OC006
The Evolving Ocean Carbon Sink: Processes and Impacts

Session ID#: 85014

Session Description:
Cumulatively since preindustrial times, only the ocean has been a significant sink for anthropogenic carbon. The partitioning of carbon between the atmosphere and ocean will be a key determinant of future climate change. Thus, our community must develop the capacity to accurately diagnose the evolving ocean carbon budget and its variability using models, observations and theory. Both external forcing and internal physical and biogeochemical processing modify surface fluxes and the internal redistribution of carbon. Regional patterns of key biogeochemical stressors, most notably ocean acidification, will also be driven by the ocean’s carbon uptake. In this session, we welcome contributions that quantify the rates and processes of the ocean carbon uptake and storage, as well as its consequences for marine ecosystems. Variability and change across timescales from seasonal to millennial are of interest. We welcome studies that focus on open and coastal regions; on the surface or the interior; and that apply observations, models, and theory.
Index Terms:

1615 Biogeochemical cycles, processes, and modeling [GLOBAL CHANGE]
4215 Climate and interannual variability [OCEANOGRAPHY: GENERAL]
4805 Biogeochemical cycles, processes, and modeling [OCEANOGRAPHY: CHEMICAL]
4835 Marine inorganic chemistry [OCEANOGRAPHY: CHEMICAL]


Primary Chair:  Galen A McKinley, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
Co-Chair:  Nicole S Lovenduski, University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
Primary Liaison:  Galen A McKinley, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
 
Decoupling of projected oceanic uptake of carbon and heat in the 21stcentury in a high carbon emission pathway (644928)
Eric Mortenson, United States, Andrew Lenton, CSIRO Hobart, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Thomas W. Trull, Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organisation, Marine and Atmospheric Research, Antarctic Climate Ecosystems Cooperative Research Centre, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Xuebin Zhang, CSIRO, Oceans & Atmosphere, Centre for Southern Hemisphere Oceans Research (CSHOR), Hobart, TAS, Australia, Elizabeth Shadwick, CSIRO Marine and Atmospheric Research, TAS, Australia and Matthew Chamberlain, CSIRO Australian Resources Research Center, Hobart, WA, Australia
 
Mid- and High-Latitude Influences on Carbon Uptake and Ocean Acidification in GFDL CM4 and ESM4 (645767)
John P Krasting, NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, Maurizia De Palma, Princeton University, Princeton, NJ, United States and John P Dunne, NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, United States
 
Multi-decadal variability of anthropogenic and natural carbon in central Labrador Sea (645887)
Lorenza Raimondi1, Toste S Tanhua2, Kumiko Azetsu-Scott3, Igor Yashayaev4 and Douglas Wallace1, (1)Dalhousie University, Department of Oceanography, Halifax, NS, Canada, (2)Helmholtz Centre for Ocean Research Kiel, GEOMAR, Kiel, Germany, (3)Bedford Inst Oceanography, Dartmouth, NS, Canada, (4)Bedford Institute of Oceanography, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Dartmouth, NS, Canada
 
Dissolved Inorganic Carbon Dynamics of the Eastern Arabian Sea (649668)
Sangeeta Naik1, G.V.M. Gupta2, G D Rao1, V Ranga Rao1 and M.V. Ramana Murthy1, (1)Ministry of Earth Sciences, National Centre for Coastal Research, Chennai, India, (2)Ministry of Earth Sciences, Centre for Marine Living Resources and Ecology, Kochi, India
 
Seasonal variability and drivers of air-sea CO2 exchange in the Arabian Sea (649921)
Alain de Verneil, New York University in Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate modeling (CPCM), Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, Zouhair Lachkar, New York University in Abu Dhabi, Center for Prototype Climate Modeling (CPCM), Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, K. Shafer Smith, New York University, Courant Institute of Mathematical Sciences, New York, NY, United States and Marina Levy, LOCEAN-IPSL, Université Pierre et Marie Curie, Paris, France
 
Evaluation of air-sea CO2 fluxes in the ocean-ecosystem model FESOM-REcoM and in the Global Carbon Budget Models (649936)
Judith Hauck1, Vibe Schourup-Kristensen2, Özgür Gürses3, Hanna Ewen4 and Moritz Zeising4, (1)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Marine Biogeosciences, Bremerhaven, Germany, (2)Alfred-Wegener-Institute Helmholtz-Zentrum fur Polar- und Meeresforschung, Bremerhaven, Germany, (3)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany, (4)Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Germany
 
Emergent Multi-model Constraints Suggest Greater Arctic Ocean Anthropogenic Carbon Uptake and Coincident Acidification than Previously Projected (650134)
Jens Terhaar1,2, Lester Kwiatkowski2 and Laurent Bopp2, (1)University of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland, (2)Ecole Normale Supérieure Paris, Geosciences, Paris, France
 
On the Potential of the Southern Ocean Biological Pump to Maintain the Ocean Carbon Sink under Negative Emissions (650547)
Nadine Goris1, Jerry F Tjiputra1, Jörg Schwinger1 and Ingjald Pilskog2, (1)NORCE Climate, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, (2)Western Norway University of Applied Sciences, Bergen, Norway
 
Carbon Fluxes in the North Western European Shelf: Trends, Variability and Drivers (651202)
Yuri Artioli1, Jerry Blackford2, Momme Butenschon3, James Clark1, Giovanni Galli1, James Harle4, Jason T Holt5, Gennadi Lessin1, Sonja van Leeuwen6, Johan van der Molen6, Claudia Gabriela Mayorga Adame1,7, Tiago Silva8, Jonathan Tinker9, Sarah Wakelin5 and J Icarus Allen1, (1)Plymouth Marine Laboratory, Plymouth, United Kingdom, (2)Plymouth Marine Laboratory, MEMP, Plymouth, United Kingdom, (3)Euro-Mediterranean Centre on Climate Change Foundation, Bologna, Italy, (4)National Oceanography Centre, UK, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (5)National Oceanography Center, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (6)Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Den Burg, Netherlands, (7)National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (8)Center for Environment, Fisheries and Aquaculture Science, Lowestoft, United Kingdom, (9)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom
 
Coupling of Surface Ocean Heat and Carbon Perturbations Over the Subtropical Cells under 21stCentury Climate Change (651225)
Keith B Rodgers1, Masao Ishii2, Thomas L Froelicher3, Sarah Schlunegger4, Olivier Aumont5, Katsuya Toyama6 and Richard Slater4, (1)IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, (2)Meteorological Research Institute, Ibaraki, Japan, (3)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States, (4)Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (5)IPSL, Laboratoire d’Oceanographie et de Climatologie: Experimentation et Approches Numeriques, Paris, France, (6)Meteorological Research Institute, Japan Meteorological Agency, Tsukuba, Japan
 
A Seamless Ensemble-Based Analysis of Coastal to Open Ocean Sea Surface pCO2, Air-Sea CO2 Fluxes and Their Uncertainties from 1985 to Present (651252)
Thi-Tuyet Trang Chau, Marion Gehlen and Frédéric Chevallier, LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France
 
How is the Ocean Carbon Reservoir Filled? (651286)
Xabier Davila, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway; Geophysical Institute Bergen, Bergen, Norway; University of Bergen, Bergen, Norway, Geoffrey Gebbie, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute, Woods Hole, United States, Ailin Brakstad, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway, Siv Lauvset, Uni Research, Uni Climate, Bergen, Norway and Are Olsen, University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway
 
Ocean Carbon Uptake Under Agressive Emission Mitigation (651468)
Sean Ridge, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, New York, NY, United States and Galen A McKinley, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
 
The imprint of the Amazon River on the air-sea CO2 flux in the Tropical North Atlantic Ocean: key drivers and spatiotemporal variability (651676)
Domitille Louchard, ETH Zurich Swiss Federal Institute of Technology Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, Nicolas Gruber, ETH Zurich, Environmental Physics, Zurich, Switzerland and Matthias Munnich, ETH Zurich, Environmental Systems Science, Switzerland
 
Resolving for Mineralogy in the Marine CaCO3 Pump: The Contribution of Bony Fishes (651788)
Michael Salter, University of Exeter, United Kingdom and Christopher T Perry, University of Exeter, Geography, Exeter, United Kingdom
 
Dynamical control over the CCD and ACD and implications for climate predictions. (651961)
Nick Reynard, Imperial College London, Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, London, United Kingdom and Ali Mashayek, Imperial College London, London, SW7, United Kingdom
 
A revised Earth system model-based analysis of glacial-interglacial changes in ocean δ13C (652716)
Malin Ödalen, Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm, Sweden; Stockholm University, Department of Meteorology, Stockholm, Sweden, Carlye Peterson, University of California Riverside, Earth Sciences, Riverside, CA, United States, Andy Ridgwell, University of Bristol, School of Earth Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom; University of California, Riverside, Department of Earth Sciences, Riverside, CA, United States, Kevin I. C. Oliver, University of Southampton, Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom and Paul J Valdes, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
 
Projected change in the carbon budget of the Southern Ocean due to altered large-scale ocean circulation patterns in a warming climate. (652778)
Rebecca Lynn Beadling and Joellen L Russell, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States
 
Decadal variability of the ocean carbon sink (653122)
Timothy DeVries, University of California Santa Barbara, Santa Barbara, CA, United States, Corinne Le Quere, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4, United Kingdom, Oliver Andrews, University of Bristol, School of Geographical Sciences, Bristol, United Kingdom, Judith Hauck, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Marine Biogeoscoences, Bremerhaven, Germany, Tatiana Ilyina, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, Peter Landschutzer, ETH Zurich, Zurich, Switzerland, Andrew Lenton, CSIRO Hobart, Hobart, TAS, Australia, Ivan D Lima, Woods Hole Oceanographic Inst, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Michael Nowicki, University of California, Santa Barbara, Geography, United States, Jorg Schwinger, NORCE Climate, Bergen, Norway and Roland Séférian, Meteo-France - CNRS, CNRM, CEN, Toulouse, France
 
Forced mechanisms of decadal variability in the ocean carbon sink (654424)
Galen A McKinley1, Amanda R Fay2, Yassir Eddebbar3, Lucas Gloege2 and Nicole S Lovenduski4, (1)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, San Diego, CA, United States, (4)University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Decadal variability in the Southern Ocean carbon sink: Reconciling the mismatch between hindcast models and observationally-based products (655054)
Lucas Gloege1, Galen A McKinley2, Peter Landschutzer3, Nicole S Lovenduski4, Keith B Rodgers5, Amanda R Fay1, Thomas L Froelicher6, John C Fyfe7, Tatiana Ilyina3, Steve Jones8, Christian Rödenbeck9, Sarah Schlunegger10 and Yohei Takano3, (1)Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (2)Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States, (3)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (4)University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, (5)IBS Center for Climate Physics, Pusan National University, Busan, South Korea, (6)Princeton Univ, Princeton, NJ, United States, (7)Environment Canada, Canadian Centre for Climate Modeling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada, (8)University of Bergen, Geophysical Institute, Bergen, Norway, (9)Max Planck Institute for Biogeochemistry, Jena, Germany, (10)Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Observing recent trends in the carbon cycle of the Northeast Pacific (656234)
Ana C Franco, Universtiy of British Columbia, Earth, Oceans and Atmospheric Science, Vancouver, BC, Canada, Debby Ianson, Institute of Ocean Sciences, Fisheries and Oceans Canada,, Sidney, BC, Canada and Tetjana Ross, Institute of Ocean Sciences, Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Sidney, BC, Canada
 
Considering the Influence of Clouds on Preindustrial Southern-Ocean Carbon Uptake (656348)
Matthew Ryan Gentry, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Jennifer E Kay, Univeristy of Colorado at Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Nicole S Lovenduski, University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Precious Precious Mongwe, Council for Scientific and Industrial Research, Oceanography, Cape Town, South Africa and David P Schneider, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, CO, United States
 
Understanding the Last Millennium Ocean Carbon Cycle with a GFDL Earth System Model (656886)
Lori Thompson Sentman, NOAA / Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, Princeton, NJ, United States, Randye Rutberg, Princeton University’s Cooperative Institute for Modeling the Earth System (CIMES), Princeton, NJ, United States and John P Dunne, NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, United States
 
Natural modulations of the ocean carbon sink (657267)
Enhui Liao1, Laure Resplandy1, Junjie Liu2 and Kevin W Bowman3, (1)Princeton University, Department of Geosciences, Princeton, NJ, United States, (2)Jet Propulsion Laboratory, Pasadena, CA, United States, (3)NASA Jet Propulsion Laboratory, California Institute of Technology, Pasadena, CA, United States
 
Evaluating the biological carbon pump in a water mass transformation framework (657343)
Graeme Alastair MacGilchrist, Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Princeton, NJ, United States, Stephen Griffies, Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory, United States, John P Dunne, NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, United States and Jorge L Sarmiento, Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
Mechanisms modulating ocean carbon uptake beyond 2100 (657418)
Megumi O. Chikamoto and Pedro N DiNezio, University of Texas at Austin, Institute for Geophysics, Austin, TX, United States
 
Observation-based Evaluation of Results from the Southern Ocean Model Intercomparison Project (657764)
Joellen L Russell, University of Arizona, Tucson, AZ, United States, Benjamin Bronselaer, University of Arizona, United States, Michael Winton, NOAA Geophys Fluid Dynamic, Princeton, NJ, United States and Jorge L Sarmiento, Princeton University, Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences Program, Princeton, NJ, United States
 
A neural network-based monthly climatology of oceanic dissolved inorganic carbon in the upper 2000 m (642972)
Lydia Keppler1, Peter Landschuetzer2, Siv Lauvset3, Nicolas Gruber4 and Irene Stemmler2, (1)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, The Ocean in the Earth System, Hamburg, Germany, (2)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (3)Uni Research, Uni Climate, Bergen, Norway, (4)ETH Zurich, Environmental Physics, Zurich, Switzerland
 
A Synthetic Ensemble for Air-Sea CO2 Flux Observations (553779)
Holly Olivarez, University of Colorado Boulder, Boulder, CO, United States, Nicole S Lovenduski, University of Colorado, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Riley Xavier Brady, University of Colorado at Boulder, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Sciences, Boulder, CO, United States, Karen A McKinnon, University of California Los Angeles, Departments of Statistics, Institute of the Environment and Sustainability, Los Angeles, CA, United States, Peter Landschuetzer, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany and Galen A McKinley, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory of Columbia University, Palisades, NY, United States
 
Seasonal Marine Carbon System Processes in an Arctic Coastal Landfast Sea Ice Environment Using an Innovative Underwater Sensor Platform (640053)
Patrick Duke1, Brent Else2, Lisa Ann Miller3, Akash R Sastri4, Stephen Gonski5, Samantha Jones2, Shawn Marriott6, Richard K Dewey7 and Helmuth Thomas8, (1)University of Victoria, School of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Victoria, BC, Canada, (2)University of Calgary, Department of Geography, Calgary, AB, Canada, (3)Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney, BC, Canada, (4)Fisheries and Oceans Canada, Institute of Ocean Sciences, Sidney, BC, Canada, (5)University of Alaska Fairbanks, School of Fisheries & Ocean Sciences, Selbyville, DE, United States, (6)University of Calgary, Cambridge Bay, NU, Canada, (7)Univ. of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada, (8)Dalhousie University, Halifax, NS, Canada
 
Drivers of Observed Excess Alkalinity in the Upper Water Column (640360)
Aimee Coggins1, Paul Richard Halloran2, Andrew J. Watson1, Michael Salter3 and Samar Khatiwala4, (1)University of Exeter, Exeter, United Kingdom, (2)Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, United Kingdom, (3)University of Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)University of Oxford, Oxford, United Kingdom
 
Physical and Biological Controls of the Drake Passage pCO2 Variability (642354)
Annika Jersild, Georgia Institute of Technology, Earth and Atmospheric Sciences, Atlanta, GA, United States and Takamitsu Ito, Georgia Institute of Technology, Atlanta, GA, United States