CC001
Abrupt changes in the North Atlantic ocean circulation: past, present and future

Session ID#: 259699

Session Description:
In the present-day climate, the subpolar North Atlantic is a crucial region for deep-water formation, sustaining the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC). In the future, profound changes are projected in this region due to global warming. Notably, the AMOC and the subpolar gyre circulation are expected to change due to shifts in heat and freshwater fluxes, stratification, and deep convection, with a potential to undergo an abrupt transition or tipping to a different regime.

This session centres on characterising the dynamics of North Atlantic ocean and climate change, from deep circulation to surface systems, across timescales. We invite contributions in contemporary and palaeo oceanography that investigate past, present and/or future ocean circulation change, with a particular focus on subpolar gyre and AMOC tipping, abrupt transitions in deep convection, and threshold behaviours in physical water mass characteristics. In this context, interactions between the North Atlantic and other earth system components, such as ice sheets and the atmosphere, are also of interest. Studies can be based on modelling, observations (direct and indirect), or both, and where/when appropriate, we are keen to see exploration of a robust link between observations/modelled processes and North Atlantic change (e.g., designing early warning systems of abrupt transitions).

Co-Sponsor(s):
  • Physical Oceanography: Mesoscale and Larger -
Index Terms:

4515 Deep recirculations [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
4532 General circulation [OCEANOGRAPHY: PHYSICAL]
9325 Atlantic Ocean [GEOGRAPHIC LOCATION]
Student/Early Career Chair:  Ilana Schiller-Weiss, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Primary Chair:  Ruza F Ivanovic, University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom
Co-chairs:  Andrea Burke, University of St Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, United Kingdom, Alejandra Sanchez-Franks, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom and Oliver Mehling, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
A new deep learning (DL) classifier to identify tipping points in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (AMOC) (1863655)
Madleen Grohganz1, Thomas M Bury2, Bregje van der Bolt3, Gert-Jan Reichart4 and Rick Hennekam1, (1)Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Ocean Systems, Den Burg, Netherlands, (2)McGill University, Department of Physiology, Montreal, QC, Canada, (3)Wageningen University and Research Center, Earth Systems and Global Change Group, Wageningen, Netherlands, (4)NIOZ, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Department of Ocean Systems, and Utrecht University, Fac Geosci, Dept Earth Sci, Texel, Netherlands
 
Freshening in the Subpolar Gyre: Salinity-Driven Changes in North Atlantic Climate Dynamics (1864006)
Holly Ayres, National Oceanography Centre, MPOC, Southampton, United Kingdom and Marilena Oltmanns, National Oceanography Centre, Marine Physics and Ocean Climate, Southampton, United Kingdom; University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
 
Enhanced Decadal Variance in Nordic Seas with AMOC weakening in CESM (1909181)
Casey Patrizio, Henk Dijkstra, Anna S von der Heydt and Robbin Bastiaansen, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
Abrupt Shifts in Subpolar Gyre Deep Convection under Stable Climate Conditions (1914487)
Marco Buccellato, University of Bologna, Bologna, Italy; CNR Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy, Alessio Bellucci, CNR-Italy, Bologna, Italy, Susanna Corti, CNR, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy, Giuseppe Zappa, National Research Council of Italy, Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy and Paolo Ruggieri, University of Bologna, Department of Physics and Astronomy, Bologna, Italy
 
Assessing climate change vulnerability on endemic species in central Morocco: a case study of Argania spinosa (1947765)
Soukaina Tadoumant1, Asmae Baqloul2, Mohammed Hssaisoune3 and Lhoussaine Bouchaou1, (1)Laboratory of Applied Geology and Geo-Environment, Ibn Zohr University, Agadir 80035, Morocco, Agadir, Morocco, (2)International Water Research Institute (IWRI), Mohammed VI Polytechnic University (UM6P), Ben Guerir 43150, Morocco, Ben Guerir, Morocco, (3)Faculty of Applied Sciences, Ibn Zohr University, Ait Melloul 86153, Morocco, Ait Melloul, Morocco
 
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Ruza F Ivanovic1, David J Thornalley2, Lauren J Gregoire1, Ryan Patmore3, Brooke Snoll1, Jack Wharton2, Christopher M Brierley4, Erica Thompson5, Paola Moffa-Sanchez6, Graeme MacGilchrist7, Serge Guillas8, James William Buchanan Rae9, Andrea Burke9, Elizabeth Ruth Thomas10 and Richard Chandler8, (1)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, (2)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (3)National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (4)University College London, London, United Kingdom, (5)University College London, Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, London, United Kingdom, (6)Durham University, Department of Geography, Durham, United Kingdom, (7)University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom, (8)University College London, Department of Statistical Science, London, United Kingdom, (9)University of St Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, United Kingdom, (10)NERC British Antarctic Survey, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
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Laura C Jackson, Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, Eduardo Alastrué de Asenjo, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, Katinka Bellomo, Università di Padova, Padova, Italy, Gokhan Danabasoglu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics, Boulder, United States, Aixue Hu, NCAR, Boulder, United States, Johann Jungclaus, Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, Virna Loana Meccia, CNR Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy, Oleg Saenko, Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis, Victoria, BC, Canada, Andrew Shao, University of Victoria, Victoria, BC, Canada and Didier Swingedouw, University Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805, Pessac, France
 
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David J Thornalley1, Stephen Barker2, Ian R Hall3 and Jack Wharton1, (1)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)Cardiff University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff, United Kingdom, (3)Cardiff University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff, CF24, United Kingdom
 
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Oliver Mehling and Henk Dijkstra, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
The Convection-Advection Oscillator: Explaining self-sustaining AMOC oscillations simulated under glacial climate conditions (2011056)
Brooke Snoll1, Yvan Romé1, Ruza F Ivanovic1, Lauren J Gregoire1 and Sam Sherriff-Tadano2, (1)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, (2)University of the Ryukyus, Department of Physics and Earth Sciences, Okinawa, Japan
 
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Swinda Falkena and Anna S von der Heydt, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
An Abrupt Northward Shift of the Gulf Stream as a Precursor to AMOC Collapse (2012629)
René M. van Westen, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands and Henk Dijkstra, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
Response of Neodymium Isotopes to Abrupt Changes in the AMOC (2012851)
Mia El-Khazen1, Andreas Schmittner2 and Brian A Haley2, (1)Oregon State University, College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Corvallis, OR, United States, (2)Oregon State University, College of Earth, Ocean, and Atmospheric Sciences, Corvallis, United States
 
Risk of Major Future AMOC Changes (2013937)
Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
 
Data-Driven Dynamics of Subpolar Gyre Tipping and Its Physical Implications (2014693)
Huan Zhang, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Paris and Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique, Paris, France, Michael Ghil, École Normale Supérieure and PSL University, Geosciences Dept. and Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique (CNRS and IPSL), Paris, France and Freddy Bouchet, Ecole Normale Supérieure de Lyon and CNRS, Lyon, France
 
Questioning North Atlantic freshening as a driver of rapid climate change (2017069)
Marilena Oltmanns1, N. Penny Holliday2, Ben I Moat2 and Sheldon Bacon3, (1)Alfred Wegener Institute - Helmholtz Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany, (2)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (3)National Oceanography Ctr, Southampton, United Kingdom
 
Future subpolar gyre tipping point? Deep convection shutdown in a high-resolution ocean-ice-biogeochemistry simulation (2018873)
Alice Marzocchi1, Tillys Petit1, Marilena Oltmanns2,3, Thomas Prime4 and Bieito Fernandez Castro5, (1)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (2)University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany, (3)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (4)National Oceanography Center, Soton, Southampton, United Kingdom, (5)University of Southampton, School of Ocean and Earth Science, Southampton, United Kingdom
 
How close is the Labrador Sea to a convective shutdown? (2018961)
Scott Lewin, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom, Marilena Oltmanns, WHOI, Woods Hole, MA, United States, Chris Wilson, National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom, Pavel Berloff, Imperial College London, Department of Mathematics, London, United Kingdom and Theodore G Shepherd, University of Reading, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Testing threshold scenarios with Earth-System Models: simulation of the impact of an accelerated ice sheet melting associated with global mean sea level rise on ocean and atmosphere circulation (2019985)
Gilles Ramstein1, Zhongshi Zhang2, Manua Ewart3, Sébastien Nguyen1, Pauline Guyonvarh1 and Dimitri Defrance4, (1)LSCE Laboratoire des Sciences du Climat et de l'Environnement, Gif-Sur-Yvette Cedex, France, (2)China University of Geosciences Wuhan, Wuhan, China, (3)Météo-France Toulouse, Toulouse Cedex 01, France, (4)INRA Institut National de la Recherche Agronomique, Paris Cedex 07, France
 
A More Resilient AMOC with the High-Resolution Configuration of the Community Earth System Model (CESM) (2020648)
Frederic S Castruccio, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, Gokhan Danabasoglu, National Center for Atmospheric Research, Climate and Global Dynamics, Boulder, United States, Ping Chang, Texas A&M University, Department of Oceanography, College Station, United States and Dan Fu, Texas A&M University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, College Station, United States
 
Diagnosing AMOC Variability under Climate Change with the Water Mass Transformation Framework (2022722)
Yujin Kim and Hajoon Song, Yonsei University, Department of Atmospheric Sciences, Seoul, South Korea
 
Actionable Early Warning Systems for North Atlantic Tipping Points: What Do Decisionmakers Need And Can Science Provide It? (2023810)
Anna Hardisty, University College London, London, United Kingdom and Erica Thompson, University College London, Department of Science, Technology, Engineering and Public Policy, London, United Kingdom
 
Reconstructing Nordic Seas Overflow During the Last Interglacial: Insights from the Iceland Basin (2024033)
Eirini Papachristopoulou1, Delia Oppo2, Zakaria Hussain3, Stephen Barker4, David Fairman1, Polychronis C Tzedakis5 and David J Thornalley1, (1)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)WHOI, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, (3)University College London, Geography, London, United Kingdom, (4)Cardiff University, Cardiff, United Kingdom, (5)University College London, Environmental Change Research Centre, Department of Geography, London, United Kingdom
 
New evidence for slowdowns of the Atlantic overturning circulation in response to iceberg discharges (2024161)
Waelbroeck Claire1, Uwe Mikolajewicz2, Joel Pedro3, Marie-Luise Kapsch2, Frédérique Eynaud4 and Clemens Schannwell2, (1)LOCEAN/IPSL, Sorbonne Université-CNRS-IRD-MNHN, UMR7159, 75005 Paris, France., Paris, France, (2)Max Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany, (3)Australian Antarctic Division, Kingston, Australia, (4)EPOC Environnements et Paléoenvironnements Océaniques et Continentaux, Talence Cedex, France
 
Investigating Surface Ocean Changes in the Northwest Atlantic During Heinrich Stadial 1 (2024265)
Philippa Goh1, Jack Wharton2, David J Thornalley2, David Fairman2, Eirini Papachristopoulou2 and Lloyd D Keigwin3, (1)University College London, Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (3)WHOI, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States
 
Using North Atlantic Deep Ocean Archives to Determine the Magnitude of AMOC Weakening During the 8.2 ka BP Climate Event (2024346)
Zarina Hewett1, David J Thornalley1, Eirini Papachristopoulou1, David James Wilson2 and David Fairman1, (1)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)Department of Earth Sciences, Cambridge, United Kingdom
 
Sediment grain size reconstructions of flow speed variability in AMOC's lower limb over the past 2,000 years (2025773)
Jack Wharton1, Joel Bracamontes Ramírez2, Alice Carter-Champion1, David Fairman1, Philippa Goh3, Ian R Hall4, Elisha Hayward5, Zarina Hewett1, Lloyd D Keigwin6, Delia Oppo6, Eirini Papachristopoulou1, Irene Pérez Rodríguez7, Handong Yang8, Juliette Shorey3, Anouk Yim3, Yiming Zhang3, Barney Mullan3 and David J Thornalley1, (1)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)Institute of Oceanography, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (3)University College London, Geography, London, United Kingdom, (4)Cardiff University, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Cardiff, CF24, United Kingdom, (5)University College London, London, United Kingdom, (6)WHOI, Geology and Geophysics, Woods Hole, United States, (7)Spanish Institute of Oceanography, Santa Cruz de Tenerife, Spain, (8)University College London, Environmental Change Research Centre, Department of Geography, London, United Kingdom
 
Variable sensitivity of North Atlantic circulation and ice sheets during abrupt deglacial climate events (2026134)
James William Buchanan Rae, University of St Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, KY16, United Kingdom, Andrea Burke, University of St Andrews, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, St Andrews, United Kingdom, Rosanna Greenop, University of St Andrews, St Andrews, United Kingdom, Rhian Rees-Owen, UK Department for Energy Security and Net Zero, Manchester, United Kingdom, Paula Reimer, Queens University Belfast, Belfast, United Kingdom and Tim Heaton, University of Leeds, Leeds, United Kingdom
 
Vegetation parameters control AMOC interstadials in Penultimate Deglaciation perturbed parameter ensemble simulations (2027062)
Tim D Cutler1, Philip Holden1, Neil R Edwards1 and Pallavi Anand2, (1)The Open University, School of Environment Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom, (2)The Open University, School of Environment, Earth and Ecosystem Sciences, Milton Keynes, United Kingdom
 
Weakening of AMOC linked to past Greenland Ice Sheet retreat (2027452)
Daniel Parkes1, David J Thornalley2, Erin McClymont3, Sophie Nuber4, David Fairman2, Mia Cousins5, Adrian Palmer6, Ian Matthews7, Jack Wharton2 and Ian Candy8, (1)University College London, Geography, London, United Kingdom, (2)University College London, Dept. of Geography, London, United Kingdom, (3)Durham University, Durham, United Kingdom, (4)University of Washington Seattle Campus, Seattle, United States, (5)University College London, London, United Kingdom, (6)Royal Holloway University of London, Geography, Egham, United Kingdom, (7)Royal Holloway, University of London, Geography, London, United Kingdom, (8)Royal Holloway,, Egham, United Kingdom
 
AMOC restored by Eurasian ice sheet growth preceding the LGM (2027604)
Lu Niu, Gregor Knorr, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Lars Ackermann and Gerrit Lohmann, Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
 
Mechanisms of AMOC collapse and spontaneous recovery in a comprehensive climate model warming simulation (2027637)
Samuel Schulz1, Rory Basinski-Ferris1, Ian Eisenman1 and Kyle Armour2, (1)Scripps Institution of Oceanography, La Jolla, United States, (2)University of Washington, Dept. Atmospheric and Climate Sciences & School of Oceanography, Seattle, United States
 
Simulation of a Meltwater Plume in the North Atlantic during the Last Deglaciation (2028041)
Olivier Marchal, Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Woods Hole, United States
 
SORTED: Subpolar Gyre Observations, models and AI to Resolve Tipping points and provide Early warning Detection (2029450)
Alejandra Sanchez-Franks1, Ben I Moat1, Tiago Segabinazzi Dotto2, Tillys Petit1, Jennifer Mecking1, Jonathan Coney3, Amber Walsh1, Didier Swingedouw4, Sybren Sjoerd Drijfhout5 and Alberto Arribas1, (1)National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, (2)Universidade Federal do Rio Grande, Rio Grande, Brazil, (3)National Oceanography Centre, Liverpool, United Kingdom, (4)University Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805, Pessac, France, (5)University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom
 
Impact of the Amplifying Water Cycle on the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation: Insights from Idealised Turbulence-Resolving Simulations (2031817)
Catherine Ann Vreugdenhil, The University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia, Bahman Ghasemi, University of Melbourne, Parkville, VIC, Australia, Bishakhdatta Gayen, University of Melbourne, Melbourne, VIC, Australia and Taimoor Sohail, University of Melbourne, School of Geography, Earth and Atmospheric Science, Parkville, VIC, Australia
 
Simulating Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) Events Under Global Cooling Without Glacial Boundary Conditions in Global Climate Model Experiments (2032204)
Paul Curtis, Organization Not Listed, Washington, DC, United States; Yale University, New Haven, United States and Alexey V Fedorov, Yale University, Earth and Planetary Sciences, New Haven, United States
 
Impact of surface boundary conditions on the stability diagram of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation under the glacial climate (2032410)
Akira Oka and Taigo Ando, University of Tokyo, Atmosphere and Ocean Research Institute, Kashiwa, Japan
 
The role of AMOC in zero emissions commitment (2032516)
Anastasia Romanou1, Hannah Liddy2, Paul Lerner1, Andrew Hugh MacDougall3 and Jörg Schwinger4, (1)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (2)Columbia University of New York, New York, United States, (3)St. Francis Xavier University, Climate and Environment, Antigonish, NS, Canada, (4)NORCE Climate and Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway
 
North Atlantic changes in temperature and salinity over the past 65 years are driven by external forcing and are underestimated by Earth system models (2033110)
Sergey Molodtsov1, Irina Marinov2, Wilbert Weijer1, Derek DeSantis3, Alexandra K Jonko1, Milena Veneziani1 and Jian Lu4, (1)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (2)University of Pennsylvania, Department of Earth and Environmental Science, Philadelphia, United States, (3)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, United States, (4)Pacific Northwest National Laboratory, Richland, WA, United States
 
Assessing the AMOC: A Joint Climate and Oceans Initiative (2033308)
Gerard D McCarthy1, Hans Otto Pörtner2, Lena Jakob2, Kirsty J Morris3, Jaee Sanjay Nikam4, Catherine O'Beirne5 and Elvira Poloczanska2, (1)Irish Climate Analysis and Research Units (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Ireland, Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Ireland, County Kildare, Ireland, (2)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Bremerhaven, Germany, (3)National University of Ireland Maynooth, Kildare, Ireland, (4)MEOPAR (Marine Environmental Observation, Prediction and Response), Halifax, Canada, (5)Irish Climate Analysis and Research UnitS (ICARUS), Department of Geography, Maynooth University, Maynooth, Ireland, Kildare, Ireland
 
AMOC sensitivity to North Atlantic salt transport convergence depends nonlinearly on the forcing rate (2033341)
Aleksi Nummelin, Finnish Meteorological Institute, Helsinki, Finland and Ada Gjermundsen, University of Oslo, Department of Geosciences, Oslo, Norway
 
Shutdown of northern Atlantic overturning after 2100 following deep mixing collapse in CMIP6 projections (2033794)
Sybren Sjoerd Drijfhout, University of Southampton, Southampton, United Kingdom, Joran Angevaare, Royal Netherlands Meteorological Institute, De Bilt, Netherlands, Jennifer Mecking, National Oceanography Centre, Southampton, United Kingdom, René M. van Westen, Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht, Netherlands and Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
 
Salinity Control on Abrupt Cooling in the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre (2034134)
Lucas Almeida, EPOC, CNRS, Bordeaux University, Pessac, France and Didier Swingedouw, University Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805, Pessac, France
 
An observation-based reconstruction of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (2034538)
Alexander Sen Gupta, Australian Research Council (ARC) Centre of Excellence for Climate Extremes and UNSW Climate Change Research Centre, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Dr. Zhi Li, PhD, ARC Australian Centre for Excellence in Antarctic Science, University of New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Matthew H England, Univ New South Wales, Sydney, NSW, Australia, Mr. Sjoerd Groeskamp, PhD, Royal Netherlands Institute for Sea Research, Ocean Systems (OCS), Texel, Netherlands, Stefan Rahmstorf, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany and Ariaan Purich, Monash University, School of Earth, Atmosphere and Environment, Melbourne, VIC, Australia
 
Tipping Points in the Ocean Domain: the Tipping Point Model Intercomparison Project (TIPMIP) (2036088)
Nicole Laureanti1, Didier Swingedouw2, Laura C Jackson3, Aixue Hu4, Anastasia Romanou5, Wilbert Weijer6, Bette L Otto-Bliesner7, Sina Loriani8 and Ricarda Winkelmann8,9, (1)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (2)University Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805, Pessac, France, (3)UK Met Office, Exeter, United Kingdom, (4)NCAR, Boulder, United States, (5)NASA Goddard Institute for Space Studies, New York, NY, United States, (6)Los Alamos National Laboratory, Los Alamos, NM, United States, (7)NSF National Center for Atmospheric Research, Boulder, United States, (8)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Earth Resilience Science Unit, Potsdam, Germany, (9)Max Planck Institute of Geoanthropology, Integrative Earth System Science, Jena, Germany
 
Investigating Stability of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation using CLIMBER-X (2036161)
Anna Höse1, Matteo Willeit2, Georg Feulner2 and Alexander Robinson1, (1)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Potsdam, Potsdam, Germany, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany
 
Meltwater from West Antarctic Ice Sheet Tipping Affects AMOC Resilience (2036166)
Sacha Sinet1, Anna S von der Heydt2 and Henk Dijkstra2, (1)Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research Utrecht, Utrecht University, Utrecht, NETHERLANDS, (2)Utrecht University, Institute for Marine and Atmospheric research, Utrecht, Netherlands
 
Tracking the Gulf Stream: A Gradient-Based Axis Detection Approach Using Observations and Model Simulations (2036199)
Jiamin Pan1,2, Evan Hambly1 and Claire Bulgin1,2, (1)University of Reading, Department of Meteorology, Reading, United Kingdom, (2)National Centre for Earth Observation, Reading, United Kingdom
 
Climate and Carbon Cycle Responses to a 21st century AMOC Collapse under a 2 °C Stabilization Pathway (2037098)
Thomas L. Frolicher1, Friedrich Burger2, Patrick Maier3, Yona Silvy3 and Didier Swingedouw4, (1)University of Bern, Oeschger Center for Climate Change Research, Bern, Switzerland, (2)University of Bern, Climate and Environmental Physics, Bern, Switzerland, (3)Climate and Environmental Physics, University of Bern, Bern, Switzerland, (4)University Bordeaux, CNRS, Bordeaux INP, EPOC, UMR 5805, Pessac, France
 
Stadial to Interstadial Transitions: Findings from the ABRUPT Arctic Climate Change Project (2038137)
Bjørg Risebrobakken1, Wanyee Wong1, Malin Ödalen2, Dag-Inge Blindheim3, Malin Ödalen1,2, Kirsten Fahl4, Chuncheng Guo5, Eystein Jansen6, Marlene Klockmann7, Ruediger Stein8, Amandine Tisserand9 and Guido Vettoretti10, (1)NORCE Norwegian Research Centre, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, (2)Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany, (3)NORCE, Norwegian Reserach Centre, Bergen, Norway, (4)Alfred Wegener Institute Helmholtz-Center for Polar and Marine Research Bremerhaven, Marine Geology, Bremerhaven, Germany, (5)Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark, (6)Department of Earth Science, University of Bergen and the Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, Bergen, Norway, (7)Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany, (8)Faculty of Geosciences, University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany, (9)NORCE Norwegian Research Institute, Bjerknes Centre for Climate Research, Bergen, Norway, (10)University of Copenhagen, København K, Denmark
 
A process-based diagnostic of deep water formation and AMOC variability in selected CMIP6 models (2039942)
Pasha Karami1, René Navarro-Labastida1, Torben Koenigk1 and Leon Chafik2, (1)Swedish Meteorological and Hydrological Institute, Rossby Centre, Norrköping, Sweden, (2)Stockholm University, Department of Meteorology, and Bolin Centre for Climate Research, Stockholm, Sweden
 
The subpolar gyre dominates the heat and salt transport into the Nordic Seas during abrupt glacial AMOC transitions (2040133)
Malin Ödalen, Potsdam Institute for Climate Impact Research, Potsdam, Germany; NORCE, Bergen, Norway and Marlene Klockmann, Institute of Oceanography, Center for Earth System Research and Sustainability (CEN), University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
 
Dye Tracers Tracing Nice, Last Deglaciation's Melting Ice (2041087)
Laura Endres1,2, Ruza F Ivanovic1, Yvan Romé1, Julia Tindall1 and Heather M Stoll2, (1)University of Leeds, School of Earth and Environment, Leeds, United Kingdom, (2)ETH Zurich, Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences, Zurich, Switzerland
 
A Depth Transect of North Atlantic Deep-Water Masses at the Iberian Margin in the Late Pleistocene (2041292)
Celeste Pallone, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Department Earth, Atmospheric and Planetary Sciences, Cambridge, MA, United States, Jerry F McManus, Columbia U. / LDEO, Palisades, United States, Apollonia Arellano, Lamont -Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Macy Matthews, Lamont-Doherty Earth Observatory, Palisades, United States, Montserrat Alonso-Garcia, University of Salamanca, Geology, Salamanca, Spain and Elizabeth Roxana Lasluisa Molina Molina, University of Salamanca, Salamanca, Spain
 
Applying an Analog Data Assimilation–based weighting method to CMIP6 models projections of the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation (2043866)
Marion Devilliers, Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark, Pierre Tandeo, IMT Atlantique, Brest, France and Maxime Beauchamp, Danish Meteorological Institute, NCKF, København Ø, Denmark
 
Millennial-scale Surface Water Mass Changes in the North Atlantic Subpolar Gyre since the Past Glacial-Interglacial Cycle (2047407)
Harunur Rashid, Shanghai Ocean University, College of Oceanography and Ecological Science, Shanghai, China and Min Zeng, Jiangxi Science & Technology Normal University, School of Life Sciences, Nanchang, China
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