. Spence2, (1)University of New Hampshire Main Campus, Space Science Center, Durham, NH, United States, (2)University of New Hampshire, Durham, NH, United States, (3)Uinversity of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
10:21
SH053-08
Predicting Solar Cycle 25 with an Ap/F10.7 Geomagnetic Precursor Pair (739222)
William Dean Pesnell, NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD, United States
10:24
SH053-09
Predicting the Next Solar Maximum using Trends in the Historical Sunspot Numbers (745941)
Jody Keith Wilson, Fatemeh Rahmanifard and Andrew Jordan, University of New Hampshire Main Campus, Space Science Center, Durham, NH, United States
10:27
Q&A Discussion
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